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Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Serbia 8 in the Nations League and 12 across two others, Germany 6 in the Nations League and 14 across three others
Goals
On the venue splits this projects Serbia 1.07 against Germany 1.62, and 0-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Germany, which is where the board has the match too.
Expected Goals
Germany have won 12 of their last 20, drawing 3, and on the road they have scored 1.38 a game and conceded 1.12 across 8 matches.
Serbia average 0.95 scored and 1.60 conceded. The venue splits project 1.07 against 1.62, which puts Germany at about 62% to win, against 25% for the draw.
Under and Over
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Both Teams to Score
Shots
Corners
Serbia win 4.79 corners a game and Germany 6.8, with 2.47 and 3.6 of those in the first half.
That leaves about 11 in the match, a 65% chance of 10 or more against the 50% implied by Evens.
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Cards and Fouls
Shooting Detail
Big Chances
Record
Possession
Player Props
Per 90| Player | Mins | Shots | On target | Fouls | Fouled | Tackles | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrija ZivkovicSerbia · F | 1087 | 1.16 | 0.41 | 0.58 | 1.16 | 2.15 | 2 |
| Nikola MilenkovicSerbia · D | 972 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.11 | 0.74 | 0.93 | 1 |
| Dusan VlahovicSerbia · F | 968 | 4.37 | 1.21 | 0.84 | 1.02 | 0.19 | 0 |
| Lazar SamardzicSerbia · M | 899 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0 |
| Nemanja MaksimovicSerbia · M | 884 | 0.31 | 0.2 | 1.53 | 0.41 | 1.12 | 3 |
| Strahinja ErakovicSerbia · D | 874 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 1.96 | 1 |
| Filip KosticSerbia · M | 778 | 0.81 | 0.46 | 0.93 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2 |
| Nemanja GudeljSerbia · M | 769 | 0.59 | 0.12 | 1.29 | 0.82 | 1.29 | 1 |
| Luka JovicSerbia · F | 683 | 2.77 | 0.92 | 0.4 | 0.92 | 0.13 | 1 |
| Aleksandar MitrovicSerbia · F | 612 | 4.56 | 1.32 | 1.18 | 1.47 | 0.59 | 0 |
| Milos VeljkovicSerbia · D | 419 | 0.21 | 0.0 | 1.72 | 0.21 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Srdan BabicSerbia · D | 405 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 0.89 | 0 |
| Florian WirtzGermany · F | 1578 | 2.91 | 0.91 | 0.68 | 0.86 | 1.37 | 1 |
| Jonathan TahGermany · D | 1495 | 0.3 | 0.18 | 1.38 | 0.12 | 0.96 | 3 |
| Joshua KimmichGermany · M | 1468 | 1.1 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 1.72 | 1.72 | 0 |
| Aleksandar PavlovicGermany · M | 1005 | 1.07 | 0.09 | 2.06 | 1.34 | 1.79 | 1 |
| David RaumGermany · D | 879 | 0.92 | 0.41 | 1.13 | 1.02 | 2.05 | 2 |
| Nick WoltemadeGermany · F | 845 | 2.45 | 0.75 | 1.6 | 0.96 | 1.07 | 0 |
| Leon GoretzkaGermany · M | 817 | 2.31 | 0.55 | 0.77 | 0.22 | 0.99 | 1 |
| Nico SchlotterbeckGermany · D | 784 | 1.03 | 0.46 | 1.15 | 0.57 | 1.95 | 2 |
| Leroy SaneGermany · M | 722 | 2.24 | 0.62 | 1.5 | 0.37 | 1.25 | 0 |
| Nathaniel BrownGermany · D | 695 | 0.52 | 0.26 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 3.37 | 0 |
| Felix NmechaGermany · M | 684 | 2.24 | 1.05 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 2.63 | 0 |
| Serge GnabryGermany · M | 683 | 3.16 | 1.45 | 0.53 | 0.79 | 1.05 | 0 |
| Waldemar AntonGermany · D | 562 | 1.28 | 0.32 | 1.44 | 0.64 | 1.12 | 1 |
| Kai HavertzGermany · F | 554 | 2.92 | 1.79 | 0.81 | 1.3 | 1.14 | 1 |
| Antonio RudigerGermany · D | 479 | 0.38 | 0.0 | 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.56 | 2 |
| Jamal MusialaGermany · M | 441 | 2.04 | 0.82 | 1.84 | 2.45 | 1.84 | 1 |
| Karim AdeyemiGermany · F | 401 | 3.82 | 0.9 | 2.24 | 1.35 | 0.45 | 3 |
Advised props
Felix Nmecha has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Germany, at 1.05 per 90 across 684 minutes, and he averages 62 minutes a game when he plays.
Germany take 18.2 shots a game and hit 6.3 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Jonathan Tah has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Germany, at 1.38 per 90 across 1,495 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.
Serbia hold 44.42% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
Aleksandar Pavlovic has committed 3 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Germany, at 2.06 per 90 across 1,005 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.
Serbia hold 44.42% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
Nemanja Maksimovic has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Serbia, at 0.31 per 90 across 884 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.
Serbia pick up 1.53 cards a game and there are 2.95 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.
Trends
Window shown per lineLast Six Matches
Most recent firstSerbia
Germany
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Build Your Own Serbia vs Germany Bet
Why this bet
Felix Nmecha has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Germany, at 1.05 per 90 across 684 minutes, and he averages 62 minutes a game when he plays.Germany take 18.2 shots a game and hit 6.3 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.Why this bet
Jonathan Tah has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Germany, at 1.38 per 90 across 1,495 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Serbia hold 44.42% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.Why this bet
Aleksandar Pavlovic has committed 3 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Germany, at 2.06 per 90 across 1,005 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.Serbia hold 44.42% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.Why this bet
Nemanja Maksimovic has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Serbia, at 0.31 per 90 across 884 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.Serbia pick up 1.53 cards a game and there are 2.95 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.Why this bet
Serbia win 4.79 corners a game and Germany 6.8, with 2.47 and 3.6 of those in the first half.That leaves about 11 in the match, a 65% chance of 10 or more against the 50% implied by Evens.Why this bet
Germany have won 12 of their last 20, drawing 3, and on the road they have scored 1.38 a game and conceded 1.12 across 8 matches.Serbia average 0.95 scored and 1.60 conceded. The venue splits project 1.07 against 1.62, which puts Germany at about 62% to win, against 25% for the draw.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Serbia 1.07 against Germany 1.62, and 0-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Germany, which is where the board has the match too.Prices change, so check the slip before you stake. bet365 does not allow every combination of legs within one game.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
