Türkiye vs Belgium Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
Türkiye v Belgium - Nations League predictions and stats
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Türkiye vs Belgium

Thu 12 Nov, 17:00 · Nations League

TürkiyeLLLLWL
BelgiumLWLWLW

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Türkiye 5 in the Nations League and 15 across three others, Belgium 4 in the Nations League and 16 across three others

Goals

1.75Scored per game2.80
1.55Conceded per game0.90
Home gamesAway games
1.67Scored2.91
1.67Conceded1.27
Correct Score 1-28/1

On the venue splits this projects Türkiye 1.37 against Belgium 2.39, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.5%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Belgium, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.53xG for2.13
1.25xG against0.93
+0.22Goals vs xG+0.67
Belgium to Win5/6

Belgium have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 6, and on the road they have scored 2.91 a game and conceded 1.27 across 11 matches.

Türkiye average 1.75 scored and 1.55 conceded. The venue splits project 1.37 against 2.39, which puts Belgium at about 55% to win, against 19% for the draw.

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Under and Over

75%Over 1.5 goals85%
65%Over 2.5 goals60%
45%Over 3.5 goals50%
Over 2.5 Goals1/2

Türkiye have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Belgium in 60%, with 75% and 85% going past 1.5.

Türkiye average 1.75 scored and 1.55 conceded, Belgium 2.80 and 0.90. On the venue splits that projects 1.37 against 2.39, about 3.8 goals in the match and 67% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

45%Both teams scored50%
5 of 20Clean sheets9 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score3 of 20

Shots

15.60Shots per game18.45
4.85On target per game7.00
31.1%Accuracy37.9%

Corners

6.90Won per game6.50
3.00First half3.55
43.5%Share before the break54.6%
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Cards and Fouls

3.60Cards in the match3.50
1.95Own cards per game1.55
1.15Cards by half time1.15
10.40Fouls committed10.80
Under 3.5 Cards6/5

Türkiye average 3.60 cards in a match and Belgium 3.50, so 3.55 here. Our numbers make it 53% against the 45% the price implies.

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Shooting Detail

8.55Shots inside the box12.55
7.05Shots outside the box5.90
6.00Off target6.30
4.75Blocked5.15

Big Chances

2.50Big chances created3.15
1.40Big chances missed1.65
44%Taken48%
27.05Touches in the box42.60

Record

11-1-8Won, drawn, lost11-6-3
5 of 20Clean sheets9 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score3 of 20

Possession

54.15%Average share55.65%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Arda GulerTürkiye · F14473.231.00.623.421.064
Ismail YuksekTürkiye · M11841.290.232.131.293.884
Merih DemiralTürkiye · D11391.030.321.190.471.53
Zeki CelikTürkiye · D10970.740.331.310.92.712
Kerem AkturkogluTürkiye · F10882.320.740.51.410.084
Kenan YildizTürkiye · F10462.840.60.61.21.291
Ferdi KadiogluTürkiye · D8860.710.20.21.121.520
Hakan CalhanogluTürkiye · M8513.170.850.850.852.542
Eren ElmaliTürkiye · D8340.320.00.760.541.41
Baris Alper YilmazTürkiye · F8041.790.782.131.790.562
Oguz AydinTürkiye · F7931.360.230.570.681.71
Orkun KokcuTürkiye · M7881.830.690.461.941.60
Mert MuldurTürkiye · D7871.140.230.691.263.20
Salih OzcanTürkiye · M6470.830.561.671.531.392
Ozan KabakTürkiye · D4960.180.181.630.541.271
Yunus AkgunTürkiye · F4901.290.920.551.291.291
Timothy CastagneBelgium · D14060.580.191.280.512.182
Youri TielemansBelgium · M12512.160.651.221.872.092
Kevin De BruyneBelgium · M12034.111.651.120.970.94
Brandon MecheleBelgium · D12030.820.220.970.451.81
Charles De KetelaereBelgium · F11821.751.140.610.691.451
Maxim De CuyperBelgium · D11591.940.850.930.231.42
Nicolas RaskinBelgium · M11351.110.562.060.952.31
Jeremy DokuBelgium · F10202.651.320.713.790.530
Nathan NgoyBelgium · D9540.470.190.940.661.231
Leandro TrossardBelgium · F9532.830.850.571.320.760
Hans VanakenBelgium · M9452.480.670.950.861.140
Arthur TheateBelgium · D8661.140.210.940.310.832
Thomas MeunierBelgium · D6761.60.672.260.271.731
Amadou OnanaBelgium · M4931.10.181.281.462.561
Dodi LukebakioBelgium · F4843.92.051.120.931.121
Zeno DebastBelgium · D4400.410.20.410.00.410
Alexis SaelemaekersBelgium · F4303.771.051.051.881.261

Advised props

Kevin De Bruyne 3+ Shots

Kevin De Bruyne has had 3 or more shots in 7 of his last 10 for Belgium, at 4.11 per 90 across 1,203 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.

Belgium take 18.45 shots a game and hit 7.0 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.

4/5Add
Merih Demiral 1+ Shots

Merih Demiral has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Türkiye, at 1.03 per 90 across 1,139 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

Türkiye take 15.6 shots a game and hit 4.85 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

8/11Add
Kevin De Bruyne 4+ Shots

Kevin De Bruyne has had 4 or more shots in 5 of his last 10 for Belgium, at 4.11 per 90 across 1,203 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.

Belgium take 18.45 shots a game and hit 7.0 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

2/1Add
Brandon Mechele 1+ Shots

Brandon Mechele has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Belgium, at 0.82 per 90 across 1,203 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

Belgium take 18.45 shots a game and hit 7.0 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

5/4Add
Brandon Mechele 1+ Fouls Committed

Brandon Mechele has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Belgium, at 0.97 per 90 across 1,203 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

Türkiye hold 54.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

8/11Add

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Türkiye · Last sixTürkiye have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six.
1/617%Türkiye · Last sixTürkiye have won in one of their last six.
6/6100%Belgium · Last six awayBelgium have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six on the road.
6/6100%Belgium · Last six awayBelgium have scored in every one of their last six on the road.
17/2085%Belgium · Last 20Belgium have gone past one and a half goals in 17 of their last twenty.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Türkiye

05 OctItaly (A)1-3L
02 OctBelgium (A)0-3L
28 SepItaly (H)1-4L
25 SepFrance (H)0-1L
26 JunUSA (H)3-2W
20 JunParaguay (H)0-1L

Belgium

05 OctFrance (A)1-4L
02 OctTürkiye (H)3-0W
28 SepFrance (H)0-1L
25 SepItaly (A)2-0W
10 JulSpain (A)1-2L
07 JulUSA (A)4-1W
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Build Your Own Türkiye vs Belgium Bet

Kevin De Bruyne 3+ Shots4/51.80
Why this betKevin De Bruyne has had 3 or more shots in 7 of his last 10 for Belgium, at 4.11 per 90 across 1,203 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Belgium take 18.45 shots a game and hit 7.0 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.
Merih Demiral 1+ Shots8/111.73
Why this betMerih Demiral has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Türkiye, at 1.03 per 90 across 1,139 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.Türkiye take 15.6 shots a game and hit 4.85 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Kevin De Bruyne 4+ Shots2/13.00
Why this betKevin De Bruyne has had 4 or more shots in 5 of his last 10 for Belgium, at 4.11 per 90 across 1,203 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Belgium take 18.45 shots a game and hit 7.0 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
Brandon Mechele 1+ Shots5/42.25
Why this betBrandon Mechele has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Belgium, at 0.82 per 90 across 1,203 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Belgium take 18.45 shots a game and hit 7.0 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
Brandon Mechele 1+ Fouls Committed8/111.73
Why this betBrandon Mechele has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Belgium, at 0.97 per 90 across 1,203 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Türkiye hold 54.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Arthur Theate 1+ Fouls Committed10/111.91
Why this betArthur Theate has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Belgium, at 0.94 per 90 across 866 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Türkiye hold 54.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.
Arda Guler to be Carded9/25.50
Why this betArda Guler has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Türkiye, at 0.25 per 90 across 1,447 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Türkiye pick up 1.95 cards a game and there are 3.6 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.
Belgium to Win5/61.83
Why this betBelgium have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 6, and on the road they have scored 2.91 a game and conceded 1.27 across 11 matches.Türkiye average 1.75 scored and 1.55 conceded. The venue splits project 1.37 against 2.39, which puts Belgium at about 55% to win, against 19% for the draw.
Over 2.5 Goals1/21.50
Why this betTürkiye have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Belgium in 60%, with 75% and 85% going past 1.5.Türkiye average 1.75 scored and 1.55 conceded, Belgium 2.80 and 0.90. On the venue splits that projects 1.37 against 2.39, about 3.8 goals in the match and 67% for over 2.5.
Correct Score 1-28/19.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Türkiye 1.37 against Belgium 2.39, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.5%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Belgium, which is where the board has the match too.
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