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Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Benfica 9 in the Europa League and 11 in another competition, Lech Poznan 7 in the Europa League and 1 in the Champions League and 12 across two others
Goals
On the venue splits this projects Benfica 2.52 against Lech Poznan 1.44, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.6%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Benfica, which is where the board has the match too.
Expected Goals
Benfica come in on W W W W W L, and at home they have scored 3.11 a game and conceded 0.78 across 9 matches. They have won 16 of their last 20 overall, drawing 2.
Lech Poznan average 2.40 scored and 1.30 conceded. The venue splits project 2.52 against 1.44, which puts Benfica at about 72% to win, against 18% for the draw.
Under and Over
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Both Teams to Score
Both teams have scored in 13 of Benfica’s last 20 matches and 11 of Lech Poznan’s. Benfica concede 0.85 a game and Lech Poznan 1.30.
On the venue splits the projection is 2.52 against 1.44, which puts both teams scoring at about 65%.
Shots
Corners
Benfica win 6.45 corners a game and Lech Poznan 6.4, with 2.85 and 2.45 of those in the first half.
That leaves about 12 in the match, a 75% chance of 10 or more against the 58% implied by 8/11.
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Cards and Fouls
Shooting Detail
Big Chances
Record
Possession
Player Props
Per 90| Player | Mins | Shots | On target | Fouls | Fouled | Tackles | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas AraujoBenfica · D | 1221 | 0.74 | 0.07 | 1.18 | 0.15 | 1.47 | 5 |
| Samuel DahlBenfica · D | 1039 | 0.61 | 0.17 | 1.21 | 0.78 | 2.34 | 2 |
| Gianluca PrestianniBenfica · M | 1039 | 4.07 | 1.65 | 0.35 | 2.69 | 1.73 | 3 |
| Vangelis PavlidisBenfica · F | 1010 | 3.48 | 1.69 | 1.16 | 1.51 | 1.16 | 2 |
| Alexander BahBenfica · D | 860 | 1.47 | 0.73 | 1.15 | 2.09 | 1.78 | 4 |
| Clement LengletBenfica · D | 845 | 0.64 | 0.21 | 1.38 | 0.64 | 0.85 | 2 |
| Joao PalhinhaBenfica · M | 823 | 1.64 | 0.22 | 1.53 | 2.08 | 2.84 | 4 |
| Rafa SilvaBenfica · M | 768 | 1.99 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.76 | 1.64 | 0 |
| Fredrik AursnesBenfica · M | 669 | 0.81 | 0.27 | 1.35 | 0.54 | 0.81 | 1 |
| Andreas SchjelderupBenfica · F | 640 | 2.81 | 0.56 | 0.84 | 1.41 | 1.41 | 0 |
| Georgiy SudakovBenfica · M | 548 | 2.46 | 0.49 | 1.48 | 1.31 | 1.15 | 2 |
| Dodi LukebakioBenfica · F | 417 | 3.02 | 1.51 | 1.29 | 1.51 | 1.73 | 0 |
| Michal GurgulLech Poznan · D | 1335 | 0.88 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.81 | 1.21 | 2 |
| Joel PereiraLech Poznan · D | 1269 | 0.14 | 0.0 | 0.85 | 2.06 | 2.41 | 2 |
| Radoslaw MurawskiLech Poznan · M | 1125 | 0.8 | 0.08 | 2.64 | 1.44 | 2.72 | 3 |
| Pablo RodriguezLech Poznan · M | 1069 | 2.95 | 0.93 | 1.26 | 2.78 | 1.52 | 1 |
| Mateusz SkrzypczakLech Poznan · D | 1035 | 0.43 | 0.09 | 0.87 | 0.7 | 0.52 | 2 |
| Patrik WalemarkLech Poznan · F | 1025 | 3.69 | 1.84 | 0.53 | 2.37 | 0.7 | 3 |
| Antoni KozubalLech Poznan · M | 816 | 1.54 | 0.66 | 1.21 | 0.99 | 1.43 | 1 |
| Terry YegbeLech Poznan · D | 748 | 0.36 | 0.0 | 1.32 | 0.0 | 0.36 | 1 |
| Luis PalmaLech Poznan · M | 741 | 3.16 | 1.34 | 0.36 | 0.97 | 0.61 | 1 |
| Yannick AgneroLech Poznan · F | 633 | 3.41 | 1.42 | 1.0 | 0.57 | 0.14 | 1 |
| Filip JagielloLech Poznan · M | 423 | 1.49 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.85 | 0.43 | 1 |
| Leo BengtssonLech Poznan · F | 400 | 2.02 | 0.45 | 1.57 | 0.23 | 0.45 | 1 |
Advised props
Alexander Bah has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Benfica, at 0.73 per 90 across 860 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.
Benfica take 13.25 shots a game and hit 6.4 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
Joao Palhinha has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Benfica, at 0.44 per 90 across 823 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.
Benfica pick up 2.05 cards a game and there are 4.6 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
Terry Yegbe has committed a foul in 8 of his last 9 for Lech Poznan, at 1.32 per 90 across 748 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.
Benfica hold 54.9% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Tomas Araujo has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Benfica, at 0.37 per 90 across 1,221 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.
Benfica pick up 2.05 cards a game and there are 4.6 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 17% implied by 5/1.
Trends
Window shown per lineLast Six Matches
Most recent firstBenfica
Lech Poznan

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Build Your Own Benfica vs Lech Poznan Bet
Why this bet
75% on our numbersWhy this bet
65% on our numbersWhy this bet
5 of his last 10, 0.73 per 90Why this bet
4 of his last 10, 0.44 per 90Why this bet
Terry Yegbe has committed a foul in 8 of his last 9 for Lech Poznan, at 1.32 per 90 across 748 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Benfica hold 54.9% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
Tomas Araujo has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Benfica, at 0.37 per 90 across 1,221 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Benfica pick up 2.05 cards a game and there are 4.6 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 17% implied by 5/1.Why this bet
Benfica come in on W W W W W L, and at home they have scored 3.11 a game and conceded 0.78 across 9 matches. They have won 16 of their last 20 overall, drawing 2.Lech Poznan average 2.40 scored and 1.30 conceded. The venue splits project 2.52 against 1.44, which puts Benfica at about 72% to win, against 18% for the draw.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Benfica 2.52 against Lech Poznan 1.44, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.6%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Benfica, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Benfica to win is about 72% and both teams scoring about 65%. Benfica score 2.95 a game and concede 0.85, and Lech Poznan have scored in 11 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 7/5.Prices change, so check the slip before you stake. bet365 does not allow every combination of legs within one game.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
