Serbia vs Germany Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Serbia v Germany - Nations League predictions and stats
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Serbia vs Germany

Fri 13 Nov, 19:45 · Nations League

SerbiaLLLLLL
GermanyDWLDDL

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Serbia 8 in the Nations League and 12 across two others, Germany 6 in the Nations League and 14 across three others

Goals

0.95Scored per game2.15
1.60Conceded per game0.95
Home gamesAway games
1.22Scored1.38
1.33Conceded1.12
Correct Score 0-19/1

On the venue splits this projects Serbia 1.07 against Germany 1.62, and 0-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Germany, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

0.99xG for1.84
1.33xG against0.94
-0.04Goals vs xG+0.31
Germany to Win2/7

Germany have won 12 of their last 20, drawing 3, and on the road they have scored 1.38 a game and conceded 1.12 across 8 matches.

Serbia average 0.95 scored and 1.60 conceded. The venue splits project 1.07 against 1.62, which puts Germany at about 62% to win, against 25% for the draw.

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Under and Over

80%Over 1.5 goals85%
55%Over 2.5 goals55%
15%Over 3.5 goals30%
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Both Teams to Score

45%Both teams scored50%
5 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
8 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Shots

11.89Shots per game18.20
3.95On target per game6.30
33.2%Accuracy34.6%

Corners

4.79Won per game6.80
2.47First half3.60
51.6%Share before the break52.9%
Over 9.5 CornersEvens

Serbia win 4.79 corners a game and Germany 6.8, with 2.47 and 3.6 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 11 in the match, a 65% chance of 10 or more against the 50% implied by Evens.

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Cards and Fouls

2.95Cards in the match3.20
1.53Own cards per game1.30
1.32Cards by half time0.90
9.95Fouls committed11.00

Shooting Detail

8.11Shots inside the box12.25
3.79Shots outside the box5.95
5.21Off target7.10
2.74Blocked4.80

Big Chances

2.26Big chances created3.85
1.58Big chances missed2.25
30%Taken42%
21.74Touches in the box37.20

Record

6-4-10Won, drawn, lost12-3-5
5 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
8 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Possession

44.42%Average share65.65%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Andrija ZivkovicSerbia · F10871.160.410.581.162.152
Nikola MilenkovicSerbia · D9720.00.01.110.740.931
Dusan VlahovicSerbia · F9684.371.210.841.020.190
Lazar SamardzicSerbia · M8991.10.51.50.91.70
Nemanja MaksimovicSerbia · M8840.310.21.530.411.123
Strahinja ErakovicSerbia · D8740.10.00.510.511.961
Filip KosticSerbia · M7780.810.460.931.52.22
Nemanja GudeljSerbia · M7690.590.121.290.821.291
Luka JovicSerbia · F6832.770.920.40.920.131
Aleksandar MitrovicSerbia · F6124.561.321.181.470.590
Milos VeljkovicSerbia · D4190.210.01.720.211.51
Srdan BabicSerbia · D4050.00.01.330.670.890
Florian WirtzGermany · F15782.910.910.680.861.371
Jonathan TahGermany · D14950.30.181.380.120.963
Joshua KimmichGermany · M14681.10.490.491.721.720
Aleksandar PavlovicGermany · M10051.070.092.061.341.791
David RaumGermany · D8790.920.411.131.022.052
Nick WoltemadeGermany · F8452.450.751.60.961.070
Leon GoretzkaGermany · M8172.310.550.770.220.991
Nico SchlotterbeckGermany · D7841.030.461.150.571.952
Leroy SaneGermany · M7222.240.621.50.371.250
Nathaniel BrownGermany · D6950.520.260.650.653.370
Felix NmechaGermany · M6842.241.051.181.182.630
Serge GnabryGermany · M6833.161.450.530.791.050
Waldemar AntonGermany · D5621.280.321.440.641.121
Kai HavertzGermany · F5542.921.790.811.31.141
Antonio RudigerGermany · D4790.380.00.750.00.562
Jamal MusialaGermany · M4412.040.821.842.451.841
Karim AdeyemiGermany · F4013.820.92.241.350.453

Advised props

Felix Nmecha 1+ Shots on Target

Felix Nmecha has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Germany, at 1.05 per 90 across 684 minutes, and he averages 62 minutes a game when he plays.

Germany take 18.2 shots a game and hit 6.3 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

5/6Add
Jonathan Tah 2+ Fouls Committed

Jonathan Tah has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Germany, at 1.38 per 90 across 1,495 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

Serbia hold 44.42% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.

EvensAdd
Aleksandar Pavlovic 3+ Fouls Committed

Aleksandar Pavlovic has committed 3 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Germany, at 2.06 per 90 across 1,005 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.

Serbia hold 44.42% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

3/1Add
Nemanja Maksimovic to be Carded

Nemanja Maksimovic has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Serbia, at 0.31 per 90 across 884 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.

Serbia pick up 1.53 cards a game and there are 2.95 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.

4/1Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Serbia · Last sixSerbia have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
0/60%Serbia · Last six at homeSerbia have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six at home.
0/60%Germany · Last sixGermany have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six.
17/2085%Germany · Last 20Germany have gone past one and a half goals in 17 of their last twenty.
1/617%Germany · Last sixGermany have gone past two and a half goals in one of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Serbia

04 OctNetherlands (A)1-2L
01 OctGermany (A)0-2L
27 SepNetherlands (H)1-2L
24 SepGreece (H)1-2L
05 JunMexico (A)1-5L
31 MayCape Verde (A)0-3L

Germany

04 OctGreece (A)0-0D
01 OctSerbia (H)2-0W
27 SepGreece (H)0-1L
24 SepNetherlands (A)1-1D
29 JunParaguay (H)1-1D
25 JunEcuador (A)1-2L
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Build Your Own Serbia vs Germany Bet

Felix Nmecha 1+ Shots on Target5/61.83
Why this betFelix Nmecha has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Germany, at 1.05 per 90 across 684 minutes, and he averages 62 minutes a game when he plays.Germany take 18.2 shots a game and hit 6.3 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Jonathan Tah 2+ Fouls Committed1/12.00
Why this betJonathan Tah has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Germany, at 1.38 per 90 across 1,495 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Serbia hold 44.42% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
Aleksandar Pavlovic 3+ Fouls Committed3/14.00
Why this betAleksandar Pavlovic has committed 3 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Germany, at 2.06 per 90 across 1,005 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.Serbia hold 44.42% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
Nemanja Maksimovic to be Carded4/15.00
Why this betNemanja Maksimovic has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Serbia, at 0.31 per 90 across 884 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.Serbia pick up 1.53 cards a game and there are 2.95 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.
Over 9.5 Corners1/12.00
Why this betSerbia win 4.79 corners a game and Germany 6.8, with 2.47 and 3.6 of those in the first half.That leaves about 11 in the match, a 65% chance of 10 or more against the 50% implied by Evens.
Germany to Win2/71.29
Why this betGermany have won 12 of their last 20, drawing 3, and on the road they have scored 1.38 a game and conceded 1.12 across 8 matches.Serbia average 0.95 scored and 1.60 conceded. The venue splits project 1.07 against 1.62, which puts Germany at about 62% to win, against 25% for the draw.
Correct Score 0-19/110.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Serbia 1.07 against Germany 1.62, and 0-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Germany, which is where the board has the match too.
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