England face their hardest test yet in the early hours of Monday morning (UK time) as they head to Mexico City to take on Mexico at the Azteca.
Mexico are having a brilliant tournament as they play in their home ground, which is renowned worldwide as being a terribly hard venue for away sides. They’ve won all of their games so far without conceding a goal.
England have had a poor tournament despite getting through to this stage. They squeezed past DR Congo in the round of 32 with a 2-1 victory.
Kick-off is 1am UK on Monday 6 July at Estadio Azteca, live on BBC One and BBC iPlayer.
Mexico vs England Bet Builder — 22/1 with bet365
| Leg | Odds |
|---|---|
| Mexico to Win | 21/10 |
| Both Teams to Score | 21/20 |
| Harry Kane Over 0.5 Shots on Target | 1/3 |
| Declan Rice Over 1.5 Fouls | 15/8 |
| Combined four-fold | 22/1 |
Mexico to Win @ 21/10
Mexico are great odds to win this one against Thomas Tuchel’s Three Lions. The conditions at the Azteca will play heavily in their favour, as the altitude will be almost unbearable for the England players. At the same time, the Mexicans are comfortable playing in those conditions. They are yet to concede a goal at the World Cup, and look very comfortable at the back. England have been underwhelming, with a draw against Ghana, a performance against Panama that left a lot to be desired, and a tight 2-1 victory over DR Congo, who were the second-lowest-ranked side in the knockout stages of the World Cup. I think the odds of 21/10 for Mexico to win here is very generous.
Both Teams to Score @ 21/20
Despite thinking England will struggle here, particularly due to the conditions, I do think they’ll manage at least a goal against Mexico. Although Mexico haven’t conceded, England have fantastic attacking prowess, with powerhouse Harry Kane leading the line. England have scored eight goals in four games, drawing a blank only in that 0-0 draw with Ghana, while Mexico have scored in every game. I think both teams to score is a safe bet here.
Harry Kane Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ 1/3
The shortest odds on the bet builder is Harry Kane to have one or more shots on target at 1/3. This is by far the most likely selection to come in, as Kane has bagged five goals in his four appearances at the World Cup already. The Bayern Munich man has had a total of 18 shots, with nine of them being on target, an average of more than two per game. England will create chances, and I think Kane will have at least one shot on target.
Declan Rice Over 1.5 Fouls @ 15/8
I’m backing Declan Rice to have two or more fouls in this one. The England midfielder has been carded once in his three World Cup appearances so far, making two fouls. I think this will be a real midfield battle, and with the conditions of both the heat and the cauldron of Mexican fans, I think there will be plenty of pressure for the likes of Rice. He will be responsible for breaking up play, and his side might not have the lion’s share of possession as they’re used to. He’s not a dirty player, but I think he might be forced into a couple of fouls here. At odds of 15/8, I think there’s a good chance this selection lands.
Alternative Bet — Harry Kane Over 1.5 Shots on Target at 8/5
With an average of more than two per game, it’s a fairly safe alternative bet to take Harry Kane to have two or more shots on target, rather than one or more. Odds of 8/5 increases the odds to 50/1 with bet365.
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Andy is the founder, owner and editor of thatsagoal.com, with over 20 years of experience in betting on sports. He has a keen eye for stats, particularly when looking at players to be carded, and these form a large part of the bet builder tips you see on the site. As well as creating daily football tips, Andy also keeps thatsagoal updated with all the best bookmaker promotions and offers for our readers.