Arsenal vs Hull City Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
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Arsenal vs Hull City

Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 · Premier League

ArsenalWWWDWW
Hull CityDDLDLD

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Arsenal 13 in the Premier League and 7 in the Champions League, Hull City 11 in the Championship and 9 in the Premier League

Goals

1.60Scored per game1.25
0.55Conceded per game1.00
Home gamesAway games
2.12Scored1.22
0.25Conceded1.33
Correct Score 1-015/2

On the venue splits this projects Arsenal 1.58 against Hull City 0.81, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 12.0%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Arsenal, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.78xG for1.16
0.99xG against1.42
-0.18Goals vs xG+0.09
Arsenal to Win1/6

Arsenal come in on W W W D W W, and at home they have scored 2.12 a game and conceded 0.25 across 8 matches. They have won 16 of their last 20 overall, drawing 3.

Hull City average 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. The venue splits project 1.58 against 0.81, which puts Arsenal at about 68% to win, against 25% for the draw.

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Under and Over

65%Over 1.5 goals70%
45%Over 2.5 goals45%
5%Over 3.5 goals25%
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Both Teams to Score

35%Both teams scored60%
12 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
1 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Shots

13.95Shots per game11.15
4.60On target per game3.60
33.0%Accuracy32.3%

Corners

4.55Won per game4.15
2.35First half2.10
51.6%Share before the break50.6%
Under 9.5 Corners5/6

Arsenal win 4.55 corners a game and Hull City 4.15, with 2.35 and 2.1 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 8 in the match, a 71% chance of 9 or fewer against the 55% implied by 5/6.

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Cards and Fouls

3.90Cards in the match3.90
1.60Own cards per game2.55
1.10Cards by half time1.30
10.40Fouls committed10.25

Shooting Detail

9.45Shots inside the box6.95
4.50Shots outside the box4.25
4.85Off target5.05
4.50Blocked2.50

Big Chances

3.10Big chances created1.95
2.15Big chances missed1.30
31%Taken33%
32.60Touches in the box19.25

Record

16-3-1Won, drawn, lost6-10-4
12 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
1 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Possession

56.05%Average share39.40%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Gabriel MagalhaesArsenal · D17850.910.31.011.011.112
Declan RiceArsenal · M16680.860.110.860.382.163
Martin OdegaardArsenal · M12181.630.440.31.181.032
Riccardo CalafioriArsenal · D11021.470.330.650.251.310
Kai HavertzArsenal · F10142.220.891.691.240.444
Myles Lewis-SkellyArsenal · D9940.450.01.812.811.02
Ben WhiteArsenal · D9930.270.090.540.731.360
Ezri KonsaArsenal · D9730.280.090.921.761.662
Noni MaduekeArsenal · F8742.160.621.240.930.822
Eberechi EzeArsenal · F8572.420.840.422.630.530
Viktor GyokeresArsenal · F7991.690.682.141.350.231
Piero HincapieArsenal · D5830.770.150.460.622.470
William SalibaArsenal · D5700.160.00.320.320.631
Cristhian MosqueraArsenal · D5110.180.181.230.531.942
Christos TzolisArsenal · F5011.620.90.541.981.082
Martin ZubimendiArsenal · M4990.720.01.980.721.980
Bruno GuimaraesArsenal · M4852.410.930.742.782.780
Jurrien TimberArsenal · D4800.940.381.121.311.691
Leandro TrossardArsenal · F4572.360.980.391.770.981
Mikel MerinoArsenal · M4483.421.212.012.210.82
Oliver McBurnieHull City · F17791.971.061.211.620.466
John EganHull City · D16530.710.220.440.541.584
Lewie CoyleHull City · D15720.40.060.40.971.264
Semi AjayiHull City · D15490.460.120.350.581.574
Matt CrooksHull City · M13520.870.271.930.62.867
Mohamed BelloumiHull City · F12753.321.061.690.782.612
Ryan GilesHull City · D12110.150.00.220.151.262
Regan SlaterHull City · M11880.760.150.910.762.352
Liam MillarHull City · F7851.830.230.461.381.611
Joe GelhardtHull City · F7342.450.981.960.982.452
Nobel MendyHull City · D4331.040.621.660.211.660
Elliot StroudHull City · F4290.630.01.470.422.312
John LundstramHull City · M4221.280.01.070.433.22
Paddy McNairHull City · D4160.220.01.081.080.871

Advised props

Gabriel Magalhaes 1+ Fouls Committed

Gabriel Magalhaes has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Arsenal, at 1.01 per 90 across 1,785 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

Hull City hold 39.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.

10/11Add
Declan Rice 1+ Fouls Committed

Declan Rice has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Arsenal, at 0.86 per 90 across 1,668 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

Hull City hold 39.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.

EvensAdd
Elliot Stroud 2+ Fouls Committed

Elliot Stroud has committed 2 or more fouls in 3 of his last 7 for Hull City, at 1.47 per 90 across 429 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays.

Arsenal hold 56.05% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 43% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.

9/4Add
Ezri Konsa 2+ Fouls Committed

Ezri Konsa has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Arsenal, at 0.92 per 90 across 973 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

Hull City hold 39.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 17% implied by 5/1.

5/1Add
Myles Lewis-Skelly 2+ Fouls Committed

Myles Lewis-Skelly has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Arsenal, at 1.81 per 90 across 994 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.

Hull City hold 39.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

5/2Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Arsenal · Last six at homeArsenal have scored in every one of their last six at home.
6/6100%Arsenal · Last sixArsenal have scored in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Arsenal · Last sixArsenal are unbeaten in every one of their last six.
0/60%Hull City · Last sixHull City have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six.
0/60%Hull City · Last sixHull City have won in 0 of their last six.
5/683%Hull City · Last sixHull City have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Arsenal

04 NovSK Slavia Praha (A)2-1W
01 NovLiverpool (A)1-0W
24 OctEverton (H)2-0W
21 OctFC Bayern Munchen (A)2-2D
18 OctNottingham Forest (A)1-0W
13 OctLille (H)3-0W

Hull City

31 OctIpswich Town (H)2-2D
25 OctBrentford (H)1-1D
17 OctFulham (A)0-1L
11 OctEverton (H)2-2D
19 SepNewcastle United (A)1-2L
12 SepChelsea (A)2-2D
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Build Your Own Arsenal vs Hull City Bet

Gabriel Magalhaes 1+ Fouls Committed10/111.91
Why this betGabriel Magalhaes has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Arsenal, at 1.01 per 90 across 1,785 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Hull City hold 39.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.
Declan Rice 1+ Fouls Committed1/12.00
Why this betDeclan Rice has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Arsenal, at 0.86 per 90 across 1,668 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Hull City hold 39.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
Elliot Stroud 2+ Fouls Committed9/43.25
Why this betElliot Stroud has committed 2 or more fouls in 3 of his last 7 for Hull City, at 1.47 per 90 across 429 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays.Arsenal hold 56.05% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 43% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
Ezri Konsa 2+ Fouls Committed5/16.00
Why this betEzri Konsa has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Arsenal, at 0.92 per 90 across 973 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.Hull City hold 39.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 17% implied by 5/1.
Myles Lewis-Skelly 2+ Fouls Committed5/23.50
Why this betMyles Lewis-Skelly has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Arsenal, at 1.81 per 90 across 994 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.Hull City hold 39.4% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.
Matt Crooks to be Carded7/42.75
Why this betMatt Crooks has been booked in 6 of his last 10 for Hull City, at 0.47 per 90 across 1,352 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Hull City pick up 2.55 cards a game and there are 3.9 in their matches. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
Oliver McBurnie to be Carded21/103.10
Why this betOliver McBurnie has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Hull City, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,779 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Hull City pick up 2.55 cards a game and there are 3.9 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.
Under 9.5 Corners5/61.83
Why this betArsenal win 4.55 corners a game and Hull City 4.15, with 2.35 and 2.1 of those in the first half.That leaves about 8 in the match, a 71% chance of 9 or fewer against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Arsenal to Win1/61.17
Why this betArsenal come in on W W W D W W, and at home they have scored 2.12 a game and conceded 0.25 across 8 matches. They have won 16 of their last 20 overall, drawing 3.Hull City average 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. The venue splits project 1.58 against 0.81, which puts Arsenal at about 68% to win, against 25% for the draw.
Correct Score 1-015/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Arsenal 1.58 against Hull City 0.81, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 12.0%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Arsenal, which is where the board has the match too.
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