Last Updated on 14/04/2026 by Andy Clark
The Opta supercomputer gives West Ham United a 37.35% chance of being relegated from the Premier League this season. After a turbulent campaign that saw them spend much of 2025-26 in the bottom three, Nuno Espirito Santo has steadied the ship, and the Hammers now sit 17th – two points clear of Tottenham in the relegation zone with six games to play.
The best odds available for West Ham to be relegated are 2/1 at Betfred. The shortest price available is 6/4 at BetGoodwin.
Premier League Bottom Six – Current Table
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Leeds | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 36 |
| 16 | Nottm Forest | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 33 |
| 17 | West Ham | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 32 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 30 |
| 19 | Burnley | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolves | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 24 | 58 | -34 | 17 |
West Ham Relegation Odds
| Bookmaker | Odds to be relegated |
|---|---|
| Betfred | 2/1 (best price) |
| William Hill | 7/4 |
| Sky Bet | 7/4 |
| BetGoodwin | 6/4 (shortest) |
At 2/1, the market implies a 33% chance of West Ham going down – slightly lower than the Opta supercomputer’s 37.35% figure. There is a small edge in the model relative to the market, suggesting the odds slightly underestimate the Hammers’ relegation risk.
Back West Ham to be Relegated at 2/1 with Betfred →
Relegation Odds for All Threatened Clubs
| Club | Best odds (to be relegated) | Opta probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wolves | Already relegated | 99.9% |
| Burnley | Already relegated | 99.9% |
| Tottenham | 11/10 (Betfred, Ladbrokes) | 49.5% |
| West Ham | 2/1 (Betfred) | 37.35% |
| Nottm Forest | 11/2 (SpreadEx) | ~10% |
| Leeds | 16/1 | ~8% |
How West Ham Turned Their Season Around
West Ham were winless in 10 and seven points adrift of safety in January. It looked bleak. Three months later, they have hauled themselves out of the bottom three and now have a two-point cushion over Spurs.
The turnaround is largely the work of Nuno Espirito Santo. The Portuguese manager replaced Graham Potter in the dugout and steadied a side that looked completely rudderless. West Ham have earned 14 points from their last 10 league games – a return that, sustained over a full season, would put them comfortably mid-table.
The 4-0 demolition of Wolves on April 10th was their most emphatic performance of the season. Goals at both ends of the pitch, a clean sheet against an already-relegated side, and a result that pushed Spurs into the relegation zone. Three managers, Julen Lopetegui, Graham Potter and now Nuno have taken charge of West Ham this season – a measure of the turbulence the club has experienced.
West Ham’s Remaining Fixtures
West Ham have six games remaining, and the fixture list is challenging. They are the only relegation-threatened club who still have league leaders Arsenal to play.
Remaining fixtures: Crystal Palace (A), Everton (H), Brentford (A), Arsenal (H), Newcastle (A), Leeds (H)
The home game against Leeds on the final day could be pivotal – and potentially dramatic. If both sides are still in relegation danger on the last day, the London Stadium clash could decide who goes down.
Palace, Brentford and Newcastle are winnable fixtures on paper. Arsenal at home is a very different proposition for a side short on confidence.
West Ham’s Relegation History
West Ham were last relegated from the Premier League in 2011, finishing 20th. They returned to the top flight the following season and have remained there since. Before 2011, their most recent relegation was in 2003.
A second relegation in 15 years would be a devastating outcome for a club that has spent heavily in recent seasons, moved into the London Stadium in 2016, and consistently ranked among the top half of the league’s wage bill.
West Ham Relegation FAQs
What are the odds on West Ham being relegated? Best odds are 2/1 at Betfred. The market ranges from 6/4 to 2/1 depending on the bookmaker.
What does the Opta supercomputer say about West Ham’s relegation chances? The Opta supercomputer gives West Ham a 37.35% chance of being relegated – meaning they are more likely to survive than go down, but the risk remains significant.
When was West Ham last relegated? West Ham were last relegated from the Premier League in 2011, finishing bottom three. They have been in the Premier League continuously since returning in 2012.
How many points does West Ham have? West Ham have 32 points from 32 games, sitting 17th – two points above the relegation zone with six games remaining.
What is West Ham’s run-in? Crystal Palace (A), Everton (H), Brentford (A), Arsenal (H), Newcastle (A), Leeds (H). The final day home game against Leeds is a potential six-pointer.
Who is West Ham’s manager? Nuno Espirito Santo, who replaced Graham Potter during the season. Nuno is West Ham’s third manager of the campaign, following Julen Lopetegui and Graham Potter.
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Andy is the founder, owner and editor of thatsagoal.com, with over 20 years of experience in betting on sports. He has a keen eye for stats, particularly when looking at players to be carded, and these form a large part of the bet builder tips you see on the site. As well as creating daily football tips, Andy also keeps thatsagoal updated with all the best bookmaker promotions and offers for our readers.
