Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
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Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur

Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 · Premier League

Leeds UnitedLDDLDW
Tottenham HotspurWWWDLD

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Tottenham Hotspur 18 in the Premier League and 2 in the Champions League

Goals

1.05Scored per game1.20
0.90Conceded per game1.40
Home gamesAway games
1.30Scored1.00
0.60Conceded1.40
Correct Score 1-09/1

On the venue splits this projects Leeds United 1.43 against Tottenham Hotspur 0.94, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.7%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Leeds United, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.33xG for1.28
1.33xG against1.14
-0.28Goals vs xG-0.08

Under and Over

60%Over 1.5 goals75%
35%Over 2.5 goals45%
15%Over 3.5 goals25%
Under 2.5 Goals10/11

Leeds United have stayed under 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Tottenham Hotspur in 55%, with just 15% and 25% of their matches going past 3.5.

Leeds United average 1.05 scored and 0.90 conceded, Tottenham Hotspur 1.20 and 1.40. On the venue splits that projects 1.43 against 0.94, about 2.4 goals in the match and 59% for under 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

45%Both teams scored50%
7 of 20Clean sheets6 of 20
8 of 20Failed to score6 of 20

Shots

12.55Shots per game14.70
3.85On target per game4.70
30.7%Accuracy32.0%

Corners

4.40Won per game7.25
2.05First half3.55
46.6%Share before the break49.0%
Over 9.5 Corners5/6

Leeds United win 4.4 corners a game and Tottenham Hotspur 7.25, with 2.05 and 3.55 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 12 in the match, a 73% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.

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Cards and Fouls

3.85Cards in the match4.45
1.80Own cards per game2.35
1.65Cards by half time1.25
11.80Fouls committed13.65

Shooting Detail

8.20Shots inside the box9.75
4.35Shots outside the box4.95
4.65Off target5.50
4.05Blocked4.50

Big Chances

1.95Big chances created2.50
1.35Big chances missed1.80
31%Taken28%
22.50Touches in the box28.95

Record

6-9-5Won, drawn, lost7-6-7
7 of 20Clean sheets6 of 20
8 of 20Failed to score6 of 20

Possession

47.65%Average share56.05%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Ethan AmpaduLeeds United · M18000.70.151.851.052.27
James JustinLeeds United · D17641.070.310.661.072.913
Dominic Calvert-LewinLeeds United · F17432.120.981.761.240.055
Jayden BogleLeeds United · D14121.020.451.531.271.594
Anton StachLeeds United · M12731.910.421.561.272.550
Ao TanakaLeeds United · M11371.190.41.350.792.222
Gabriel GudmundssonLeeds United · D10790.50.080.832.341.752
Jaka BijolLeeds United · D10571.020.170.770.341.362
Brenden AaronsonLeeds United · M10211.320.350.971.761.232
Joe RodonLeeds United · D8870.410.30.810.510.912
Pascal StruijkLeeds United · D8590.840.11.150.841.152
Tarik MuharemovicLeeds United · D8100.780.220.560.890.671
Noah OkaforLeeds United · F7642.120.820.590.821.180
Nico ElvediLeeds United · D5920.460.30.460.30.611
Lukas NmechaLeeds United · F4932.560.550.731.831.460
Micky van de VenTottenham Hotspur · D15010.420.00.781.21.084
Pedro PorroTottenham Hotspur · D12431.950.720.721.012.245
Mathys TelTottenham Hotspur · F11602.330.781.240.850.851
Archie GrayTottenham Hotspur · D10720.760.251.180.921.343
Conor GallagherTottenham Hotspur · M9691.390.561.951.862.415
Dominic SolankeTottenham Hotspur · F8942.621.111.411.111.111
Rodrigo BentancurTottenham Hotspur · M8610.520.11.360.633.552
Kevin DansoTottenham Hotspur · D8390.860.111.720.861.295
Jan Paul van HeckeTottenham Hotspur · D8101.110.441.220.781.782
Sandro TonaliTottenham Hotspur · M7891.60.110.680.912.510
Destiny UdogieTottenham Hotspur · D7460.120.01.571.691.814
Randal Kolo MuaniTottenham Hotspur · F6081.180.31.630.891.181
Omar MarmoushTottenham Hotspur · M5942.420.762.120.910.910
Andy RobertsonTottenham Hotspur · D5780.780.470.160.311.090
Djed SpenceTottenham Hotspur · F5540.810.321.621.142.271
Mateus FernandesTottenham Hotspur · M4662.120.392.510.393.092
Mohammed KudusTottenham Hotspur · F4552.370.21.382.771.780
Joao PalhinhaTottenham Hotspur · M4402.050.821.642.253.072
Pape Matar SarrTottenham Hotspur · M4291.680.01.470.421.891

Advised props

Jayden Bogle 1+ Shots

Jayden Bogle has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 1.02 per 90 across 1,412 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.

Leeds United take 12.55 shots a game and hit 3.85 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 60% implied by 4/6.

4/6Add
Pedro Porro 2+ Shots

Pedro Porro has had 2 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Tottenham Hotspur, at 1.95 per 90 across 1,243 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.

Tottenham Hotspur take 14.7 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 45% implied by 6/5.

6/5Add
Sandro Tonali 2+ Shots

Sandro Tonali has had 2 or more shots in 5 of his last 9 for Tottenham Hotspur, at 1.6 per 90 across 789 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

Tottenham Hotspur take 14.7 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. That is about 56% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.

6/4Add
Jan Paul van Hecke 1+ Shots

Jan Paul van Hecke has had a shot in 5 of his last 9 for Tottenham Hotspur, at 1.11 per 90 across 810 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Tottenham Hotspur take 14.7 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. That is about 56% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.

EvensAdd
Jayden Bogle 1+ Shots on Target

Jayden Bogle has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 0.45 per 90 across 1,412 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.

Leeds United take 12.55 shots a game and hit 3.85 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

11/4Add

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Leeds United · Last sixLeeds United have won six or more corners in 0 of their last six.
0/60%Leeds United · Last sixLeeds United have seen eleven or more corners in the match in 0 of their last six.
6/6100%Leeds United · Last six at homeLeeds United are unbeaten in every one of their last six at home.
0/60%Tottenham Hotspur · Last six awayTottenham Hotspur have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six on the road.
6/6100%Tottenham Hotspur · Last six awayTottenham Hotspur have committed twelve or more fouls in every one of their last six on the road.
18/2090%Tottenham Hotspur · Last 20Tottenham Hotspur have committed twelve or more fouls in 18 of their last twenty.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Leeds United

31 OctBournemouth (A)0-2L
25 OctSunderland (A)0-0D
18 OctManchester United (H)1-1D
10 OctArsenal (A)1-2L
20 SepCrystal Palace (H)0-0D
14 SepNewcastle United (H)4-1W

Tottenham Hotspur

31 OctCrystal Palace (H)2-0W
24 OctChelsea (A)2-0W
19 OctCoventry City (H)3-1W
10 OctManchester United (A)1-1D
19 SepAston Villa (H)2-3L
12 SepEverton (H)0-0D
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Build Your Own Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur Bet

Jayden Bogle 1+ Shots4/61.67
Why this betJayden Bogle has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 1.02 per 90 across 1,412 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.Leeds United take 12.55 shots a game and hit 3.85 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 60% implied by 4/6.
Pedro Porro 2+ Shots6/52.20
Why this betPedro Porro has had 2 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Tottenham Hotspur, at 1.95 per 90 across 1,243 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.Tottenham Hotspur take 14.7 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 45% implied by 6/5.
Sandro Tonali 2+ Shots6/42.50
Why this betSandro Tonali has had 2 or more shots in 5 of his last 9 for Tottenham Hotspur, at 1.6 per 90 across 789 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Tottenham Hotspur take 14.7 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. That is about 56% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.
Jan Paul van Hecke 1+ Shots1/12.00
Why this betJan Paul van Hecke has had a shot in 5 of his last 9 for Tottenham Hotspur, at 1.11 per 90 across 810 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Tottenham Hotspur take 14.7 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. That is about 56% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
Jayden Bogle 1+ Shots on Target11/43.75
Why this betJayden Bogle has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 0.45 per 90 across 1,412 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.Leeds United take 12.55 shots a game and hit 3.85 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
Omar Marmoush 2+ Fouls Committed6/52.20
Why this betOmar Marmoush has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 8 for Tottenham Hotspur, at 2.12 per 90 across 594 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Leeds United hold 47.65% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 62% on his own record, against the 45% implied by 6/5.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2+ Fouls Committed5/61.83
Why this betDominic Calvert-Lewin has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 1.76 per 90 across 1,743 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Tottenham Hotspur hold 56.05% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Ethan Ampadu to be Carded21/103.10
Why this betEthan Ampadu has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Leeds United, at 0.35 per 90 across 1,800 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Leeds United pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.85 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.
Over 9.5 Corners5/61.83
Why this betLeeds United win 4.4 corners a game and Tottenham Hotspur 7.25, with 2.05 and 3.55 of those in the first half.That leaves about 12 in the match, a 73% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Under 2.5 Goals10/111.91
Why this betLeeds United have stayed under 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Tottenham Hotspur in 55%, with just 15% and 25% of their matches going past 3.5.Leeds United average 1.05 scored and 0.90 conceded, Tottenham Hotspur 1.20 and 1.40. On the venue splits that projects 1.43 against 0.94, about 2.4 goals in the match and 59% for under 2.5.
Correct Score 1-09/110.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Leeds United 1.43 against Tottenham Hotspur 0.94, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.7%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Leeds United, which is where the board has the match too.
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