San Marino vs Belarus Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

San Marino v Belarus - Nations League predictions and stats

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San Marino vs Belarus

Thu 12 Nov, 19:45 · Nations League

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – San Marino 6 in the Nations League and 14 across two others, Belarus 6 in the Nations League and 14 across two others

Goals

0.55Scored per game1.55

3.35Conceded per game1.55

Home gamesAway games

0.45Scored1.36

3.27Conceded1.36

Correct Score 0-35/1

On the venue splits this projects San Marino 1.01 against Belarus 2.54, and 0-3 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.1%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Belarus, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

0.35xG for0.85

3.05xG against1.57

+0.20Goals vs xG+0.70

Belarus to Win1/7

Belarus have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 5, and on the road they have scored 1.36 a game and conceded 1.36 across 11 matches.

San Marino average 0.55 scored and 3.35 conceded. The venue splits project 1.01 against 2.54, which puts Belarus at about 76% to win, against 17% for the draw.

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Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals80%

75%Over 2.5 goals55%

50%Over 3.5 goals45%

Over 2.5 Goals8/13

San Marino have gone past 2.5 goals in 75% of their last 20 matches and Belarus in 55%, with 85% and 80% going past 1.5.

San Marino average 0.55 scored and 3.35 conceded, Belarus 1.55 and 1.55. On the venue splits that projects 1.01 against 2.54, about 3.6 goals in the match and 67% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

45%Both teams scored45%

1 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20

11 of 20Failed to score6 of 20

Both Teams to Score2/1

Both sides are expected to score – 0.91 and 2.32. Our numbers make it 54% against the 33% the price implies.

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Shots

5.80Shots per game7.88

1.73On target per game3.12

29.8%Accuracy39.6%

Corners

2.33Won per game3.88

0.93First half1.25

39.9%Share before the break32.2%

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Cards and Fouls

4.53Cards in the match4.12

2.67Own cards per game2.75

1.07Cards by half time1.06

14.93Fouls committed15.06

Shooting Detail

3.47Shots inside the box4.25

2.33Shots outside the box2.81

2.80Off target4.50

1.47Blocked2.88

Big Chances

1.33Big chances created0.69

0.87Big chances missed0.44

35%Taken36%

8.67Touches in the box12.31

Record

1-2-17Won, drawn, lost8-5-7

1 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20

11 of 20Failed to score6 of 20

Possession

32.13%Average share39.62%

Player Props

Per 90

Player	Mins	Shots	On target	Fouls	Fouled	Tackles	Cards
Nicola NanniSan Marino · F	1039	1.56	0.78	1.21	2.51	0.35	4
Samuele ZannoniSan Marino · M	993	1.36	0.36	1.81	1.09	1.18	0
Michele CevoliSan Marino · D	905	0.0	0.0	0.9	0.5	1.59	3
Alessandro GolinucciSan Marino · M	770	0.47	0.12	2.69	1.17	1.75	2
Lorenzo CapicchioniSan Marino · M	730	0.99	0.25	2.47	1.73	1.48	3
Filippo FabbriSan Marino · D	636	0.14	0.14	1.56	0.57	1.42	2
Lorenzo LazzariSan Marino · M	552	0.82	0.33	1.47	2.77	2.61	1
Giacomo BenvenutiSan Marino · D	537	0.17	0.0	1.34	0.84	1.68	2
Tommaso BenvenutiSan Marino · D	527	0.0	0.0	0.51	1.02	2.22	0
Alessandro TosiSan Marino · D	513	0.18	0.0	1.58	0.18	2.63	1
Filippo BerardiSan Marino · F	477	1.51	0.0	1.32	1.13	1.32	2
Alberto RiccardiSan Marino · D	459	0.39	0.0	1.76	1.76	2.16	2
Giacomo ValentiniSan Marino · D	457	0.59	0.0	0.79	0.79	0.59	1
Nicolas GiacopettiSan Marino · F	426	0.85	0.63	1.06	1.27	0.85	3
Max EbongBelarus · M	1070	1.09	0.25	1.6	1.35	0.93	2
Kirill PecheninBelarus · D	954	0.75	0.28	1.04	0.47	2.83	4
Pavel ZabelinBelarus · D	751	0.6	0.12	0.72	0.24	1.44	0
Valeriy GromykoBelarus · M	667	1.48	0.54	2.16	1.48	1.75	3
Evgeniy YablonskiyBelarus · M	627	0.72	0.0	2.87	1.29	1.87	1
German BarkovskiyBelarus · F	616	1.46	0.58	2.48	3.21	1.02	3
Vladislav KalininBelarus · D	476	0.57	0.19	2.08	0.57	3.21	2
Zakhar VolkovBelarus · D	467	0.58	0.19	0.39	0.58	1.35	1
Vitaliy LisakovichBelarus · F	459	0.39	0.0	1.57	0.98	0.59	0
Trofim MelnichenkoBelarus · F	451	3.39	0.8	2.2	3.19	0.4	1
Vadim PigasBelarus · D	450	0.8	0.4	1.4	0.6	1.0	1

Advised props

Max Ebong 1+ Shots

Max Ebong has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Belarus, at 1.09 per 90 across 1,070 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

Belarus take 7.88 shots a game and hit 3.12 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Alessandro Golinucci 1+ Fouls Committed

Alessandro Golinucci has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for San Marino, at 2.69 per 90 across 770 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.

Belarus hold 39.62% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Trends

Window shown per line

6/6100%San Marino · Last sixSan Marino have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.

6/6100%San Marino · Last sixSan Marino have gone past two and a half goals in every one of their last six.

5/5100%Belarus · Last six awayBelarus have picked up two or more cards in every one of their last six on the road.

5/5100%Belarus · Last six awayBelarus have committed twelve or more fouls in every one of their last six on the road.

14/1688%Belarus · Last 20Belarus have committed twelve or more fouls in 14 of their last twenty.

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Build Your Own San Marino vs Belarus Bet

Max Ebong 1+ Shots

Why this bet

Max Ebong has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Belarus, at 1.09 per 90 across 1,070 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Belarus take 7.88 shots a game and hit 3.12 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Alessandro Golinucci 1+ Fouls Committed

Why this bet

Alessandro Golinucci has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for San Marino, at 2.69 per 90 across 770 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.Belarus hold 39.62% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Belarus to Win1/71.14

Why this bet

Belarus have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 5, and on the road they have scored 1.36 a game and conceded 1.36 across 11 matches.San Marino average 0.55 scored and 3.35 conceded. The venue splits project 1.01 against 2.54, which puts Belarus at about 76% to win, against 17% for the draw.

Over 2.5 Goals8/131.62

Why this bet

San Marino have gone past 2.5 goals in 75% of their last 20 matches and Belarus in 55%, with 85% and 80% going past 1.5.San Marino average 0.55 scored and 3.35 conceded, Belarus 1.55 and 1.55. On the venue splits that projects 1.01 against 2.54, about 3.6 goals in the match and 67% for over 2.5.

Correct Score 0-35/16.00

Why this bet

On the venue splits this projects San Marino 1.01 against Belarus 2.54, and 0-3 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Belarus, which is where the board has the match too.

Both Teams to Score2/13.00

Why this bet

Both sides are expected to score – 0.91 and 2.32. Our numbers make it 54% against the 33% the price implies.

No legs selected

Prices change, so check the slip before you stake. bet365 does not allow every combination of legs within one game.

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Andy Clark

Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.