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Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Luxembourg 8 in the Nations League and 12 across two others, Estonia 8 in the Nations League and 12 across three others
Goals
On the venue splits this projects Luxembourg 1.07 against Estonia 1.06, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 12.6%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Luxembourg, which is where the board has the match too.
Expected Goals
Under and Over
Luxembourg have stayed under 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Estonia in 55%, with just 20% and 35% of their matches going past 3.5.
Luxembourg average 0.65 scored and 1.40 conceded, Estonia 0.90 and 1.60. On the venue splits that projects 1.07 against 1.06, about 2.1 goals in the match and 62% for under 2.5.
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Both Teams to Score
Shots
Corners
Luxembourg win 3.67 corners a game and Estonia 2.81, with 1.72 and 1.94 of those in the first half.
That leaves about 6 in the match, a 68% chance of 7 or fewer against the 50% implied by 1/1.
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Cards and Fouls
Shooting Detail
Big Chances
Record
Possession
Player Props
Per 90| Player | Mins | Shots | On target | Fouls | Fouled | Tackles | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurent JansLuxembourg · D | 1262 | 0.36 | 0.0 | 0.86 | 0.57 | 1.85 | 4 |
| Florian BohnertLuxembourg · D | 1250 | 0.14 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.43 | 1.37 | 4 |
| Danel SinaniLuxembourg · M | 1210 | 2.6 | 0.74 | 2.45 | 1.34 | 0.89 | 7 |
| Leandro BarreiroLuxembourg · M | 1194 | 0.38 | 0.15 | 1.73 | 3.47 | 1.28 | 3 |
| Seid KoracLuxembourg · D | 1146 | 1.1 | 0.31 | 1.41 | 0.47 | 2.51 | 3 |
| Mathias OlesenLuxembourg · M | 1049 | 0.94 | 0.51 | 0.94 | 0.86 | 0.51 | 3 |
| Tomas de Sousa MoreiraLuxembourg · M | 1027 | 0.96 | 0.53 | 1.14 | 0.53 | 0.35 | 3 |
| Aiman DardariLuxembourg · F | 976 | 1.57 | 0.65 | 1.11 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0 |
| Christopher MartinsLuxembourg · M | 875 | 0.72 | 0.1 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 2 |
| Enes MahmutovicLuxembourg · D | 799 | 0.23 | 0.11 | 1.35 | 0.9 | 1.58 | 3 |
| Vincent ThillLuxembourg · M | 598 | 3.01 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.96 | 3.46 | 0 |
| Marvin MartinsLuxembourg · D | 425 | 0.21 | 0.0 | 0.64 | 1.06 | 0.64 | 1 |
| Michael Schjonning-LarsenEstonia · D | 1334 | 0.34 | 0.07 | 0.61 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 1 |
| Maksim PaskotsiEstonia · D | 1189 | 0.91 | 0.45 | 1.21 | 0.08 | 1.21 | 3 |
| Mattias KaitEstonia · M | 998 | 1.35 | 0.81 | 1.26 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1 |
| Vlasiy SinyavskiyEstonia · D | 993 | 0.54 | 0.18 | 0.45 | 0.82 | 1.18 | 1 |
| Marten KuuskEstonia · D | 885 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.22 | 0.92 | 1.22 | 2 |
| Karol MetsEstonia · D | 838 | 0.11 | 0.0 | 1.83 | 0.54 | 1.29 | 5 |
| Kevor PalumetsEstonia · M | 810 | 0.56 | 0.33 | 0.56 | 0.33 | 1.11 | 2 |
| Rasmus PeetsonEstonia · D | 747 | 0.84 | 0.72 | 1.81 | 0.96 | 2.65 | 5 |
| Rocco Robert SheinEstonia · F | 639 | 1.13 | 0.28 | 1.41 | 0.7 | 1.41 | 2 |
| Patrik KristalEstonia · M | 623 | 1.3 | 0.14 | 2.46 | 2.46 | 1.88 | 2 |
| Markus PoomEstonia · M | 615 | 1.17 | 0.0 | 1.02 | 0.29 | 1.61 | 1 |
| Ioan YakovlevEstonia · M | 546 | 1.32 | 0.33 | 0.66 | 0.99 | 1.32 | 0 |
| Markus SoometsEstonia · M | 500 | 0.18 | 0.0 | 2.16 | 0.54 | 1.44 | 1 |
| Alex Matthias TammEstonia · F | 472 | 0.95 | 0.19 | 2.86 | 1.53 | 0.95 | 2 |
| Joseph SalisteEstonia · D | 470 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.96 | 0.57 | 2.49 | 1 |
| Robi SaarmaEstonia · F | 445 | 1.62 | 0.61 | 2.22 | 1.21 | 1.62 | 0 |
| Rauno SappinenEstonia · F | 423 | 1.49 | 1.49 | 2.13 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 1 |
Advised props
Aiman Dardari has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Luxembourg, at 1.57 per 90 across 976 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.
Luxembourg take 9.89 shots a game and hit 3.33 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Karol Mets has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for Estonia, at 1.83 per 90 across 838 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.
Luxembourg hold 50.39% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Danel Sinani has been booked in 6 of his last 10 for Luxembourg, at 0.52 per 90 across 1,210 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.
Luxembourg pick up 2.67 cards a game and there are 4.78 in their matches. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Trends
Window shown per lineLast Six Matches
Most recent firstLuxembourg
Estonia

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Build Your Own Luxembourg vs Estonia Bet
Why this bet
Aiman Dardari has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Luxembourg, at 1.57 per 90 across 976 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Luxembourg take 9.89 shots a game and hit 3.33 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
Karol Mets has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for Estonia, at 1.83 per 90 across 838 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Luxembourg hold 50.39% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
Danel Sinani has been booked in 6 of his last 10 for Luxembourg, at 0.52 per 90 across 1,210 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.Luxembourg pick up 2.67 cards a game and there are 4.78 in their matches. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
Luxembourg win 3.67 corners a game and Estonia 2.81, with 1.72 and 1.94 of those in the first half.That leaves about 6 in the match, a 68% chance of 7 or fewer against the 50% implied by 1/1.Why this bet
Luxembourg have stayed under 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Estonia in 55%, with just 20% and 35% of their matches going past 3.5.Luxembourg average 0.65 scored and 1.40 conceded, Estonia 0.90 and 1.60. On the venue splits that projects 1.07 against 1.06, about 2.1 goals in the match and 62% for under 2.5.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Luxembourg 1.07 against Estonia 1.06, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 12.6%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Luxembourg, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Luxembourg are expected 1.20 at home and Estonia 1.17 away, so 2.37 in the match. Our numbers make it 42% against the 40% the price implies.Why this bet
Both sides are expected to score – 1.20 and 1.17. Our numbers make it 48% against the 48% the price implies.Prices change, so check the slip before you stake. bet365 does not allow every combination of legs within one game.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
