Moldova vs Kazakhstan Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
Moldova v Kazakhstan - Nations League predictions and stats
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Moldova vs Kazakhstan

Fri 13 Nov, 17:00 · Nations League

MoldovaLWDLDD
KazakhstanDLLDLD

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Moldova 5 in the Nations League and 15 across two others, Kazakhstan 5 in the Nations League and 15 across three others

Goals

0.80Scored per game1.10
2.65Conceded per game1.70
Home gamesAway games
0.62Scored0.82
2.88Conceded2.45
Correct Score 2-110/1

On the venue splits this projects Moldova 1.22 against Kazakhstan 1.60, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 6.9%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Moldova, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

0.82xG for1.00
2.50xG against1.45
-0.02Goals vs xG+0.10

Under and Over

95%Over 1.5 goals80%
50%Over 2.5 goals45%
40%Over 3.5 goals35%
Over 2.5 Goals6/4

Moldova are expected 1.54 at home and Kazakhstan 1.85 away, so 3.39 in the match. Our numbers make it 66% against the 40% the price implies.

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Both Teams to Score

55%Both teams scored50%
1 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
8 of 20Failed to score5 of 20
Both Teams to Score11/10

Both teams have scored in 11 of Moldova’s last 20 matches and 10 of Kazakhstan’s. Moldova concede 2.65 a game and Kazakhstan 1.70.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.22 against 1.60, which puts both teams scoring at about 54%.

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Shots

12.08Shots per game12.71
3.85On target per game3.21
31.9%Accuracy25.3%

Corners

4.15Won per game4.93
1.62First half2.50
39.0%Share before the break50.7%
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Cards and Fouls

3.23Cards in the match3.57
1.62Own cards per game2.50
1.15Cards by half time1.43
12.15Fouls committed13.57

Shooting Detail

6.69Shots inside the box6.71
5.38Shots outside the box6.00
5.31Off target5.57
2.92Blocked3.93

Big Chances

1.23Big chances created1.43
1.08Big chances missed0.86
12%Taken40%
17.54Touches in the box18.93

Record

2-5-13Won, drawn, lost5-5-10
1 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
8 of 20Failed to score5 of 20

Possession

40.15%Average share44.50%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Oleg ReabciukMoldova · D10300.790.171.41.571.493
Vladislav BabogloMoldova · D10020.810.091.350.631.712
Vadim RataMoldova · M7820.460.01.841.041.54
Mihail CaimacovMoldova · M6461.110.561.392.791.812
Virgiliu PostolachiMoldova · F6411.120.280.71.260.421
Artur CraciunMoldova · D6020.450.450.750.31.50
Nikita MotpanMoldova · M5601.290.160.961.123.860
Ion NicolaescuMoldova · F5483.121.310.990.990.662
Mihail GherasimencovMoldova · D5080.180.00.181.590.710
Sergiu PerciunMoldova · M4282.311.052.310.840.630
Sergiu PlaticaMoldova · D4171.080.430.860.652.371
Nuraly AlipKazakhstan · D12430.870.360.720.432.240
Yan VorogovskiyKazakhstan · D10861.240.170.990.412.321
Maksim SamorodovKazakhstan · F7882.740.462.061.480.694
Islam ChesnokovKazakhstan · M6561.920.142.22.21.921
Alibek KasymKazakhstan · D6300.570.291.00.430.291
Galymzhan KenzhebekKazakhstan · F6224.051.451.591.161.883
Islambek KuatKazakhstan · M5950.610.01.360.451.215
Ramazan OrazovKazakhstan · M5530.490.161.791.32.282
Dinmukhamed KaramanKazakhstan · M4600.980.391.170.782.930

Advised props

Maksim Samorodov 1+ Shots

Maksim Samorodov has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 for Kazakhstan, at 2.74 per 90 across 788 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

Kazakhstan take 12.71 shots a game and hit 3.21 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Vladislav Baboglo 1+ Fouls Committed

Vladislav Baboglo has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Moldova, at 1.35 per 90 across 1,002 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Kazakhstan hold 44.5% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Moldova · Last sixMoldova have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
0/60%Moldova · Last sixMoldova have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six.
6/6100%Moldova · Last six at homeMoldova have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six at home.
6/6100%Kazakhstan · Last sixKazakhstan have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Kazakhstan · Last sixKazakhstan have scored in every one of their last six.
0/60%Kazakhstan · Last sixKazakhstan have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Moldova

06 OctSlovakia (H)0-4L
02 OctKazakhstan (A)2-1W
29 SepFaroe Islands (H)1-1D
26 SepSlovakia (A)0-2L
09 JunArmenia (A)1-1D
05 JunBulgaria (H)2-2D

Kazakhstan

06 OctFaroe Islands (H)2-2D
02 OctMoldova (H)1-2L
29 SepSlovakia (A)1-2L
26 SepFaroe Islands (A)1-1D
09 JunHungary (A)1-3L
06 JunArmenia (A)1-1D
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Build Your Own Moldova vs Kazakhstan Bet

Maksim Samorodov 1+ Shots
Why this betMaksim Samorodov has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 for Kazakhstan, at 2.74 per 90 across 788 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Kazakhstan take 12.71 shots a game and hit 3.21 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Vladislav Baboglo 1+ Fouls Committed
Why this betVladislav Baboglo has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Moldova, at 1.35 per 90 across 1,002 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Kazakhstan hold 44.5% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Both Teams to Score11/102.10
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 11 of Moldova’s last 20 matches and 10 of Kazakhstan’s. Moldova concede 2.65 a game and Kazakhstan 1.70.On the venue splits the projection is 1.22 against 1.60, which puts both teams scoring at about 54%.
Correct Score 2-110/111.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Moldova 1.22 against Kazakhstan 1.60, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 6.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Moldova, which is where the board has the match too.
Over 2.5 Goals6/42.50
Why this betMoldova are expected 1.54 at home and Kazakhstan 1.85 away, so 3.39 in the match. Our numbers make it 66% against the 40% the price implies.
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