The biggest flat meeting of the summer is finally here, so check out our Royal Ascot trends and stats for day one on Tuesday 16th June 2026.
We’ve got top action from the Berkshire track on day one of Royal Ascot with seven live races. There are three Group 1s including the Queen Anne Stakes, the King Charles III Stakes and the St James’s Palace Stakes. We also have a Group 2 for two-year-olds (the Coventry Stakes), a listed contest (the Wolferton Stakes), and two competitive handicaps (the Ascot Stakes and Copper Horse Stakes).
For Brian’s seven actual selections across the Day 1 card, see our Royal Ascot Day 1 tips article.
Royal Ascot Day 1 ITV Schedule
| Time | Race | Class |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | Queen Anne Stakes | Group 1, 1m, 4yo+ |
| 15:05 | Coventry Stakes | Group 2, 6f, 2yo |
| 15:40 | King Charles III Stakes | Group 1, 5f, 3yo+ |
| 16:20 | St James’s Palace Stakes | Group 1, 1m, 3yo Colts |
| 17:00 | Ascot Stakes | Class 2 Handicap, 2m4f |
| 17:35 | Wolferton Stakes | Listed, 1m2f |
| 18:10 | Copper Horse Stakes | Class 2 Handicap, 1m6f |
Get a Free Bet for Royal Ascot Day 1
Best Odds Guaranteed (BOG) is available on all UK and Irish horse racing at the major bookmakers — if you take a price and the SP drifts to a bigger one, you’ll be paid out at the bigger price. Royal Ascot is the meeting where BOG delivers the most cumulative value across the week. Read our Best Odds Guaranteed guide for the bookmakers offering BOG. For ante-post bettors, the Non-Runner No Bet guide explains how NRNB protects your stakes if your selection doesn’t run.
14:30 Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1, 1m) — Trends
The Queen Anne Stakes opens Royal Ascot every year and the trends point firmly towards a 4 or 5 year-old with previous Group 1 winning form.
Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners
| Year | Winner | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Docklands | 14/1 |
| 2024 | Charyn | 100/30 fav |
| 2023 | Triple Time | 33/1 |
| 2022 | Baaeed | 1/6 fav |
| 2021 | Palace Pier | 2/7 fav |
| 2020 | Circus Maximus | 4/1 fav |
| 2019 | Lord Glitters | 14/1 |
| 2018 | Accidental Agent | 33/1 |
| 2017 | Ribchester | 11/10 fav |
Queen Anne Stakes Key Trends (Last 24 Runnings)
- 23/24 aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 21/24 previous winners over 1 mile
- 18/24 returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
- 18/24 had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
- 17/24 won by a 4-year-old
- 16/24 had already won a Group 1 race
- 16/24 returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
- 12/24 ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
- 11/24 trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (4) or owned by Godolphin (4)
- 11/24 had never run at Ascot before
- 10/24 won their previous race
- 10/24 favourites that were unplaced
- 9/24 winning favourites
Queen Anne Stakes Stall Bias
- Only 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
- 15 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 4 or higher
Queen Anne Stakes Trainer Notes
- Godolphin have won the race 8 times in total
- Charlie Appleby is yet to win the race
What This Means
The Queen Anne is a race for proven Group 1 winners aged 4 or 5. Three-year-olds barely feature. The favourite has won less than half the time despite shorter prices being the norm — this is a race where finding the right 4yo at a value price (10/1-25/1 range) has delivered consistent returns. Lockinge Stakes form is the strongest pointer, with half the recent winners coming through that race. Avoid stall 1 — only 11% of winners have come from there over 18 years.
Take a price on the Queen Anne Stakes with BOG protection →
15:05 Coventry Stakes (Group 2, 6f) — Trends
The Coventry is the curtain-raiser for the 2-year-old Group race programme each year and produces some of Royal Ascot’s most striking longshot results.
Recent Coventry Stakes Winners
| Year | Winner | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Gstaad | 7/2 fav |
| 2024 | Rashabar | 80/1 |
| 2023 | River Tiber | 11/8 fav |
| 2022 | Bradsell | 8/1 |
| 2021 | Berkshire Shadow | 11/1 |
| 2020 | Nando Parrado | 150/1 |
| 2019 | Arizona | 15/8 fav |
| 2018 | Calyx | 2/1 fav |
| 2017 | Rajasinghe | 11/1 |
Coventry Stakes Key Trends (Last 24 Runnings)
- 22/24 won their previous race
- 22/24 had never raced at Ascot before
- 21/24 had between 1 and 2 previous career runs
- 19/24 returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 18/24 foaled in either February or March
- 17/24 came from the top three in the betting
- 14/24 won over 6f before
- 12/24 winning favourites (3 joint)
- 8/24 ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
- 8/24 trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 in total)
- 5/24 ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of the last 15)
- 2/24 trained by Richard Hannon
- 2/24 won by a January foal
Coventry Stakes Stall Bias
- 15 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
- 10 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inclusive)
What This Means
The Coventry has produced a 150/1 winner (Nando Parrado, 2020) and an 80/1 winner (Rashabar, 2024) in recent memory — this race is a longshot specialist. That said, the trends point to a winner from the top three in the betting in 17 of the last 24 runnings, so most upsets come from genuinely fancied but not favoured runners. Aidan O’Brien dominates the historical record. Stall draw matters significantly — high-numbered stalls (6+) have produced the vast majority of winners, with stall 1-5 horses struggling. February and March foals have a notable edge over later-born horses, reflecting the maturity advantage at 2-year-old level.
15:40 King Charles III Stakes (Group 1, 5f) — Trends
The 5-furlong sprint Group 1 (formerly the King’s Stand Stakes) has become a genuinely international race in recent years, with Australian-trained sprinters making the trip and winning multiple times.
Recent King Charles III Stakes Winners
| Year | Winner | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | American Affair | 11/1 |
| 2024 | Asfoora | 5/1 |
| 2023 | Bradsell | 14/1 |
| 2022 | Nature Strip | 9/4 |
| 2021 | Oxted | 4/1 |
| 2020 | Battaash | 5/6 fav |
| 2019 | Blue Point | 5/2 |
| 2018 | Blue Point | 6/1 |
| 2017 | Lady Aurelia | 7/2 |
King Charles III Stakes Key Trends (Last 24 Runnings)
- 23/24 aged 7 or younger
- 22/24 had won a Group race before
- 20/24 aged 4 or older
- 20/24 had won over 5f before
- 17/24 returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 14/24 finished first or second last time out
- 14/24 had run at Ascot before (9 had won at the track)
- 13/24 favourites placed
- 13/24 won by a non-UK based trained horse
- 6/24 ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
- 7/24 favourites that finished third
- 5/24 won by an Australian-trained horse
- 4/24 winning favourites
- 4/24 3-year-old winners
King Charles III Stakes Stall Bias
- A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 14 of the last 18 runnings
- 3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 10
King Charles III Stakes Trainer Notes
- Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 9
- Robert Cowell has won 2 of the last 15
- 10 of the last 22 winners came from non-UK-trained horses
What This Means
This is the most international race on Day 1. Five Australian-trained winners over 24 runnings (and 10 non-UK winners) reflects the global pull of Royal Ascot for elite sprinters. Australian trial horses through Flemington and French horses through Chantilly are the standout overseas pointers. Stall 10 has been historically lucky — three of the last eight winners. Avoid 3-year-olds in this race (just 4/24 winners). Defending champion American Affair is bidding to repeat — and 2018/2019 Blue Point showed back-to-back wins are achievable.
Take a price on the King Charles III Stakes with BOG protection →
16:20 St James’s Palace Stakes (Group 1, 1m) — Trends
The premier 3-year-old colts’ mile of the European calendar. The trends here are some of the cleanest at Royal Ascot — favourites perform, Group winners arrive, and the 2000 Guineas / Irish 2000 Guineas form is gospel.
Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners
| Year | Winner | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Field Of Gold | 8/11 fav |
| 2024 | Rosallion | 5/2 |
| 2023 | Paddington | 11/5 |
| 2022 | Coroebus | 10/11 fav |
| 2021 | Poetic Flare | 7/2 fav |
| 2020 | Palace Pier | 4/1 |
| 2019 | Circus Maximus | 10/1 |
| 2018 | Without Parole | 9/4 fav |
| 2017 | Barney Roy | 5/2 |
St James’s Palace Stakes Key Trends (Last 24 Runnings)
- 24/24 returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
- 21/24 had won over a mile before
- 20/24 favourites that were placed
- 19/24 had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
- 19/24 previous Group 1 or 2 winners
- 17/24 previous Group 1 winners
- 17/24 returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
- 15/24 won their previous race
- 14/24 winning favourites (1 joint)
- 13/24 ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (10 won it)
- 10/24 Irish-trained winners
- 7/24 won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (9 total)
- 7/24 had run at Ascot before
St James’s Palace Stakes Stall Bias
- Just 4 winners from stall 1 or 2 in the last 18 runnings
- 7 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 4 or 5
- 3 of the last 12 winners ridden by Ryan Moore
St James’s Palace Stakes Trainer Notes
- Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 9
- John Gosden has won 3 of the last 9
- Aidan O’Brien has won this race 9 times in total
What This Means
This is the most form-dependable Group 1 at the meeting. Every winner in the last 24 runnings has returned 10/1 or shorter. 17 of 24 winners arrived as Group 1 winners themselves. 13 of 24 winners ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas last time out, with 10 winning it. If a horse hasn’t won a Group race already at 1 mile, the historical data says they won’t win this. Favourites have a 58% win rate — exceptionally high for a Group 1. Avoid stalls 1 and 2 — just 22% of winners have come from there. Stalls 4 and 5 are statistically the strongest draw.
Take a price on the St James’s Palace Stakes with BOG protection →
17:00 Ascot Stakes (Class 2 Handicap, 2m4f) — Trends
The Ascot Stakes is a marathon handicap that produces consistent value for stables better known for their National Hunt operations. Willie Mullins has dominated in recent years.
Recent Ascot Stakes Winners
| Year | Winner | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ascending | 20/1 |
| 2024 | Pledgeofallegiance | 20/1 |
| 2023 | Ahorsewithnoname | 7/1 |
| 2022 | Coltrane | 14/1 |
| 2021 | Reshoun | 66/1 |
| 2020 | Coeur De Lion | 16/1 |
| 2019 | The Grand Visir | 12/1 |
| 2018 | Lagostovegas | 10/1 |
| 2017 | Thomas Hobson | 4/1 fav |
Ascot Stakes Key Trends (Last 24 Runnings)
- 21/24 carried 8-13 or more
- 18/24 had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
- 17/24 won by a stable better known for their NH runners
- 17/24 had won over at least 2m on the flat before
- 14/24 returned a double-figure price in the betting
- 13/24 aged either 4 or 5 years-old
- 11/24 won their previous race
- 4/24 trained by Willie Mullins (4 of the last 14)
- 3/24 trained by the Pipe stable
- 3/24 ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 14)
- 3/24 winning favourites
- 2/24 trained by Ian Williams
Ascot Stakes Stall Bias
- Just 2 winners or placed horses from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
Ascot Stakes Jockey Notes
- William Buick has ridden 2 of the last 5 winners
- 2 of the last 6 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
What This Means
The Ascot Stakes is a longshot lover’s race — only 3 of 24 winning favourites, and 14 of 24 winners returning double-figure prices. The 66/1 Reshoun (2021) and back-to-back 20/1 winners (Pledgeofallegiance 2024, Ascending 2025) show how this race rewards each-way punters. NH-leaning stables dominate — 17 of 24 winners came from yards better known for jumps racing. Willie Mullins has won 4 of the last 14. Class 2 handicap markets typically pay 1/4 odds on each-way bets to four places at Royal Ascot. Stall 1 is poison in this race.
17:35 Wolferton Stakes (Listed, 1m2f) — Trends
The Wolferton is a Listed contest that typically produces value-priced winners and is a notorious favourite-graveyard.
Recent Wolferton Stakes Winners
| Year | Winner | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Haatem | 8/1 |
| 2024 | Israr | 11/4 fav |
| 2023 | Royal Champion | 16/1 |
| 2022 | Dubai Future | 20/1 |
| 2021 | Juan Elcano | 14/1 |
| 2020 | Mountain Angel | 8/1 |
| 2019 | Addeybb | 5/1 |
| 2018 | Monarchs Glen | 8/1 |
| 2017 | Snoano | 25/1 |
Wolferton Stakes Key Trends (Last 23 Runnings)
- 18/23 had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
- 17/23 had won 3 or more races during their career
- 16/23 finished unplaced last time out
- 15/23 had won over 1m2f or further before
- 14/23 aged 4 years-old
- 14/23 had run at Ascot before
- 11/23 unplaced favourites
- 11/23 returned a double-figure price
- 7/23 ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
- 5/23 trained by John Gosden (5 of last 15)
- 4/23 trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
- 3/23 winning favourites
Wolferton Stakes Stall Bias
- 5 of the last 10 winners came from stall 5
- 15 of the last 20 winners returned 7/1 or bigger
- 9 of the last 11 winners aged 4 or 5
What This Means
Favourites have an awful record in the Wolferton — just 3 winning favourites in 23 runnings, with 11 of 23 unplaced. The race rewards 4-year-olds (14 of 23) at prices 7/1 or bigger (15 of last 20). 16 of 23 winners finished unplaced in their previous race — this is a race where recent form matters less than career form. Stall 5 is statistically golden — 50% of recent winners. John Gosden dominates the recent training record with 5 wins from the last 15 runnings.
Take a price on the Wolferton Stakes with BOG protection →
18:10 Copper Horse Stakes (Class 2 Handicap, 1m6f) — Trends
The Copper Horse is the newest race on the Royal Ascot Day 1 card — only six runnings have taken place. The trend dataset is small but already showing clear patterns.
Recent Copper Horse Stakes Winners
| Year | Winner | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | French Master | 5/2 fav |
| 2024 | Belloccio | 4/1 |
| 2023 | Vauban | Evens |
| 2022 | Get Shirty | 16/1 |
| 2021 | Amtiyaz | 33/1 |
| 2020 | Fujaira Prince | 3/1 fav |
Copper Horse Stakes Key Trends (6 Runnings)
- 6/6 carried 9-1 or more
- 6/6 carried between 9-1 and 9-8
- 6/6 aged between 4-6 (3 winners aged 6)
- 3/6 winning favourites
Copper Horse Stakes Trainer Notes
- Willie Mullins won this race in 2023 and 2024
- David O’Meara won this race in 2022
- John Gosden won this race in 2021 and 2025
- Roger Varian won this race in 2020
What This Means
With only six runnings, the trends are tentative — but the patterns are striking. All six winners carried between 9-1 and 9-8 (suggesting the top of the handicap is where the value sits, not the bottom). All six winners were aged 4-6. Three of the six were winning favourites, with the other three at 4/1, 16/1, and 33/1 — so this isn’t a longshot race historically. Willie Mullins won back-to-back in 2023-2024, and Gosden has won in two of the last five years. John Gosden’s runners deserve close attention.
Royal Ascot Day 1 Cross-Race Trends
A handful of patterns repeat across multiple races on the card:
- Stall 1 is a graveyard. Queen Anne (just 2 winners in 18), Ascot Stakes (just 2 placed in 18), St James’s Palace (just 4 from stalls 1-2 in 18) all show clear stall 1 biases. Avoid unless the horse is exceptional.
- Stalls 4-5 are statistically strong across the Group races (Queen Anne, St James’s Palace especially).
- Stall 10 has lucky form in the King Charles III (3 of last 8 winners).
- Stall 5 is golden in the Wolferton (5 of last 10 winners).
- Aidan O’Brien dominates in multiple races — 11 Coventry wins, 9 St James’s Palace wins.
- Willie Mullins is the value trainer for handicaps — 4 Ascot Stakes wins, 2 Copper Horse wins.
- John Gosden’s record is strongest in the Wolferton (5 from last 15) and Copper Horse (2 from last 6).
- The Group 1 races reward form over speculation. St James’s Palace especially — 24/24 winners returned 10/1 or shorter.
- The handicaps reward value bets. Ascot Stakes (14/24 double-figure winners) and Wolferton (15 of last 20 winners at 7/1+) are where each-way punters thrive.
Royal Ascot Day 1 BOG and NRNB Reminder
Best Odds Guaranteed delivers cumulative value across Royal Ascot — if you take morning prices on multiple selections across the week and SPs drift, BOG bookmakers pay out at the bigger price. Across 35 Royal Ascot races, that adds up. See our Best Odds Guaranteed guide for the full list of bookmakers offering BOG.
Non-Runner No Bet protects ante-post stakes on Royal Ascot’s marquee races — particularly the Group 1s (Queen Anne, King Charles III, St James’s Palace on Day 1). If you backed a horse ante-post and it doesn’t make the final declarations, NRNB returns your stake. Read our Non-Runner No Bet guide for full details.
More Royal Ascot and Horse Racing Content
- Royal Ascot Day 1 Tips Tuesday 16 June 2026 — Brian’s seven selections including NAP Bow Echo
- ITV Racing Hub — daily ITV Racing previews and tips
- Best Odds Guaranteed Explained — BOG bookmakers and how it works
- Non-Runner No Bet Explained — NRNB guide for ante-post bettors
- Tom Segal Pricewise Tips — pricewise pundit picks for the major meetings
- Horse Racing Betting Sites — UK welcome offers for racing punters
- Each-Way Betting Explained — how each-way bets work
- Lucky 15 Betting Guide — multiple bet structures explained
18+. Trends data correct at time of publishing. Best Odds Guaranteed applies at participating bookmakers on UK and Irish horse racing — see our BOG guide for details. Each-Way terms vary by bookmaker. New customers only at each bookmaker. T&Cs apply. Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org | GamCare.org.uk
Andy is the founder, owner and editor of thatsagoal.com, with over 20 years of experience in betting on sports. He has a keen eye for stats, particularly when looking at players to be carded, and these form a large part of the bet builder tips you see on the site. As well as creating daily football tips, Andy also keeps thatsagoal updated with all the best bookmaker promotions and offers for our readers.