Fenerbahce vs Liverpool Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

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Fenerbahce vs Liverpool

Wed 4 Nov, 17:45 · Champions League

FenerbahceLLDWLW

LiverpoolLWWWWL

Our predictionNelson Semedo 2+ Fouls Committed5/4

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Fenerbahce 9 in the Champions League and 11 in another competition, Liverpool 16 in the Premier League and 4 in the Champions League

Goals

1.90Scored per game1.80

1.25Conceded per game1.45

Home gamesAway games

2.45Scored2.38

1.18Conceded1.75

Expected Goals

1.31xG for1.62

0.92xG against1.33

+0.59Goals vs xG+0.18

Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals85%

60%Over 2.5 goals55%

25%Over 3.5 goals35%

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Both Teams to Score

55%Both teams scored60%

8 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20

2 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Both Teams to Score4/7

Both teams have scored in 11 of Fenerbahce’s last 20 matches and 12 of Liverpool’s. Fenerbahce concede 1.25 a game and Liverpool 1.45.

On the venue splits the projection is 2.49 against 1.74, which puts both teams scoring at about 67%.

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Shots

15.70Shots per game16.25

6.15On target per game5.00

39.2%Accuracy30.8%

Corners

5.60Won per game6.25

2.50First half3.25

44.6%Share before the break52.0%

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Cards and Fouls

4.05Cards in the match3.85

2.30Own cards per game1.70

1.25Cards by half time1.00

12.45Fouls committed12.10

Shooting Detail

10.75Shots inside the box10.50

4.95Shots outside the box5.75

5.70Off target6.00

3.90Blocked5.25

Big Chances

3.35Big chances created2.20

2.30Big chances missed1.20

31%Taken45%

27.60Touches in the box32.35

Record

9-6-5Won, drawn, lost10-5-5

8 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20

2 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Possession

55.90%Average share54.25%

Player Props

Per 90

Player	Mins	Shots	On target	Fouls	Fouled	Tackles	Cards
Milan SkriniarFenerbahce · D	1779	0.56	0.2	1.01	1.06	2.38	5
Matteo GuendouziFenerbahce · M	1672	0.7	0.32	1.13	1.13	1.24	4
Nelson SemedoFenerbahce · D	1495	0.36	0.12	1.63	1.08	1.81	6
N’Golo KanteFenerbahce · M	1465	0.31	0.0	1.17	0.43	2.89	5
Mason GreenwoodFenerbahce · F	1252	3.67	1.37	0.65	1.29	0.72	2
Kerem AkturkogluFenerbahce · F	1200	2.4	1.12	0.82	1.57	1.12	4
Oguz AydinFenerbahce · F	1027	2.98	1.05	1.58	1.49	1.31	3
Irfan Can KahveciFenerbahce · M	921	1.95	0.49	1.95	1.37	2.15	2
Vedat MuriqiFenerbahce · F	818	3.3	2.09	1.87	2.42	0.11	1
Ismail YuksekFenerbahce · M	601	2.1	0.9	2.7	1.5	5.24	2
Romelu LukakuFenerbahce · F	600	2.7	0.75	0.9	1.05	0.6	2
TaliscaFenerbahce · M	564	5.27	2.71	1.6	0.96	0.16	0
Levent MercanFenerbahce · D	546	0.66	0.0	1.15	1.48	2.47	0
Virgil van DijkLiverpool · D	1738	0.83	0.26	0.67	0.36	0.67	3
Alexis Mac AllisterLiverpool · M	1401	1.99	0.45	1.73	0.9	1.99	7
Florian WirtzLiverpool · M	1393	2.52	0.58	1.55	0.97	1.62	1
Dominik SzoboszlaiLiverpool · M	1315	1.98	0.68	1.71	0.62	1.85	2
Cody GakpoLiverpool · F	1258	2.79	0.72	1.57	1.22	1.22	1
Milos KerkezLiverpool · D	1170	0.62	0.15	1.38	1.77	1.62	3
Ryan GravenberchLiverpool · M	1110	1.62	0.65	1.62	1.3	1.86	1
Alexander IsakLiverpool · F	1013	2.58	1.07	0.18	0.53	0.36	1
Jeremy JacquetLiverpool · D	1001	0.27	0.09	0.99	0.81	2.52	2
Ronald AraujoLiverpool · D	773	1.16	0.35	0.58	0.23	1.28	2
Rio NgumohaLiverpool · F	763	2.71	0.35	0.83	2.01	0.47	0
Ibrahima KonateLiverpool · D	703	0.38	0.13	0.64	1.28	1.28	2
Bradley BarcolaLiverpool · F	664	2.3	0.95	1.08	0.54	1.76	2
Curtis JonesLiverpool · D	598	0.45	0.15	1.05	1.35	1.81	1
Victor MunozLiverpool · F	484	2.79	1.12	1.49	2.05	0.93	1
Andy RobertsonLiverpool · D	405	1.11	0.44	0.0	0.22	0.22	0

Advised props

Nelson Semedo 2+ Fouls Committed

Nelson Semedo has committed 2 or more fouls in 7 of his last 10 for Fenerbahce, at 1.63 per 90 across 1,495 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.

Liverpool hold 54.25% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

5/4Add

Alexis Mac Allister to be Carded

Alexis Mac Allister has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Liverpool, at 0.45 per 90 across 1,401 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.

Liverpool pick up 1.7 cards a game and there are 3.85 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 22% implied by 7/2.

7/2Add

Milos Kerkez 2+ Fouls Committed

Milos Kerkez has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Liverpool, at 1.38 per 90 across 1,170 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.

Fenerbahce hold 55.9% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.

7/4Add

Trends

Window shown per line

6/6100%Fenerbahce · Last sixFenerbahce have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.

6/6100%Fenerbahce · Last sixFenerbahce have gone past two and a half goals in every one of their last six.

6/6100%Fenerbahce · Last six at homeFenerbahce have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six at home.

6/6100%Liverpool · Last six awayLiverpool have scored in every one of their last six on the road.

17/2085%Liverpool · Last 20Liverpool have gone past one and a half goals in 17 of their last twenty.

5/683%Liverpool · Last sixLiverpool have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Fenerbahce

31 OctGoztepe (H)1-2L

26 OctGalatasaray (A)1-2L

20 OctSK Slavia Praha (H)2-2D

17 OctAlanyaspor (H)3-0W

14 OctAston Villa (A)0-6L

10 OctCaykur Rizespor (A)3-0W

Liverpool

01 NovArsenal (H)0-1L

25 OctBrighton & Hove Albion (H)2-0W

20 OctVillarreal (H)4-3W

17 OctBrentford (A)2-1W

14 OctLASK (A)6-3W

11 OctManchester City (H)0-3L

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Build Your Own Fenerbahce vs Liverpool Bet

Nelson Semedo 2+ Fouls Committed5/42.25

Why this bet

7 of his last 10, 1.63 per 90

Alexis Mac Allister to be Carded7/24.50

Why this bet

4 of his last 10, 0.45 per 90

Milos Kerkez 2+ Fouls Committed7/42.75

Why this bet

5 of his last 10, 1.38 per 90

Both Teams to Score4/71.57

Why this bet

67% on our numbers

Over 9.5 Corners4/51.80

Why this bet

Fenerbahce win 5.6 corners a game and Liverpool 6.25, with 2.5 and 3.25 of those in the first half.That leaves about 12 in the match, a 74% chance of 10 or more against the 56% implied by 4/5.

Over 2.5 Goals4/91.44

Why this bet

Fenerbahce have gone past 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Liverpool in 55%, with 85% and 85% going past 1.5.Fenerbahce average 1.90 scored and 1.25 conceded, Liverpool 1.80 and 1.45. On the venue splits that projects 2.49 against 1.74, about 4.2 goals in the match and 68% for over 2.5.

Correct Score 1-215/28.50

Why this bet

On the venue splits this projects Fenerbahce 2.49 against Liverpool 1.74, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.0%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Liverpool, which is where the board has the match too.

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Andy Clark

Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.