AC Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth Predictions and Stats

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AC Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth

Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 · Europa League

AC Sparta PrahaDLWLDD
BournemouthWWWWWL
Our predictionOver 9.5 Corners8/11

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – AC Sparta Praha 3 in the Europa League and 2 in the Champions League and 15 across two others, Bournemouth 17 in the Premier League and 3 in the Europa League

Goals

1.85Scored per game1.80
1.10Conceded per game1.10
Home gamesAway games
2.11Scored1.67
1.11Conceded1.44
Correct Score 1-215/2

On the venue splits this projects AC Sparta Praha 1.80 against Bournemouth 1.45, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.9%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Bournemouth, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.48xG for1.80
1.01xG against1.19
+0.37Goals vs xG+0.00

Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals90%
60%Over 2.5 goals65%
35%Over 3.5 goals25%
Over 2.5 Goals4/7

AC Sparta Praha have gone past 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Bournemouth in 65%, with 85% and 90% going past 1.5.

AC Sparta Praha average 1.85 scored and 1.10 conceded, Bournemouth 1.80 and 1.10. On the venue splits that projects 1.80 against 1.45, about 3.3 goals in the match and 63% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

40%Both teams scored60%
7 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
7 of 20Failed to score1 of 20
Both Teams to Score7/10

Both teams have scored in 8 of AC Sparta Praha’s last 20 matches and 12 of Bournemouth’s. AC Sparta Praha concede 1.10 a game and Bournemouth 1.10.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.80 against 1.45, which puts both teams scoring at about 57%.

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Shots

14.80Shots per game14.35
6.20On target per game4.80
41.9%Accuracy33.4%

Corners

7.20Won per game4.90
2.95First half2.45
41.0%Share before the break50.0%
Over 9.5 Corners8/11

AC Sparta Praha win 7.2 corners a game and Bournemouth 4.9, with 2.95 and 2.45 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 12 in the match, a 77% chance of 10 or more against the 58% implied by 8/11.

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Cards and Fouls

3.75Cards in the match4.50
1.95Own cards per game2.55
1.05Cards by half time1.65
12.60Fouls committed13.10

Shooting Detail

9.25Shots inside the box8.60
5.55Shots outside the box5.75
6.00Off target5.80
4.50Blocked3.75

Big Chances

2.65Big chances created3.15
1.80Big chances missed1.95
32%Taken38%
25.80Touches in the box25.45

Record

10-3-7Won, drawn, lost10-7-3
7 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
7 of 20Failed to score1 of 20

Possession

59.95%Average share49.90%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Tobias Kvalvagnes GuddalAC Sparta Praha · D12601.070.290.791.01.431
Jonatan Braut BrunesAC Sparta Praha · F12343.431.091.020.950.360
Josimar AlcocerAC Sparta Praha · F11802.140.921.911.911.374
Roman MacekAC Sparta Praha · M10680.510.081.771.692.535
Martin SuchomelAC Sparta Praha · D10300.790.262.010.962.185
Hugo SochurekAC Sparta Praha · M8490.850.210.852.120.951
Andy IrvingAC Sparta Praha · M7361.470.491.220.860.980
Jaroslav ZelenyAC Sparta Praha · D7110.630.130.891.390.892
Loic Mbe SohAC Sparta Praha · D6080.890.00.740.591.920
Ki-Jana HoeverAC Sparta Praha · D4961.450.731.450.732.183
Ebrima SinghatehAC Sparta Praha · M4603.331.172.152.540.983
Matej JurasekAC Sparta Praha · F4453.441.422.022.431.210
James HillBournemouth · D17380.570.10.930.622.174
Adrien TruffertBournemouth · D17040.740.371.480.742.855
Marcus TavernierBournemouth · F16792.041.070.71.181.185
EvanilsonBournemouth · F16062.410.671.462.240.953
RayanBournemouth · F14942.891.080.840.841.080
Tyler AdamsBournemouth · M11930.380.081.890.61.895
Adam SmithBournemouth · D11830.150.01.451.60.994
Antonio SilvaBournemouth · D10800.670.170.830.251.583
Ryan ChristieBournemouth · M8352.260.541.081.722.374
Marcos SenesiBournemouth · D7200.250.01.01.251.50
Justin KluivertBournemouth · M6532.761.243.171.10.693
Eli Junior KroupiBournemouth · F5703.161.112.370.790.322
Lewis CookBournemouth · M4880.370.01.110.370.742
Alex JimenezBournemouth · D4320.420.02.081.043.122

Advised props

Martin Suchomel to be Carded

Martin Suchomel has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for AC Sparta Praha, at 0.44 per 90 across 1,030 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

AC Sparta Praha pick up 1.95 cards a game and there are 3.75 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

2/1Add
Marcus Tavernier Anytime Goalscorer

Marcus Tavernier has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 0.43 per 90 across 1,679 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Bournemouth score 1.80 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.

13/8Add
Roman Macek to be Carded

Roman Macek has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for AC Sparta Praha, at 0.42 per 90 across 1,068 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

AC Sparta Praha pick up 1.95 cards a game and there are 3.75 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.

12/5Add
Josimar Alcocer 2+ Fouls Committed

Josimar Alcocer has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for AC Sparta Praha, at 1.91 per 90 across 1,180 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

Bournemouth hold 49.9% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.

EvensAdd
Rayan 1+ Shots

Rayan has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 2.89 per 90 across 1,494 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.

Bournemouth take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.8 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

TBC

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%AC Sparta Praha · Last six at homeAC Sparta Praha have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six at home.
17/2085%AC Sparta Praha · Last 20AC Sparta Praha have gone past one and a half goals in 17 of their last twenty.
6/6100%Bournemouth · Last sixBournemouth have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Bournemouth · Last six awayBournemouth have scored in every one of their last six on the road.
6/6100%Bournemouth · Last six awayBournemouth have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

AC Sparta Praha

01 NovBohemians Praha 1905 (A)0-0D
28 OctBanik Ostrava (H)0-2L
25 Oct1. FC Slovacko (H)5-1W
22 OctOlympiacos FC (A)0-1L
18 OctBanik Ostrava (A)0-0D
15 OctLillestrom SK (H)1-1D

Bournemouth

31 OctLeeds United (H)2-0W
25 OctManchester United (A)3-0W
22 OctMilan (H)3-0W
18 OctSunderland (H)2-0W
15 OctSK Sturm Graz (H)3-0W
10 OctChelsea (A)1-5L
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Build Your Own AC Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth Bet

Over 9.5 Corners8/111.73
Why this betAC Sparta Praha win 7.2 corners a game and Bournemouth 4.9, with 2.95 and 2.45 of those in the first half.That leaves about 12 in the match, a 77% chance of 10 or more against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Martin Suchomel to be Carded2/13.00
Why this bet5 of his last 10, 0.44 per 90
Marcus Tavernier Anytime Goalscorer13/82.63
Why this bet5 of his last 10, 0.43 per 90
Roman Macek to be Carded12/53.40
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 0.42 per 90
Josimar Alcocer 2+ Fouls Committed1/12.00
Why this bet6 of his last 10, 1.91 per 90
Rayan 1+ ShotsTBC
Why this betRayan has had a shot in 9 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 2.89 per 90 across 1,494 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Bournemouth take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.8 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Adrien Truffert 3+ Fouls Committed10/34.33
Why this betAdrien Truffert has committed 3 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 1.48 per 90 across 1,704 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.AC Sparta Praha hold 59.95% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.
Tyler Adams to be Carded13/53.60
Why this betTyler Adams has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Bournemouth, at 0.38 per 90 across 1,193 minutes, and he averages 63 minutes a game when he plays.Bournemouth pick up 2.55 cards a game and there are 4.5 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 28% implied by 13/5.
Both Teams to Score7/101.70
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 8 of AC Sparta Praha’s last 20 matches and 12 of Bournemouth’s. AC Sparta Praha concede 1.10 a game and Bournemouth 1.10.On the venue splits the projection is 1.80 against 1.45, which puts both teams scoring at about 57%.
Over 2.5 Goals4/71.57
Why this betAC Sparta Praha have gone past 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Bournemouth in 65%, with 85% and 90% going past 1.5.AC Sparta Praha average 1.85 scored and 1.10 conceded, Bournemouth 1.80 and 1.10. On the venue splits that projects 1.80 against 1.45, about 3.3 goals in the match and 63% for over 2.5.
Correct Score 1-215/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects AC Sparta Praha 1.80 against Bournemouth 1.45, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Bournemouth, which is where the board has the match too.
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