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England vs Croatia Bet Builder Tips

England vs Croatia kicks off at 7.45pm on Thursday 12th November in the UEFA Nations League, and our bet builder for it pays 18/1 at bet365. Our numbers make over 9.5 corners about 69% and over 2.5 goals about 66%.

The build is five legs drawn from the corners, fouls, goals, shots on target and total goals markets. The one it leans on is Jude Bellingham 1+ Shot on Target — 9 of his last 10, 1.46 per 90.

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England vs Croatia Bet Builder

Anthony Gordon Anytime Goalscorer

Anthony Gordon has scored in 5 of his last 10 for England, at 0.56 per 90 across 968 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.

England score 2.50 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.

GoalsAnthony Gordon Anytime Goalscorer6/4

Over 9.5 Corners

England win 6.45 corners a game and Croatia 5.75, with 3.1 and 2.7 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 11 in the match, a 69% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.

CornersOver 9.5 Corners5/6

Jude Bellingham 1+ Shot on Target

Jude Bellingham has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 10 for England, at 1.46 per 90 across 1,113 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.

England take 17.3 shots a game and hit 6.2 on target. That is about 90% on his own record, against the 77% implied by 3/10.

Shots on TargetJude Bellingham 1+ Shot on Target3/10

Luka Vušković 2+ Foul Committed

Luka Vušković has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Croatia, at 1.84 per 90 across 735 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

England hold 61.35% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

FoulsLuka Vušković 2+ Foul Committed5/4

Over 2.5 Goals

England have gone past 2.5 goals in 55% of their last 20 matches and Croatia in 80%, with 85% and 85% going past 1.5.

England average 2.50 scored and 0.85 conceded, Croatia 2.05 and 1.60. On the venue splits that projects 2.01 against 1.36, about 3.4 goals in the match and 66% for over 2.5.

Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals1/2

England vs Croatia Bet Builder Tip

1Anthony Gordon Anytime Goalscorer5 of his last 10, 0.56 per 90
Why this Leg

Anthony Gordon has scored in 5 of his last 10 for England, at 0.56 per 90 across 968 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.

England score 2.50 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.

2Over 9.5 Corners69% on our numbers
Why this Leg

England win 6.45 corners a game and Croatia 5.75, with 3.1 and 2.7 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 11 in the match, a 69% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.

3Jude Bellingham 1+ Shot on Target9 of his last 10, 1.46 per 90
Why this Leg

Jude Bellingham has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 10 for England, at 1.46 per 90 across 1,113 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.

England take 17.3 shots a game and hit 6.2 on target. That is about 90% on his own record, against the 77% implied by 3/10.

4Luka Vušković 2+ Foul Committed5 of his last 10, 1.84 per 90
Why this Leg

Luka Vušković has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Croatia, at 1.84 per 90 across 735 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

England hold 61.35% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

5Over 2.5 Goals66% on our numbers
Why this Leg

England have gone past 2.5 goals in 55% of their last 20 matches and Croatia in 80%, with 85% and 85% going past 1.5.

England average 2.50 scored and 0.85 conceded, Croatia 2.05 and 1.60. On the venue splits that projects 2.01 against 1.36, about 3.4 goals in the match and 66% for over 2.5.

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