PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV Predictions and Stats

Andy Clark
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PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV

Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 · Champions League

PSV EindhovenWDWLLW
Club Brugge KVWWWWWW
Our predictionArmando Obispo 2+ Fouls Committed10/3

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – PSV Eindhoven 3 in the Champions League and 17 across two others, Club Brugge KV 3 in the Champions League and 17 across two others

Goals

2.80Scored per game2.75
1.20Conceded per game0.85
Home gamesAway games
3.30Scored2.67
1.20Conceded1.22

Expected Goals

2.06xG for2.61
1.30xG against1.53
+0.74Goals vs xG+0.14

Under and Over

90%Over 1.5 goals85%
70%Over 2.5 goals75%
60%Over 3.5 goals50%
Over 2.5 Goals1/3

PSV Eindhoven are expected 2.26 at home and Club Brugge KV 1.93 away, so 4.19 in the match. Our numbers make it 79% against the 75% the price implies.

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Both Teams to Score

70%Both teams scored45%
4 of 20Clean sheets11 of 20
2 of 20Failed to score0 of 20

Shots

17.50Shots per game18.26
6.55On target per game6.95
37.4%Accuracy38.1%

Corners

6.40Won per game6.68
3.00First half3.53
46.9%Share before the break52.8%
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Cards and Fouls

3.85Cards in the match3.47
2.00Own cards per game1.47
1.30Cards by half time0.89
10.10Fouls committed8.89
Under 4.5 Cards8/13

PSV Eindhoven average 3.85 cards in a match and Club Brugge KV 3.47, so 3.66 here. Our numbers make it 69% against the 62% the price implies.

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Shooting Detail

11.90Shots inside the box13.84
5.60Shots outside the box4.42
6.55Off target5.89
4.40Blocked5.42

Big Chances

3.85Big chances created3.42
2.40Big chances missed1.58
38%Taken54%
32.10Touches in the box40.26

Record

12-4-4Won, drawn, lost17-1-2
4 of 20Clean sheets11 of 20
2 of 20Failed to score0 of 20

Possession

58.35%Average share59.16%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Guus TilPSV Eindhoven · F16402.030.881.040.880.712
Mauro JuniorPSV Eindhoven · M13931.030.520.581.12.522
Sergino DestPSV Eindhoven · D13351.150.610.742.161.753
Ivan PerisicPSV Eindhoven · F11972.180.750.830.31.654
Armando ObispoPSV Eindhoven · D11480.780.01.650.551.575
Ryan FlamingoPSV Eindhoven · D11020.980.330.740.491.722
Kodai SanoPSV Eindhoven · M10931.320.491.240.991.732
Ricardo PepiPSV Eindhoven · F9593.571.50.280.280.840
Ruben van BommelPSV Eindhoven · D8982.910.92.00.91.85
Paul WannerPSV Eindhoven · M8491.480.740.641.062.231
Lutsharel GeertruidaPSV Eindhoven · D7890.80.231.030.81.252
Sven MijnansPSV Eindhoven · M7863.441.371.150.82.061
Yarek GasiorowskiPSV Eindhoven · D7620.240.120.350.351.770
Noah FernandezPSV Eindhoven · M7181.630.51.251.133.132
Esmir BajraktarevicPSV Eindhoven · F6493.191.251.250.690.970
Kiliann SildilliaPSV Eindhoven · D5060.360.01.780.01.781
Filip KosticPSV Eindhoven · D4700.770.380.960.961.912
Joaquin SeysClub Brugge KV · D17760.660.350.660.711.721
Brandon MecheleClub Brugge KV · D17100.790.160.740.322.111
Hans VanakenClub Brugge KV · M16641.240.590.320.71.141
Nicolo TresoldiClub Brugge KV · F15204.21.780.951.950.590
Carlos ForbsClub Brugge KV · F15022.41.140.480.721.261
Hugo VetlesenClub Brugge KV · M13373.031.141.550.941.214
Freddie PottsClub Brugge KV · M12440.510.071.231.591.746
Kyriani SabbeClub Brugge KV · D9470.570.00.190.382.090
Han-Beom LeeClub Brugge KV · D8390.640.431.50.541.52
Jan VirgiliClub Brugge KV · F7783.011.270.351.040.582
Hugo SiquetClub Brugge KV · D7401.220.240.730.491.582
Jorne SpileersClub Brugge KV · D6650.140.02.030.01.353
Christos TzolisClub Brugge KV · F5403.51.50.831.330.51
Mamadou DiakhonClub Brugge KV · F4874.070.920.373.70.920
Joel OrdonezClub Brugge KV · D4860.190.01.480.561.30
Aleksandar StankovicClub Brugge KV · M4602.350.780.590.590.390
Romeo VermantClub Brugge KV · F4405.112.451.642.861.432
Felix LemarechalClub Brugge KV · M4162.60.651.951.32.63

Advised props

Armando Obispo 2+ Fouls Committed

Armando Obispo has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for PSV Eindhoven, at 1.65 per 90 across 1,148 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

Club Brugge KV hold 59.16% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.

10/3Add
Han-Beom Lee 1+ Shots

Han-Beom Lee has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Club Brugge KV, at 0.64 per 90 across 839 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Club Brugge KV take 18.26 shots a game and hit 6.95 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

2/1Add
Carlos Forbs 1+ Shots on Target

Carlos Forbs has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for Club Brugge KV, at 1.14 per 90 across 1,502 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

Club Brugge KV take 18.26 shots a game and hit 6.95 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.

EvensAdd
Han-Beom Lee 2+ Fouls Committed

Han-Beom Lee has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Club Brugge KV, at 1.5 per 90 across 839 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

PSV Eindhoven hold 58.35% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.

9/4Add
Mauro Junior 1+ Shots on Target

Mauro Junior has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for PSV Eindhoven, at 0.52 per 90 across 1,393 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

PSV Eindhoven take 17.5 shots a game and hit 6.55 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

3/1Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%PSV Eindhoven · Last six at homePSV Eindhoven have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six at home.
6/6100%PSV Eindhoven · Last six at homePSV Eindhoven have scored in every one of their last six at home.
6/6100%PSV Eindhoven · Last six at homePSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in every one of their last six at home.
20/20100%Club Brugge KV · Last 20Club Brugge KV have scored in every one of their last twenty.
6/6100%Club Brugge KV · Last sixClub Brugge KV have scored in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Club Brugge KV · Last sixClub Brugge KV have won in every one of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

PSV Eindhoven

31 OctWillem II Tilburg (H)7-0W
25 OctFeyenoord (H)1-1D
20 OctFC Porto (A)1-0W
17 OctADO Den Haag (A)1-2L
13 OctRB Leipzig (A)0-1L
09 OctSC Heerenveen (H)2-0W

Club Brugge KV

30 OctSV Zulte Waregem (A)4-2W
25 OctSint-Truidense VV (H)3-2W
21 OctRC Lens (H)3-0W
17 OctKSC Lokeren-Temse (H)1-0W
13 OctInter (A)4-3W
10 OctRAAL La Louviere (A)4-1W
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Build Your Own PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV Bet

Armando Obispo 2+ Fouls Committed10/34.33
Why this betArmando Obispo has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for PSV Eindhoven, at 1.65 per 90 across 1,148 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Club Brugge KV hold 59.16% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.
Han-Beom Lee 1+ Shots2/13.00
Why this betHan-Beom Lee has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Club Brugge KV, at 0.64 per 90 across 839 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Club Brugge KV take 18.26 shots a game and hit 6.95 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
Carlos Forbs 1+ Shots on Target1/12.00
Why this bet7 of his last 10, 1.14 per 90
Han-Beom Lee 2+ Fouls Committed9/43.25
Why this bet5 of his last 10, 1.5 per 90
Mauro Junior 1+ Shots on Target3/14.00
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 0.52 per 90
Under 4.5 Cards8/131.62
Why this betPSV Eindhoven average 3.85 cards in a match and Club Brugge KV 3.47, so 3.66 here. Our numbers make it 69% against the 62% the price implies.
Over 2.5 Goals1/31.33
Why this betPSV Eindhoven are expected 2.26 at home and Club Brugge KV 1.93 away, so 4.19 in the match. Our numbers make it 79% against the 75% the price implies.
Joaquin Seys 1+ Shots2/13.00
Why this betJoaquin Seys has had a shot in 4 of his last 10 for Club Brugge KV, at 0.66 per 90 across 1,776 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Club Brugge KV take 18.26 shots a game and hit 6.95 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
Sergino Dest 1+ Shots on Target3/14.00
Why this betSergino Dest has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for PSV Eindhoven, at 0.61 per 90 across 1,335 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.PSV Eindhoven take 17.5 shots a game and hit 6.55 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
Guus Til Anytime Goalscorer11/82.38
Why this betGuus Til has scored in 5 of his last 10 for PSV Eindhoven, at 0.49 per 90 across 1,640 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.PSV Eindhoven score 2.80 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.
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