Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Tips, Predictions and Best Bets

Andy Clark

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa bet builder tips, predictions and stats for the Premier League fixture on Saturday 17th October 2026. Get all the key player stats and our own betting tips as well as a bet builder tool to help you find the value bets.

Premier League - Last 20 Games

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Team Stats

17:30

Newcastle UnitedvAston Villa
LWLDWD
Recent form
WDWLWD
1.55
Goals scored per game
2.15
1.95
Goals conceded per game
1.35
80%
Both teams scored
55%
90%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
70%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
45%
Over 3.5 goals
55%

Newcastle UnitedvAston Villa
12.4
Shots per game
13.05
4.6
Shots on target
5.25

Newcastle UnitedvAston Villa
1.46
Expected goals for
1.66
1.82
Expected goals against
1.37
51.45
Possession %
48.7

Newcastle UnitedvAston Villa
4.65
Corners per game
4.6
2.5
First half corners
2.6

Newcastle UnitedvAston Villa
11.2
Fouls per game
11.3
2.0
Own cards per game
1.55
4.35
Cards in match
3.65
1.3
First half cards
1.4
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Newcastle United take 12.4 shots a game and hit 4.6 on target, against Aston Villa’s 13.05 and 5.25. Newcastle United commit 11.2 fouls a game to Aston Villa’s 11.3, with 4.35 and 3.65 cards a match. Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the result makes it Newcastle United 42%, the draw 26% and Aston Villa 32%. 4 legs in this match beat the price bet365 are offering, and they are all listed below with our own percentage beside the bookmaker’s.

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Tip

1Nicolas Jackson Anytime Goalscorer4 of his last 7, 0.84 per 90
Why this Leg

Nicolas Jackson has scored in 4 of his last 7 for Aston Villa, at 0.84 per 90 across 538 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.

Aston Villa score 2.15 a game. That is about 57% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.

2Pau Torres 1+ Shots5 of his last 10, 0.57 per 90
Why this Leg

Pau Torres has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 0.57 per 90 across 1,103 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

Aston Villa take 13.05 shots a game and hit 5.25 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

3Lewis Hall 1+ Shot on Target4 of his last 10, 0.41 per 90
Why this Leg

Lewis Hall has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Newcastle United, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,542 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

Newcastle United take 12.4 shots a game and hit 4.6 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

4Matty Cash to be Carded5 of his last 10, 0.36 per 90
Why this Leg

Matty Cash has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 0.36 per 90 across 1,502 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

Aston Villa pick up 1.55 cards a game and there are 3.65 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.

bet365Add 4-Leg Build to Betslip

What Is the Best Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Bet Builder?

Nicolas Jackson Anytime Goalscorer, Pau Torres 1+ Shots, Lewis Hall 1+ Shot on Target and Matty Cash to be Carded, around 83/1 to 98/1 combined.

Every leg is one the player has done in most of his recent matches, and every one is a line bet365 list, so the whole thing goes on as a single bet builder.

Nicolas Jackson has scored in 4 of his last 7 matches at 0.84 per 90, and Aston Villa score 2.15 a game — 57% on our numbers against an implied 38%.

Pau Torres has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 matches at 0.57 per 90, and Aston Villa take 13.05 shots a game — 50% on our numbers against an implied 33%.

Lewis Hall has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 matches at 0.41 per 90, and Newcastle United take 12.4 shots a game — 40% on our numbers against an implied 27%.

Matty Cash has been booked in 5 of his last 10 matches at 0.36 per 90, and Aston Villa pick up 1.55 cards a game and there are 3.65 in their matches — 50% on our numbers against an implied 32%.

If that is longer than you want, the betting tips below run from 1/10 to 2/1 and any of them swaps straight in. Legs in the same match are not independent — a fouls-drawn leg and a fouls-committed leg both get easier in a scrappy game — so treat the combined price as indicative, and bet365’s own builder will differ slightly.

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Betting Tips

Every selection below is one the stats stand up in this fixture, with the record behind it and the price beside it. To build your own bet builder from them, click Add to Betslip on each one you want — they go straight into your bet365 betslip and combine into a single bet builder there. Our own tip above is included in the list, so you can start from those legs and add to them.

  1. 01
    Pau Torres 1+ ShotsAdd to slip2/1Pau Torres has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 0.57 per 90 across 1,103 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa take 13.05 shots a game and hit 5.25 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
  2. 02
    John McGinn 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip11/8John McGinn has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 0.81 per 90 across 1,552 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa take 13.05 shots a game and hit 5.25 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.
  3. 03
    Lewis Hall 1+ Shot on TargetAdd to slip11/4Lewis Hall has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Newcastle United, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,542 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.Newcastle United take 12.4 shots a game and hit 4.6 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
  4. 04
    Amar Dedić 3+ Foul CommittedAdd to slip9/2Amar Dedić has committed 3 or more fouls in 2 of his last 5 for Newcastle United, at 1.5 per 90 across 359 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa hold 48.7% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.
  5. 05
    Nicolas Jackson Anytime GoalscorerAdd to slip13/8Nicolas Jackson has scored in 4 of his last 7 for Aston Villa, at 0.84 per 90 across 538 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa score 2.15 a game. That is about 57% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.
  6. 06
    Matty Cash to be CardedAdd to slip21/10Matty Cash has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 0.36 per 90 across 1,502 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa pick up 1.55 cards a game and there are 3.65 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.
  7. 07
    Under 10.5 CornersAdd to slip8/11Newcastle United win 4.65 corners a game and Aston Villa 4.6, with 2.5 and 2.6 of those in the first half.That leaves about 9 in the match, a 68% chance of 10 or fewer against the 58% implied by 8/11.
  8. 08
    Both Teams to ScoreAdd to slip1/2Both teams have scored in 16 of Newcastle United's last 20 matches and 11 of Aston Villa's. Newcastle United concede 1.95 a game and Aston Villa 1.35.On the venue splits the projection is 1.70 against 1.98, which puts both teams scoring at about 69%.
  9. 09
    Over 2.5 GoalsAdd to slip8/13Newcastle United have gone past 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 20 matches and Aston Villa in 75%, with 90% and 80% going past 1.5.Newcastle United average 1.55 scored and 1.95 conceded, Aston Villa 2.15 and 1.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.70 against 1.98, about 3.7 goals in the match and 72% for over 2.5.
  10. 10
    Correct Score 2-1Add to slip9/1On the venue splits this projects Newcastle United 1.70 against Aston Villa 1.98, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.5%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call - it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Newcastle United, which is where the board has the match too.
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Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Leg Finder

Every priced player in this fixture, with his record over the last ten matches beside the odds, so you can build your own rather than take ours. It covers the player prop markets one at a time — shots, shots on target, fouls committed, fouls drawn, tackles, cards and anytime goalscorer — and sorts each by how often the player has hit the line rather than by price, so a short price with a strong record is easy to spot. Free, no sign-in. It is the same tool behind our daily bet builder tips.

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Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Bet Builder FAQs

What Is the Best Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Bet Builder?

Nicolas Jackson Anytime Goalscorer, Pau Torres 1+ Shots, Lewis Hall 1+ Shot on Target and Matty Cash to be Carded, at around 83/1 to 98/1 combined with bet365.

Can You Put Odds-on Legs in a Bet Builder?

Yes. Our tracked best bets have to be 4/6 or longer, but inside a builder a short leg we rate well above its price is a sound anchor.

Which Player Commits the Most Fouls in Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?

Joelinton of Newcastle United. He has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 matches, at 3.05 per 90 across 796 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays. Aston Villa hold 48.7% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. bet365 list Joelinton 1+ Foul Committed, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Who Is Most Likely to Have a Shot on Target in Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?

Ollie Watkins of Aston Villa. He has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 matches, at 1.67 per 90 across 971 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays. Aston Villa take 13.05 shots a game and hit 5.25 on target. There is no price up for Ollie Watkins 1+ Shot on Target at bet365 yet – one to watch when the market opens.

Which Player Takes the Most Shots in Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?

Emiliano Buendía of Aston Villa. He has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 matches, at 2.77 per 90 across 1,269 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays. Aston Villa take 13.05 shots a game and hit 5.25 on target. bet365 list Emiliano Buendía 1+ Shots, with the current price in the leg finder below.

Which Player Is Fouled the Most in Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?

Anthony Gordon of Newcastle United. He has been fouled in 7 of his last 8 matches, at 2.57 per 90 across 561 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays. Aston Villa commit 11.3 fouls a game. bet365 have not listed Anthony Gordon 1+ Fouls Drawn yet, so there is no price to measure the record against.

Which Player Makes the Most Tackles in Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?

Matty Cash of Aston Villa. He has made a tackle in 6 of his last 10 matches, at 2.4 per 90 across 1,502 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays. Newcastle United hold 51.45% of the ball, and Aston Villa commit 11.3 fouls a game. bet365 list him at 2+ rather than 1+, a line he has cleared in 5 of those 10.

What Is the Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Prediction?

Newcastle United are 42% to win, the draw 26% and Aston Villa 32% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Over 2.5 Goals is the one team market our numbers support.

What Time Is Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?

Saturday 17th October 2026, 17:30 UK time.

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