RC Lens vs Como Predictions and Stats

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RC Lens vs Como

Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 · Champions League

RC LensLWLWLW
ComoWWWWWL
Our predictionMartin Baturina 1+ Shots on Target4/5

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – RC Lens 3 in the Champions League and 17 across three others, Como 17 in Serie A and 3 in the Champions League

Goals

1.80Scored per game2.00
1.40Conceded per game1.00
Home gamesAway games
1.80Scored2.09
1.10Conceded1.18

Expected Goals

1.51xG for1.87
1.27xG against1.07
+0.29Goals vs xG+0.13

Under and Over

80%Over 1.5 goals75%
65%Over 2.5 goals55%
40%Over 3.5 goals40%
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Both Teams to Score

60%Both teams scored60%
3 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score3 of 20

Shots

15.80Shots per game17.40
5.75On target per game5.85
36.4%Accuracy33.6%

Corners

6.35Won per game5.75
3.35First half3.30
52.8%Share before the break57.4%
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Cards and Fouls

3.40Cards in the match3.85
1.90Own cards per game1.65
1.10Cards by half time1.10
11.45Fouls committed10.20
Under 3.5 Cards6/5

RC Lens average 3.40 cards in a match and Como 3.85, so 3.62 here. Our numbers make it 51% against the 45% the price implies.

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Shooting Detail

10.25Shots inside the box11.45
5.55Shots outside the box5.95
6.65Off target6.35
3.45Blocked5.20

Big Chances

3.50Big chances created3.25
2.25Big chances missed1.95
36%Taken40%
26.75Touches in the box29.90

Record

10-3-7Won, drawn, lost13-3-4
3 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score3 of 20

Possession

50.90%Average share60.85%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Matthieu UdolRC Lens · D15931.410.450.730.682.322
Florian ThauvinRC Lens · F14452.81.490.871.560.935
Ruben AguilarRC Lens · D10420.860.171.550.432.682
Kyllian AntonioRC Lens · D8930.40.00.911.612.120
Saud AbdulhamidRC Lens · D8350.750.221.291.292.483
Michael CuisanceRC Lens · M7941.250.341.590.342.272
Amadou HaidaraRC Lens · M7780.810.350.930.812.081
Samson BaidooRC Lens · D6910.260.130.520.261.822
Andrija BulatovicRC Lens · M5862.920.611.541.233.073
Malang SarrRC Lens · D5850.460.00.771.232.462
Michal SkorasRC Lens · F5650.640.01.752.071.593
Florian SotocaRC Lens · F5611.760.641.121.760.80
Franjo IvanovicRC Lens · F5281.880.681.881.021.361
Yassine TitraouiRC Lens · M5120.530.01.051.763.521
Adrien ThomassonRC Lens · M4791.50.382.441.134.322
Mamadou SangareRC Lens · M4503.40.61.00.83.41
Jacobo RamonComo · D16061.230.450.950.391.916
Anastasios DouvikasComo · F15032.931.380.781.860.120
Lucas Da CunhaComo · F14562.040.680.620.491.611
Nico PazComo · M13994.441.421.81.223.092
Maximo PerroneComo · M12820.770.211.190.561.611
Martin BaturinaComo · F11652.71.00.622.631.082
Marc Oliver KempfComo · D10740.920.080.750.840.922
Alex ValleComo · D10260.530.180.610.961.752
Yan CoutoComo · D9280.780.290.970.681.452
Luis MillaComo · M8260.650.110.761.421.311
Ivan SmolcicComo · D6540.280.01.10.411.511
Maxence CaqueretComo · M6531.380.411.240.962.622
KaikiComo · D5321.520.341.691.352.371

Advised props

Martin Baturina 1+ Shots on Target

Martin Baturina has had a shot on target in 8 of his last 10 for Como, at 1.0 per 90 across 1,165 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays.

Como take 17.4 shots a game and hit 5.85 on target. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.

4/5Add
Florian Thauvin 1+ Fouls Committed

Florian Thauvin has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for RC Lens, at 0.87 per 90 across 1,445 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

Como hold 60.85% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

8/11Add
Nico Paz 4+ Shots

Nico Paz has had 4 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Como, at 4.44 per 90 across 1,399 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

Como take 17.4 shots a game and hit 5.85 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 48% implied by 11/10.

11/10Add
Lucas Da Cunha 2+ Shots

Lucas Da Cunha has had 2 or more shots in 5 of his last 10 for Como, at 2.04 per 90 across 1,456 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.

Como take 17.4 shots a game and hit 5.85 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.

13/8Add
Anastasios Douvikas 2+ Shots on Target

Anastasios Douvikas has had 2 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for Como, at 1.38 per 90 across 1,503 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.

Como take 17.4 shots a game and hit 5.85 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.

9/4Add

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%RC Lens · Last sixRC Lens have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six.
3/2015%RC Lens · Last 20RC Lens have kept a clean sheet in three of their last twenty.
5/683%RC Lens · Last sixRC Lens have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six.
6/6100%Como · Last sixComo have scored in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Como · Last six awayComo have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six on the road.
0/60%Como · Last six awayComo have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

RC Lens

30 OctLille (A)0-1L
24 OctParis FC (H)2-1W
21 OctClub Brugge KV (A)0-3L
17 OctTroyes (A)3-1W
13 OctSporting (H)0-2L
09 OctOlympique Lyonnais (H)2-1W

Como

01 NovVenezia (H)1-0W
27 OctTorino (A)3-1W
24 OctSassuolo (H)2-0W
21 OctManchester United (H)4-1W
18 OctFiorentina (A)3-1W
14 OctFeyenoord (A)2-3L
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Build Your Own RC Lens vs Como Bet

Martin Baturina 1+ Shots on Target4/51.80
Why this bet8 of his last 10, 1.0 per 90
Florian Thauvin 1+ Fouls Committed8/111.73
Why this betFlorian Thauvin has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for RC Lens, at 0.87 per 90 across 1,445 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.Como hold 60.85% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Nico Paz 4+ Shots11/102.10
Why this bet6 of his last 10, 4.44 per 90
Lucas Da Cunha 2+ Shots13/82.63
Why this bet5 of his last 10, 2.04 per 90
Anastasios Douvikas 2+ Shots on Target9/43.25
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 1.38 per 90
Under 3.5 Cards6/52.20
Why this betRC Lens average 3.40 cards in a match and Como 3.85, so 3.62 here. Our numbers make it 51% against the 45% the price implies.
Under 2.5 Goals11/82.38
Why this betRC Lens are expected 1.49 at home and Como 1.60 away, so 3.09 in the match. Our numbers make it 40% against the 42% the price implies.
Both Teams to Score – No6/42.50
Why this betOne side is expected to be kept out – 1.49 against 1.60. Our numbers make it 38% against the 40% the price implies.
Saud Abdulhamid to be Carded9/25.50
Why this betSaud Abdulhamid has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for RC Lens, at 0.32 per 90 across 835 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.RC Lens pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.4 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.
Both Teams to Score4/91.44
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 12 of RC Lens’ last 20 matches and 12 of Como’s. RC Lens concede 1.40 a game and Como 1.00.On the venue splits the projection is 1.93 against 1.81, which puts both teams scoring at about 66%.
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