Our 28/1 four-fold bet builder with bet365 for the Norway vs France Group I top spot decider at Gillette Stadium combines France to Win at 4/5, Michael Olise to Assist at Least One Goal at 5/2, Both Teams to Score at Evens, and Erling Haaland Over 1.5 Shots on Target at 5/4.
Kick-off is 8pm UK time on Friday 26 June 2026 (3pm ET in Foxborough, Boston). Live on ITV1 and ITVX — Friday evening UK prime-time viewing.
Norway vs France Bet Builder Tip (28/1 with bet365)
| Bet Builder Leg | Odds |
|---|---|
| France to Win | 4/5 |
| Michael Olise to Assist at Least One Goal | 5/2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 1/1 |
| Erling Haaland Over 1.5 Shots on Target | 5/4 |
| Combined four-fold (bet365) | 28/1 |
Norway vs France Match Preview
This one’s been earmarked as a classic since the draw was made, and honestly, it’s delivering on every promise. Group I’s top spot, two teams already through, and the two best strikers on the planet right now going head to head. Haaland against Mbappe. What’s not to love?
Norway have been the genuine story of this World Cup. First appearance since 1998, and they’ve come out swinging, putting four past Iraq, then edging a properly entertaining 3-2 win over Senegal. Haaland’s already got four goals to his name across those two matches, Odegaard’s been pulling strings from midfield like the captain everyone knew he was capable of being. There’s real swagger to how Solbakken’s side play, front foot, direct, not afraid of anyone. The flip side is they’ve shipped three goals doing it, and against this level of opposition, that kind of openness gets punished hard.
France have been the more clinical operation, which tells you exactly how Deschamps likes to do things. Wins over Senegal and Iraq, six goals scored and only one conceded, Mbappe matching Haaland’s tally of four with his own brace in each game. Saliba and Upamecano have looked genuinely top tier at the back, and the supporting cast, Dembele, Olise, and Barcola, gives this attack a different dimension to anything Norway have faced in this group so far. There’s a bit of news that Deschamps himself might miss this one through a family bereavement, with his assistant Guy Stephan stepping in, which adds a slightly unusual backdrop to an otherwise clean tactical story.
History barely exists between these two at competitive level. No World Cup meetings whatsoever before this, just a handful of qualifying ties from the late eighties that finished tight, plus a couple of friendlies decades apart, Norway actually won one in 2010 before France hit back with a 4-0 demolition in 2014. None of that really matters now. Both sides arrive fresh, both sides have something genuine to play for, and the goal difference picture means even a draw could flip the standings depending on the margin.
What strikes me most, going through all this, is just how consistently both attacks have fired. Seventeen goals between these two teams across their opening four games combined.
France to Win @ 4/5
Quality usually wins out in matches like this, and France have the deeper squad, the tighter defensive record, and a forward line that’s been almost unplayable so far. Norway are good, genuinely good, but they’ve conceded three goals in two games against opponents a notch below France in quality. Even allowing for some rotation given both sides are already through, the gap in collective depth still points one way.
Michael Olise to Assist at Least One Goal @ 5/2
Olise has quietly been one of the standout performers in this entire group, three assists already at this World Cup and an outrageous club season behind him to back it up. He’s got that knack of finding the right pass at the right moment. There will be enough gaps for him to exploit, should be there all afternoon. At 5/2 this feels like genuinely good value given how involved he’s been in everything France have produced so far.
Both Teams to Score @ 1/1
Norway have scored in every single game at this World Cup and have Haaland leading the line. France have also found the net in every recent outing and carries enough individual quality across the front line that shutting them out feels genuinely unlikely. Both defences have already been breached at this tournament, too; France conceded to Senegal, Norway gave up goals in both their matches. With this much firepower on one pitch, both keepers finding the back of their own net feels like the safest read in the whole match.
Erling Haaland Over 1.5 Shots on Target @ 5/4
He had four shots against Senegal and looked sharp doing it. Norway need this result to top the group, which means Haaland is going to be fed the ball relentlessly in and around the box all game. Against a France backline that’s faced nothing quite like his combination of size and movement so far in this tournament, getting two or more shots away inside ninety minutes feels like a near certainty regardless of whether he actually scores.
Norway vs France Key Stats
- France beat Senegal 3-1 on Matchday 1 with Mbappe brace
- France beat Iraq 3-0 on Matchday 2 with another Mbappe brace
- Mbappe has 4 goals across the group stage — two doubles in two matches
- France lead Group I on goal difference (+5) — only need a draw to top the group
- France have scored 6 and conceded just 1 across the group stage
- Saliba and Upamecano have impressed at the back for France
- Norway beat Iraq 4-1 on Matchday 1
- Norway beat Senegal 3-2 on Matchday 2 — properly entertaining open game
- Haaland has 4 goals across the group stage — matching Mbappe
- Norway have scored 7 and conceded 3 across the group stage
- Norway’s first World Cup appearance since 1998
- Captain Martin Ødegaard pulling strings in midfield for Norway
- Both Haaland and Mbappe sit behind Lionel Messi (5 goals) in the tournament Golden Boot race
- Seventeen goals between France and Norway across their opening four matches combined
- Didier Deschamps absent due to a family bereavement — assistant Guy Stephan stepping in as interim
- Match referee: Michael Oliver (England) — Premier League’s senior referee
- Match venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts — home of New England Patriots (NFL)
- Senegal vs Iraq kicks off simultaneously at 8pm UK on ITV4
- No previous competitive World Cup meetings between France and Norway
- Last competitive meeting: late 1980s qualifying ties
- Last friendly: France 4-0 Norway in 2014
How to Watch Norway vs France in the UK
- Kick-off: 8pm UK time, Friday 26 June 2026 (3pm ET in Foxborough)
- TV: ITV1 (free-to-air) — coverage begins approximately 7.30pm UK
- Live streaming: ITVX (free with sign-up)
- Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts — home of New England Patriots (NFL)
- Group: I (alongside Senegal and Iraq)
- Referee: Michael Oliver (England)
- Match significance: Group I top spot decider — France need a draw, Norway must win
The 8pm UK kick-off is excellent Friday evening viewing — peak start-of-weekend betting window for UK punters. ITVX provides free streaming for viewers without cable.
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I’m a dedicated football betting blogger with a passion for helping fans turn insights into informed wagers. With years of experience analysing form, stats and trends across the world’s top leagues, I write clear match previews and expert betting tips that go beyond the obvious. Whether it’s Champions League action or domestic league fixtures, my content aims to give readers an edge — blending data-driven analysis with a love of the beautiful game.