Albania vs Finland Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
Albania v Finland - Nations League predictions and stats
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Albania vs Finland

Thu 12 Nov, 19:45 · Nations League

AlbaniaWLWWLL
FinlandLWDWLL

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Albania 6 in the Nations League and 14 across two others, Finland 6 in the Nations League and 14 across three others

Goals

1.10Scored per game1.25
0.85Conceded per game1.35
Home gamesAway games
1.18Scored1.25
0.82Conceded1.58
Correct Score 1-05/1

On the venue splits this projects Albania 1.32 against Finland 1.12, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.9%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Albania, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.01xG for1.19
0.78xG against1.02
+0.09Goals vs xG+0.06
Albania to Win9/10

Albania have won 9 of their last 20, drawing 3, and at home they have scored 1.18 a game and conceded 0.82 across 11 matches.

Finland average 1.25 scored and 1.35 conceded. The venue splits project 1.32 against 1.12, which puts Albania at about 45% to win, against 27% for the draw.

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Under and Over

55%Over 1.5 goals70%
35%Over 2.5 goals50%
5%Over 3.5 goals30%
Under 2.5 Goals8/13

Albania have stayed under 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Finland in 50%, with just 5% and 30% of their matches going past 3.5.

Albania average 1.10 scored and 0.85 conceded, Finland 1.25 and 1.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.32 against 1.12, about 2.4 goals in the match and 57% for under 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

30%Both teams scored35%
9 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
7 of 20Failed to score9 of 20
No Both Teams to Score8/11

Both teams have scored in 6 of Albania’s last 20 matches and 7 of Finland’s. Albania have kept 9 clean sheets in that run and failed to score in 7, against 5 and 9 for Finland.

At home Albania score 1.18 a game and concede 0.82; away from home Finland score 1.25 and concede 1.58. That puts at least one side blanking at about 59%.

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Shots

11.88Shots per game10.65
3.38On target per game4.05
28.5%Accuracy38.0%

Corners

4.44Won per game4.65
1.94First half2.40
43.7%Share before the break51.6%
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Cards and Fouls

3.56Cards in the match2.80
1.50Own cards per game1.20
1.38Cards by half time1.10
9.69Fouls committed10.90

Shooting Detail

7.19Shots inside the box7.00
4.69Shots outside the box3.65
5.44Off target3.70
3.06Blocked2.95

Big Chances

1.81Big chances created1.95
1.12Big chances missed1.20
38%Taken38%
18.75Touches in the box21.60

Record

9-3-8Won, drawn, lost7-3-10
9 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
7 of 20Failed to score9 of 20

Possession

54.25%Average share52.45%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Kristjan AsllaniAlbania · M14211.960.570.382.531.332
Berat DjimsitiAlbania · D11020.650.080.410.410.573
Mario MitajAlbania · D10640.080.081.180.851.443
Qazim LaciAlbania · M9511.70.380.851.142.270
Arber HoxhaAlbania · F8421.710.530.751.60.860
Elseid HysajAlbania · D8340.320.00.650.761.082
Arlind AjetiAlbania · D8280.430.110.540.221.31
Juljan ShehuAlbania · M8150.660.111.12.652.981
Ardian IsmajliAlbania · D7920.340.01.021.020.341
Rey ManajAlbania · F7483.971.681.932.531.321
Myrto UzuniAlbania · F6591.370.411.911.371.231
Ylber RamadaniAlbania · M6190.440.01.311.022.332
Armando BrojaAlbania · F5690.320.00.161.740.160
Ivan BalliuAlbania · D5140.00.00.180.531.050
Nedim BajramiAlbania · M5092.650.710.710.180.712
Kaan KairinenFinland · M11700.380.081.460.231.773
Joel PohjanpaloFinland · F10672.871.180.760.510.340
Oliver AntmanFinland · F10211.850.970.620.710.970
Leo WaltaFinland · M9952.711.270.451.540.810
Adam MarkhievFinland · M9020.70.31.93.092.291
Nikolai AlhoFinland · D8990.40.21.20.81.01
Ville KoskiFinland · D8900.20.11.520.30.811
Miro TenhoFinland · D7860.460.110.920.111.262
Benjamin KallmanFinland · F7781.971.271.621.740.581
Robin LodFinland · M7461.570.361.691.091.930
Robert IvanovFinland · D7140.250.02.020.51.264
Juho LahteenmakiFinland · D6990.00.00.131.671.670
Topi KeskinenFinland · F6202.761.311.021.741.311
Matti PeltolaFinland · M5940.150.151.822.122.422
Glen KamaraFinland · M5130.00.00.71.751.930
Jere UronenFinland · D4680.190.01.150.961.350
Tony MiettinenFinland · D4580.390.21.180.390.791
Adam StahlFinland · D4431.220.20.810.20.611
Daniel HakansFinland · M4290.630.01.680.840.420
Ryan MahutaFinland · D4170.430.02.160.862.810
Anssi SuhonenFinland · M4151.30.01.523.692.171

Advised props

Leo Walta 2+ Shots

Leo Walta has had 2 or more shots in 9 of his last 10 for Finland, at 2.71 per 90 across 995 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

Finland take 10.65 shots a game and hit 4.05 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Rey Manaj 1+ Fouls Committed

Rey Manaj has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Albania, at 1.93 per 90 across 748 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.

Finland hold 52.45% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Kristjan Asllani Anytime Goalscorer

Kristjan Asllani has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Albania, at 0.32 per 90 across 1,421 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

Albania score 1.10 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.

10/3Add

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Albania · Last sixAlbania have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six.
5/5100%Albania · Last sixAlbania have won five or more corners in every one of their last six.
1/205%Albania · Last 20Albania have gone past three and a half goals in one of their last twenty.
3/2015%Finland · Last 20Finland have seen five or more cards in the match in three of their last twenty.
5/683%Finland · Last six awayFinland have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six on the road.
1/617%Finland · Last six awayFinland have seen five or more cards in the match in one of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Albania

06 OctSan Marino (H)2-1W
03 OctFinland (A)1-2L
29 SepSan Marino (A)3-0W
26 SepBelarus (H)2-0W
06 JunLuxembourg (H)0-1L
03 JunIsrael (H)0-1L

Finland

06 OctBelarus (A)0-1L
03 OctAlbania (H)2-1W
29 SepBelarus (H)0-0D
26 SepSan Marino (A)7-0W
05 JunHungary (A)1-2L
31 MayGermany (A)0-4L
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Build Your Own Albania vs Finland Bet

Leo Walta 2+ Shots
Why this betLeo Walta has had 2 or more shots in 9 of his last 10 for Finland, at 2.71 per 90 across 995 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Finland take 10.65 shots a game and hit 4.05 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Rey Manaj 1+ Fouls Committed
Why this betRey Manaj has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Albania, at 1.93 per 90 across 748 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Finland hold 52.45% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Kristjan Asllani Anytime Goalscorer10/34.33
Why this betKristjan Asllani has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Albania, at 0.32 per 90 across 1,421 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Albania score 1.10 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.
Albania to Win9/101.90
Why this betAlbania have won 9 of their last 20, drawing 3, and at home they have scored 1.18 a game and conceded 0.82 across 11 matches.Finland average 1.25 scored and 1.35 conceded. The venue splits project 1.32 against 1.12, which puts Albania at about 45% to win, against 27% for the draw.
No Both Teams to Score8/111.73
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 6 of Albania’s last 20 matches and 7 of Finland’s. Albania have kept 9 clean sheets in that run and failed to score in 7, against 5 and 9 for Finland.At home Albania score 1.18 a game and concede 0.82; away from home Finland score 1.25 and concede 1.58. That puts at least one side blanking at about 59%.
Under 2.5 Goals8/131.62
Why this betAlbania have stayed under 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Finland in 50%, with just 5% and 30% of their matches going past 3.5.Albania average 1.10 scored and 0.85 conceded, Finland 1.25 and 1.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.32 against 1.12, about 2.4 goals in the match and 57% for under 2.5.
Correct Score 1-05/16.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Albania 1.32 against Finland 1.12, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Albania, which is where the board has the match too.
Over 2.5 Goals5/42.25
Why this betAlbania are expected 1.38 at home and Finland 1.03 away, so 2.42 in the match. Our numbers make it 43% against the 44% the price implies.
Both Teams to Score1/12.00
Why this betBoth sides are expected to score – 1.38 and 1.03. Our numbers make it 48% against the 50% the price implies.
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