Celta Vigo vs Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Predictions and Stats

Andy Clark
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Celta Vigo vs Royale Union Saint-Gilloise

Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 · Europa League

Celta VigoLDWWLD
Royale Union Saint-GilloiseWWWWDD
Our predictionMassire Sylla 1+ Shots4/5

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Celta Vigo 17 in La Liga and 3 in the Europa League, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 3 in the Europa League and 2 in the Champions League and 15 across two others

Goals

1.10Scored per game2.55
1.05Conceded per game1.00
Home gamesAway games
1.60Scored2.22
1.20Conceded1.22
Correct Score 2-18/1

On the venue splits this projects Celta Vigo 1.41 against Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.73, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.7%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Celta Vigo, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.07xG for1.73
1.32xG against0.91
+0.03Goals vs xG+0.82

Under and Over

65%Over 1.5 goals90%
45%Over 2.5 goals70%
15%Over 3.5 goals45%
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Both Teams to Score

50%Both teams scored50%
7 of 20Clean sheets9 of 20
7 of 20Failed to score3 of 20
Both Teams to Score8/13

Both teams have scored in 10 of Celta Vigo’s last 20 matches and 10 of Royale Union Saint-Gilloise’s. Celta Vigo concede 1.05 a game and Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.00.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.41 against 1.73, which puts both teams scoring at about 56%.

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Shots

10.10Shots per game17.63
3.15On target per game7.84
31.2%Accuracy44.5%

Corners

3.35Won per game5.58
1.45First half1.68
43.3%Share before the break30.1%
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Cards and Fouls

3.70Cards in the match3.84
1.75Own cards per game1.79
1.40Cards by half time1.63
11.95Fouls committed11.00
Under 4.5 Cards4/6

Celta Vigo average 3.70 cards in a match and Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 3.84, so 3.77 here. Our numbers make it 67% against the 60% the price implies.

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Shooting Detail

5.85Shots inside the box13.11
4.25Shots outside the box4.53
4.15Off target6.00
2.80Blocked4.53

Big Chances

1.90Big chances created3.21
1.20Big chances missed2.05
37%Taken36%
18.85Touches in the box33.47

Record

6-7-7Won, drawn, lost12-7-1
7 of 20Clean sheets9 of 20
7 of 20Failed to score3 of 20

Possession

49.00%Average share52.89%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Yoel LagoCelta Vigo · D15750.170.01.541.431.545
Ilaix MoribaCelta Vigo · M13740.520.131.831.512.425
Sergio CarreiraCelta Vigo · D13580.80.270.861.190.62
Javi RodriguezCelta Vigo · D13170.620.270.551.091.160
Marcos AlonsoCelta Vigo · D13100.620.00.890.691.583
Ferran JutglaCelta Vigo · F11541.790.621.251.720.470
Javier RuedaCelta Vigo · D10830.660.01.411.330.755
Hugo AlvarezCelta Vigo · F10271.050.440.881.40.70
Williot SwedbergCelta Vigo · F8171.210.552.091.872.093
Pablo DuranCelta Vigo · F6902.090.911.171.041.171
Aleix FebasCelta Vigo · M6490.690.141.661.941.81
Iago AspasCelta Vigo · F6362.120.570.421.560.851
Javi GalanCelta Vigo · D4720.00.00.951.911.530
Fer LopezCelta Vigo · M4470.810.41.611.212.421
Sebastian CaceresCelta Vigo · D4080.440.00.660.662.211
Besfort ZeneliRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · M14921.630.781.031.331.330
Kamiel Van de PerreRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · M14330.440.311.261.572.584
Guilherme SmithRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · D13362.360.740.811.282.162
Massire SyllaRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · D12650.920.210.571.923.063
Louis PatrisRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · D12411.090.581.380.653.342
Adem ZorganeRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · M9121.380.490.790.591.781
Nikki HavenaarRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · D8880.610.11.820.911.720
Relebohile MofokengRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · M7772.661.390.120.231.271
Raul FloruczRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · F6035.822.391.641.040.751
Ondrej KricfalusiRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · D5341.180.510.670.03.712
Rob SchoofsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · M5171.570.171.041.042.260
Kevin RodriguezRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · F4735.142.470.952.470.760
Nohim ChibaniRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · D4250.850.212.331.062.753

Advised props

Massire Sylla 1+ Shots

Massire Sylla has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, at 0.92 per 90 across 1,265 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise take 17.63 shots a game and hit 7.84 on target. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.

4/5Add
Yoel Lago to be Carded

Yoel Lago has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Celta Vigo, at 0.29 per 90 across 1,575 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

Celta Vigo pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.7 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 28% implied by 13/5.

13/5Add
Kamiel Van de Perre 1+ Shots on Target

Kamiel Van de Perre has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, at 0.31 per 90 across 1,433 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise take 17.63 shots a game and hit 7.84 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

5/2Add
Adem Zorgane 1+ Shots on Target

Adem Zorgane has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, at 0.49 per 90 across 912 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise take 17.63 shots a game and hit 7.84 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.

9/4Add
Louis Patris 1+ Shots on Target

Louis Patris has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, at 0.58 per 90 across 1,241 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise take 17.63 shots a game and hit 7.84 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.

9/4Add

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Celta Vigo · Last sixCelta Vigo have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six.
0/60%Celta Vigo · Last sixCelta Vigo have seen five or more cards in the match in 0 of their last six.
0/60%Celta Vigo · Last sixCelta Vigo have seen ten or more corners in the match in 0 of their last six.
6/6100%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Last sixRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Last sixRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise have scored in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Last sixRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise are unbeaten in every one of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Celta Vigo

31 OctRayo Vallecano (A)0-3L
25 OctReal Betis (H)0-0D
22 OctCeltic (A)2-1W
18 OctDeportivo Alaves (H)2-1W
15 OctJuventus (H)1-2L
11 OctElche (A)0-0D

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise

31 OctSK Beveren (A)2-1W
25 OctCercle Brugge (H)5-2W
22 OctHapoel Be’er Sheva (H)4-0W
18 OctKFC Nijlen (H)3-0W
15 OctReal Sociedad (H)1-1D
11 OctOud-Heverlee Leuven (H)1-1D
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Build Your Own Celta Vigo vs Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Bet

Massire Sylla 1+ Shots4/51.80
Why this betMassire Sylla has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, at 0.92 per 90 across 1,265 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Royale Union Saint-Gilloise take 17.63 shots a game and hit 7.84 on target. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.
Yoel Lago to be Carded13/53.60
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 0.29 per 90
Kamiel Van de Perre 1+ Shots on Target5/23.50
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 0.31 per 90
Adem Zorgane 1+ Shots on Target9/43.25
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 0.49 per 90
Louis Patris 1+ Shots on Target9/43.25
Why this betLouis Patris has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, at 0.58 per 90 across 1,241 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.Royale Union Saint-Gilloise take 17.63 shots a game and hit 7.84 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
Ondrej Kricfalusi 1+ Shots on Target10/34.33
Why this betOndrej Kricfalusi has had a shot on target in 3 of his last 7 for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, at 0.51 per 90 across 534 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.Royale Union Saint-Gilloise take 17.63 shots a game and hit 7.84 on target. That is about 43% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.
Ilaix Moriba 1+ Fouls CommittedTBC
Why this betIlaix Moriba has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Celta Vigo, at 1.83 per 90 across 1,374 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.Royale Union Saint-Gilloise hold 52.89% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Both Teams to Score8/131.62
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 10 of Celta Vigo’s last 20 matches and 10 of Royale Union Saint-Gilloise’s. Celta Vigo concede 1.05 a game and Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.00.On the venue splits the projection is 1.41 against 1.73, which puts both teams scoring at about 56%.
Correct Score 2-18/19.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Celta Vigo 1.41 against Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.73, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.7%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Celta Vigo, which is where the board has the match too.
Under 4.5 Cards4/61.67
Why this betCelta Vigo average 3.70 cards in a match and Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 3.84, so 3.77 here. Our numbers make it 67% against the 60% the price implies.
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