AEK Athens vs Real Madrid Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

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AEK Athens vs Real Madrid

Wed 4 Nov, 17:45 · Champions League

AEK AthensLLWLLW

Real MadridWWWWWW

Our predictionLovro Majer to be Carded3/1

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – AEK Athens 5 in the Champions League and 15 across two others, Real Madrid 17 in La Liga and 3 in the Champions League

Goals

2.15Scored per game2.40

1.00Conceded per game1.00

Home gamesAway games

3.67Scored1.73

0.33Conceded1.18

Expected Goals

1.35xG for2.16

0.78xG against1.08

+0.80Goals vs xG+0.24

Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals85%

55%Over 2.5 goals65%

40%Over 3.5 goals40%

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Both Teams to Score

50%Both teams scored60%

9 of 20Clean sheets6 of 20

3 of 20Failed to score2 of 20

Both Teams to Score4/6

Both teams have scored in 10 of AEK Athens’ last 20 matches and 12 of Real Madrid’s. AEK Athens concede 1.00 a game and Real Madrid 1.00.

On the venue splits the projection is 2.31 against 1.46, which puts both teams scoring at about 62%.

Add to Slip

Shots

14.40Shots per game16.00

5.35On target per game6.70

37.2%Accuracy41.9%

Corners

5.05Won per game6.00

2.15First half3.10

42.6%Share before the break51.7%

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Cards and Fouls

3.95Cards in the match4.15

2.10Own cards per game1.85

1.50Cards by half time1.35

15.15Fouls committed9.35

Shooting Detail

9.15Shots inside the box11.45

5.25Shots outside the box4.55

6.65Off target5.90

4.25Blocked3.45

Big Chances

2.90Big chances created3.60

1.85Big chances missed2.20

36%Taken39%

22.85Touches in the box35.25

Record

10-6-4Won, drawn, lost16-1-3

9 of 20Clean sheets6 of 20

3 of 20Failed to score2 of 20

Possession

52.70%Average share53.60%

Player Props

Per 90

Player	Mins	Shots	On target	Fouls	Fouled	Tackles	Cards
Filipe RelvasAEK Athens · D	1620	0.61	0.11	0.33	0.22	0.56	2
Stavros PiliosAEK Athens · D	1508	0.9	0.24	0.84	1.43	1.91	2
Lazaros RotaAEK Athens · D	1482	0.85	0.24	1.34	1.28	2.19	5
Razvan MarinAEK Athens · M	1454	1.73	0.56	1.8	1.18	2.1	3
Harold MoukoudiAEK Athens · D	1440	0.81	0.19	1.38	0.44	0.69	4
Luka JovicAEK Athens · F	1319	2.32	0.96	0.89	1.64	0.27	3
Aboubakary KoitaAEK Athens · F	1103	3.18	0.49	2.28	2.28	2.37	3
Barnabas VargaAEK Athens · F	1009	2.68	1.16	1.34	1.43	0.62	1
Lovro MajerAEK Athens · M	1000	1.62	0.54	1.8	1.53	2.34	5
ZiniAEK Athens · F	979	3.49	1.65	1.38	1.29	1.93	3
Milan VitalisAEK Athens · M	726	1.24	0.37	1.98	2.98	2.36	2
Kaan KairinenAEK Athens · M	509	0.35	0.18	2.65	0.0	2.48	0
Oleksandr ZubkovAEK Athens · M	447	2.82	1.01	1.41	1.41	0.81	1
Mijat GacinovicAEK Athens · M	429	2.52	0.42	2.31	1.89	1.26	0
Petros MantalosAEK Athens · M	413	2.4	0.22	3.27	2.62	2.18	1
Jude BellinghamReal Madrid · M	1593	2.2	1.02	0.96	3.45	1.86	4
Kylian MbappeReal Madrid · F	1533	5.11	2.52	0.53	1.41	0.23	2
Federico ValverdeReal Madrid · D	1341	1.14	0.54	0.54	0.4	1.48	0
Dean HuijsenReal Madrid · D	1225	0.59	0.22	0.96	0.51	1.18	4
Ibrahima KonateReal Madrid · D	1080	0.5	0.08	1.08	0.33	1.5	4
Marc CucurellaReal Madrid · D	933	0.1	0.0	1.25	0.39	3.09	2
Aurelien TchouameniReal Madrid · M	927	1.36	0.1	0.87	0.68	2.23	2
Antonio RudigerReal Madrid · D	846	0.64	0.32	0.64	0.53	0.64	1
Arda GulerReal Madrid · F	789	2.97	1.48	0.68	2.05	1.14	1
Trent Alexander-ArnoldReal Madrid · D	782	0.69	0.23	0.58	0.69	0.81	3
Yan DiomandeReal Madrid · F	743	2.06	0.73	1.21	2.18	2.06	1
Brahim DiazReal Madrid · M	618	1.31	0.44	0.58	2.04	0.58	1
Denzel DumfriesReal Madrid · D	604	1.04	0.3	0.6	0.6	1.79	1
Eduardo CamavingaReal Madrid · M	587	0.46	0.15	1.99	2.15	3.68	3
Bernardo SilvaReal Madrid · M	570	0.32	0.16	1.58	1.42	1.89	0
Alvaro CarrerasReal Madrid · D	520	0.35	0.35	1.56	0.87	2.08	3

Advised props

Lovro Majer to be Carded

Lovro Majer has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for AEK Athens, at 0.45 per 90 across 1,000 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.

AEK Athens pick up 2.1 cards a game and there are 3.95 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

3/1Add

Ibrahima Konate to be Carded

Ibrahima Konate has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Real Madrid, at 0.33 per 90 across 1,080 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Real Madrid pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 4.15 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 22% implied by 7/2.

7/2Add

Lazaros Rota to be Carded

Lazaros Rota has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for AEK Athens, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,482 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

AEK Athens pick up 2.1 cards a game and there are 3.95 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

2/1Add

Trends

Window shown per line

6/6100%AEK Athens · Last sixAEK Athens have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.

6/6100%AEK Athens · Last six at homeAEK Athens are unbeaten in every one of their last six at home.

6/6100%AEK Athens · Last six at homeAEK Athens have won in every one of their last six at home.

6/6100%Real Madrid · Last sixReal Madrid have scored in every one of their last six.

6/6100%Real Madrid · Last sixReal Madrid have won in every one of their last six.

6/6100%Real Madrid · Last sixReal Madrid are unbeaten in every one of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

AEK Athens

01 NovPanathinaikos (A)0-2L

28 OctPAOK (A)1-3L

24 OctPanetolikos (H)5-0W

20 OctManchester City (A)1-5L

14 OctShakhtar Donetsk (A)1-3L

10 OctOFI Crete (H)3-0W

Real Madrid

01 NovRacing de Santander (A)3-0W

25 OctBarcelona (A)2-1W

21 OctRB Leipzig (H)4-1W

18 OctSevilla (H)4-1W

14 OctRoma (A)4-3W

10 OctVillarreal (H)1-0W

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Build Your Own AEK Athens vs Real Madrid Bet

Lovro Majer to be Carded3/14.00

Why this bet

5 of his last 10, 0.45 per 90

Ibrahima Konate to be Carded7/24.50

Why this bet

3 of his last 10, 0.33 per 90

Lazaros Rota to be Carded2/13.00

Why this bet

4 of his last 10, 0.3 per 90

Both Teams to Score4/61.67

Why this bet

62% on our numbers

Dean Huijsen to be Carded9/25.50

Why this bet

Dean Huijsen has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Real Madrid, at 0.29 per 90 across 1,225 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Real Madrid pick up 1.85 cards a game and there are 4.15 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.

Correct Score 1-29/110.00

Why this bet

On the venue splits this projects AEK Athens 2.31 against Real Madrid 1.46, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 6.4%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Real Madrid, which is where the board has the match too.

No legs selected

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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.