Stade Rennais vs Olympiacos FC Predictions and Stats

Andy Clark
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Stade Rennais vs Olympiacos FC

Wed 4 Nov, 15:30 · Europa League

Stade RennaisLWDLWW
Olympiacos FCWWWWWW
Our predictionLorenzo Pirola 1+ Shots11/8

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Stade Rennais 3 in the Europa League and 17 in another competition, Olympiacos FC 3 in the Europa League and 2 in the Champions League and 15 across two others

Goals

2.00Scored per game1.60
1.75Conceded per game0.50
Home gamesAway games
2.10Scored1.70
0.90Conceded0.50
Correct Score 2-18/1

On the venue splits this projects Stade Rennais 1.28 against Olympiacos FC 1.65, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.6%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Stade Rennais, which is where the board has the match too.

Expected Goals

2.02xG for1.23
1.86xG against0.51
-0.02Goals vs xG+0.37

Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals55%
85%Over 2.5 goals25%
50%Over 3.5 goals20%
Under 2.5 Goals11/10

Stade Rennais are expected 1.30 at home and Olympiacos FC 1.30 away, so 2.60 in the match. Our numbers make it 52% against the 48% the price implies.

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Both Teams to Score

70%Both teams scored35%
5 of 20Clean sheets12 of 20
3 of 20Failed to score2 of 20
Both Teams to Score8/13

Both teams have scored in 14 of Stade Rennais’ last 20 matches and 7 of Olympiacos FC’s. Stade Rennais concede 1.75 a game and Olympiacos FC 0.50.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.28 against 1.65, which puts both teams scoring at about 55%.

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Shots

17.75Shots per game14.30
6.45On target per game5.05
36.3%Accuracy35.3%

Corners

6.85Won per game6.45
3.20First half2.55
46.7%Share before the break39.5%
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Cards and Fouls

4.00Cards in the match4.85
1.90Own cards per game1.90
1.20Cards by half time1.55
12.00Fouls committed13.75

Shooting Detail

11.85Shots inside the box10.30
5.90Shots outside the box4.00
7.20Off target7.20
4.10Blocked4.15

Big Chances

3.05Big chances created2.45
1.80Big chances missed1.85
41%Taken24%
31.15Touches in the box24.00

Record

11-4-5Won, drawn, lost14-5-1
5 of 20Clean sheets12 of 20
3 of 20Failed to score2 of 20

Possession

54.45%Average share50.15%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Valentin RongierStade Rennais · M15311.00.531.410.822.823
Mahdi CamaraStade Rennais · M15151.310.531.251.011.843
Esteban LepaulStade Rennais · F14334.151.950.440.570.253
Mousa Al-TamariStade Rennais · F13422.751.010.341.071.211
Abdelhamid Ait BoudlalStade Rennais · D12700.850.211.061.061.354
Charlie CresswellStade Rennais · D10801.080.171.00.671.332
Mahamadou NagidaStade Rennais · D10511.710.691.111.712.480
Sebastian SzymanskiStade Rennais · M10281.490.610.71.142.362
Ludovic BlasStade Rennais · F10043.320.91.341.171.521
Anthony RouaultStade Rennais · D9900.820.271.00.181.914
Quentin MerlinStade Rennais · D9700.650.191.390.741.952
Przemyslaw FrankowskiStade Rennais · D7600.830.121.890.952.012
Adrien ThomassonStade Rennais · M7270.990.252.11.611.733
Lilian BrassierStade Rennais · D5400.670.331.00.830.831
Breel EmboloStade Rennais · F4863.521.32.042.960.740
Bryan ReynoldsStade Rennais · D4490.60.21.40.61.60
Issa SoumareStade Rennais · F4152.60.871.31.950.871
Panagiotis RetsosOlympiacos FC · D13521.00.271.070.61.464
Lorenzo PirolaOlympiacos FC · D13351.010.070.811.081.083
ChiquinhoOlympiacos FC · M11151.940.650.571.051.860
Gelson MartinsOlympiacos FC · M9622.530.751.43.652.062
Santiago HezzeOlympiacos FC · M9561.130.381.410.662.453
Jota SilvaOlympiacos FC · F9124.441.182.472.761.783
Onyemaechi BrunoOlympiacos FC · D8960.70.21.711.02.212
Remo FreulerOlympiacos FC · M8640.730.11.560.311.561
Nair TiknizyanOlympiacos FC · D8550.320.01.790.741.261
Gustavo PuertaOlympiacos FC · M7221.00.52.241.871.752
Manolis SaliakasOlympiacos FC · D6371.130.281.270.421.131
Kostas FortounisOlympiacos FC · M6073.110.590.741.630.741
RodineiOlympiacos FC · D5700.950.631.741.583.03
Marcus PedersenOlympiacos FC · D5640.480.480.640.481.280
Joel RocaOlympiacos FC · F5293.911.361.193.741.361
Zinedin SmajlovicOlympiacos FC · D5120.530.181.230.70.880
David CarmoOlympiacos FC · D4950.730.551.090.360.553
Gustavo SaOlympiacos FC · M4922.380.552.20.912.562
Armando GonzalezOlympiacos FC · F4875.172.031.660.370.180
Dani GarciaOlympiacos FC · M4750.00.02.080.572.272

Advised props

Lorenzo Pirola 1+ Shots

Lorenzo Pirola has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Olympiacos FC, at 1.01 per 90 across 1,335 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

Olympiacos FC take 14.3 shots a game and hit 5.05 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.

11/8Add
Panagiotis Retsos 1+ Shots

Panagiotis Retsos has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Olympiacos FC, at 1.0 per 90 across 1,352 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Olympiacos FC take 14.3 shots a game and hit 5.05 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.

11/8Add
Esteban Lepaul 2+ Shots on Target

Esteban Lepaul has had 2 or more shots on target in 6 of his last 10 for Stade Rennais, at 1.95 per 90 across 1,433 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Stade Rennais take 17.75 shots a game and hit 6.45 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.

11/8Add
David Carmo 1+ Shots on Target

David Carmo has had a shot on target in 3 of his last 7 for Olympiacos FC, at 0.55 per 90 across 495 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.

Olympiacos FC take 14.3 shots a game and hit 5.05 on target. That is about 43% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

5/2Add
Anthony Rouault to be Carded

Anthony Rouault has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Stade Rennais, at 0.36 per 90 across 990 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Stade Rennais pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 4.0 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 21% implied by 15/4.

15/4Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Stade Rennais · Last sixStade Rennais have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Stade Rennais · Last sixStade Rennais have gone past two and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Stade Rennais · Last sixStade Rennais have scored in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Olympiacos FC · Last sixOlympiacos FC have scored in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Olympiacos FC · Last sixOlympiacos FC have won in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Olympiacos FC · Last sixOlympiacos FC are unbeaten in every one of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Stade Rennais

30 OctNice (A)2-5L
25 OctRC Strasbourg (H)3-0W
22 OctJuventus (A)2-2D
18 OctParis FC (A)3-4L
15 OctOFI Crete (H)2-1W
11 OctAuxerre (H)4-1W

Olympiacos FC

31 OctAE Kifisia (A)3-2W
28 OctGS Marko (A)2-0W
25 OctPS Kalamata (H)5-0W
22 OctAC Sparta Praha (H)1-0W
18 OctPanetolikos (A)2-0W
15 OctOlympique de Marseille (A)1-0W
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Build Your Own Stade Rennais vs Olympiacos FC Bet

Lorenzo Pirola 1+ Shots11/82.38
Why this bet7 of his last 10, 1.01 per 90
Panagiotis Retsos 1+ Shots11/82.38
Why this bet6 of his last 10, 1.0 per 90
Esteban Lepaul 2+ Shots on Target11/82.38
Why this betEsteban Lepaul has had 2 or more shots on target in 6 of his last 10 for Stade Rennais, at 1.95 per 90 across 1,433 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Stade Rennais take 17.75 shots a game and hit 6.45 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.
David Carmo 1+ Shots on Target5/23.50
Why this bet3 of his last 7, 0.55 per 90
Anthony Rouault to be Carded15/44.75
Why this bet3 of his last 10, 0.36 per 90
Valentin Rongier 1+ Fouls CommittedTBC
Why this betValentin Rongier has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Stade Rennais, at 1.41 per 90 across 1,531 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.Olympiacos FC hold 50.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal to be Carded10/34.33
Why this betAbdelhamid Ait Boudlal has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Stade Rennais, at 0.28 per 90 across 1,270 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Stade Rennais pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 4.0 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.
Both Teams to Score8/131.62
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 14 of Stade Rennais’ last 20 matches and 7 of Olympiacos FC’s. Stade Rennais concede 1.75 a game and Olympiacos FC 0.50.On the venue splits the projection is 1.28 against 1.65, which puts both teams scoring at about 55%.
Correct Score 2-18/19.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Stade Rennais 1.28 against Olympiacos FC 1.65, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.6%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Stade Rennais, which is where the board has the match too.
Under 2.5 Goals11/102.10
Why this betStade Rennais are expected 1.30 at home and Olympiacos FC 1.30 away, so 2.60 in the match. Our numbers make it 52% against the 48% the price implies.
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