RB Leipzig vs Manchester City Predictions and Stats

Andy Clark
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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City

Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 · Champions League

RB LeipzigWWLLWW
Manchester CityLLWWLW
Our predictionRuben Dias 2+ Fouls Committed13/8

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – RB Leipzig 17 in the Bundesliga and 3 in the Champions League, Manchester City 17 in the Premier League and 3 in the Champions League

Goals

2.15Scored per game2.30
1.60Conceded per game1.10
Home gamesAway games
3.33Scored2.11
0.22Conceded0.78

Expected Goals

2.13xG for2.11
1.62xG against1.29
+0.02Goals vs xG+0.19

Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals80%
75%Over 2.5 goals70%
60%Over 3.5 goals30%
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Both Teams to Score

50%Both teams scored55%
8 of 20Clean sheets8 of 20
2 of 20Failed to score1 of 20

Shots

15.80Shots per game17.70
6.60On target per game6.20
41.8%Accuracy35.0%

Corners

4.90Won per game7.60
1.85First half3.95
37.8%Share before the break52.0%
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Cards and Fouls

2.60Cards in the match3.40
1.40Own cards per game1.45
0.80Cards by half time0.75
10.20Fouls committed10.20

Shooting Detail

11.30Shots inside the box12.75
4.50Shots outside the box4.95
5.70Off target5.90
3.50Blocked5.60

Big Chances

3.70Big chances created3.80
2.40Big chances missed2.30
35%Taken39%
30.70Touches in the box43.95

Record

12-0-8Won, drawn, lost14-2-4
8 of 20Clean sheets8 of 20
2 of 20Failed to score1 of 20

Possession

51.95%Average share63.00%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Willi OrbanRB Leipzig · D17100.790.211.00.681.582
Antonio NusaRB Leipzig · M13812.481.240.392.091.33
David RaumRB Leipzig · D13150.550.270.820.411.160
Ridle BakuRB Leipzig · D13061.380.620.761.311.581
Castello LukebaRB Leipzig · D11640.150.00.540.541.312
RomuloRB Leipzig · F10942.961.231.070.91.811
Nicolas SeiwaldRB Leipzig · M10430.60.430.950.172.851
Brajan GrudaRB Leipzig · M9102.571.381.092.371.191
Christoph BaumgartnerRB Leipzig · M8652.711.252.290.731.774
Ezechiel BanzuziRB Leipzig · M8432.240.752.671.712.781
Neil El AynaouiRB Leipzig · M8261.090.220.761.311.632
Yan DiomandeRB Leipzig · F7601.30.470.831.30.950
Christopher NkunkuRB Leipzig · M5862.461.231.692.00.311
Xaver SchlagerRB Leipzig · M5350.840.341.181.352.023
Max FinkgrafeRB Leipzig · D5180.690.520.871.223.472
Tidiam GomisRB Leipzig · F5074.081.60.711.420.531
Benjamin HenrichsRB Leipzig · D4660.970.191.351.162.511
Erling HaalandManchester City · F15204.261.950.890.590.182
Marc GuehiManchester City · D14850.550.181.031.390.972
Abdukodir KhusanovManchester City · D12250.510.220.960.372.131
Matheus NunesManchester City · D12020.070.070.520.61.351
Rayan CherkiManchester City · M11503.521.10.860.940.552
Ruben DiasManchester City · D11180.480.241.450.160.720
Josko GvardiolManchester City · D9371.150.581.151.342.54
Elliot AndersonManchester City · M9061.190.31.493.182.682
Jeremy DokuManchester City · F9052.780.990.83.481.090
Nico O’ReillyManchester City · D8391.720.641.930.641.52
Phil FodenManchester City · M7962.260.90.681.361.71
Enzo FernandezManchester City · M7732.210.581.161.860.931
Bernardo SilvaManchester City · M6321.850.280.430.433.131
Iliman NdiayeManchester City · F5742.980.940.782.671.410

Advised props

Ruben Dias 2+ Fouls Committed

Ruben Dias has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.45 per 90 across 1,118 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.

RB Leipzig hold 51.95% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.

13/8Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%RB Leipzig · Last sixRB Leipzig have scored in every one of their last six.
0/60%RB Leipzig · Last sixRB Leipzig have seen five or more cards in the match in 0 of their last six.
0/60%RB Leipzig · Last sixRB Leipzig have picked up two or more cards in 0 of their last six.
6/6100%Manchester City · Last six awayManchester City have scored in every one of their last six on the road.
6/6100%Manchester City · Last six awayManchester City have won five or more corners in every one of their last six on the road.
6/6100%Manchester City · Last six awayManchester City have picked up two or more cards in every one of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

RB Leipzig

31 OctFC Schalke 04 (A)2-0W
24 OctSV 07 Elversberg (H)4-0W
21 OctReal Madrid (A)1-4L
17 OctFC Bayern Munchen (A)1-6L
13 OctPSV Eindhoven (H)1-0W
10 OctEintracht Frankfurt (H)6-0W

Manchester City

31 OctBrighton & Hove Albion (H)0-1L
24 OctAston Villa (A)1-2L
20 OctAEK Athens (H)5-1W
17 OctIpswich Town (H)3-2W
14 OctParis Saint-Germain (H)2-4L
11 OctLiverpool (A)3-0W
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Build Your Own RB Leipzig vs Manchester City Bet

Ruben Dias 2+ Fouls Committed13/82.63
Why this bet6 of his last 10, 1.45 per 90
Josko Gvardiol to be Carded5/16.00
Why this betJosko Gvardiol has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.38 per 90 across 937 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City pick up 1.45 cards a game and there are 3.4 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 17% implied by 5/1.
Correct Score 1-28/19.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects RB Leipzig 2.26 against Manchester City 1.84, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Manchester City, which is where the board has the match too.
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