
England vs Croatia kicks off at 7.45pm on Thursday 12th November in the UEFA Nations League, and our bet builder for it pays 18/1 at bet365. Our numbers make over 9.5 corners about 69% and over 2.5 goals about 66%.
The build is five legs drawn from the corners, fouls, goals, shots on target and total goals markets. The one it leans on is Jude Bellingham 1+ Shot on Target — 9 of his last 10, 1.46 per 90.
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England vs Croatia Bet Builder
Anthony Gordon Anytime Goalscorer
Anthony Gordon has scored in 5 of his last 10 for England, at 0.56 per 90 across 968 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.
England score 2.50 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.
Over 9.5 Corners
England win 6.45 corners a game and Croatia 5.75, with 3.1 and 2.7 of those in the first half.
That leaves about 11 in the match, a 69% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Jude Bellingham 1+ Shot on Target
Jude Bellingham has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 10 for England, at 1.46 per 90 across 1,113 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.
England take 17.3 shots a game and hit 6.2 on target. That is about 90% on his own record, against the 77% implied by 3/10.
Luka Vušković 2+ Foul Committed
Luka Vušković has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Croatia, at 1.84 per 90 across 735 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.
England hold 61.35% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
Over 2.5 Goals
England have gone past 2.5 goals in 55% of their last 20 matches and Croatia in 80%, with 85% and 85% going past 1.5.
England average 2.50 scored and 0.85 conceded, Croatia 2.05 and 1.60. On the venue splits that projects 2.01 against 1.36, about 3.4 goals in the match and 66% for over 2.5.
England vs Croatia Bet Builder Tip
| 1 | Anthony Gordon Anytime Goalscorer5 of his last 10, 0.56 per 90Why this Leg |
| 2 | Over 9.5 Corners69% on our numbersWhy this Leg |
| 3 | Jude Bellingham 1+ Shot on Target9 of his last 10, 1.46 per 90Why this Leg |
| 4 | Luka Vušković 2+ Foul Committed5 of his last 10, 1.84 per 90Why this Leg |
| 5 | Over 2.5 Goals66% on our numbersWhy this Leg |
Today’s Football Betting Tips
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
