Birmingham City vs Swansea City Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
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Birmingham City vs Swansea City

Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 · Championship

Birmingham CityWWLWWW
Swansea CityLWLLWW

Stats cover Last 20 matches, all in one competition

Goals

1.75Scored per game1.55
0.95Conceded per game1.15
Home gamesAway games
2.30Scored1.40
0.90Conceded1.50
Correct Score 2-115/2

On the venue splits this projects Birmingham City 1.68 against Swansea City 1.08, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Birmingham City, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.56xG for1.59
1.33xG against1.41
+0.19Goals vs xG-0.04
Birmingham City to Win5/6

Birmingham City come in on W W L W W W, and at home they have scored 2.30 a game and conceded 0.90 across 10 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 7.

Swansea City average 1.55 scored and 1.15 conceded. The venue splits project 1.68 against 1.08, which puts Birmingham City at about 51% to win, against 24% for the draw.

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Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals75%
65%Over 2.5 goals65%
25%Over 3.5 goals35%
Over 2.5 Goals10/11

Birmingham City have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Swansea City in 65%, with 85% and 75% going past 1.5.

Birmingham City average 1.75 scored and 0.95 conceded, Swansea City 1.55 and 1.15. On the venue splits that projects 1.68 against 1.08, about 2.8 goals in the match and 58% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

65%Both teams scored55%
6 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
2 of 20Failed to score4 of 20
Both Teams to Score4/5

Both teams have scored in 13 of Birmingham City’s last 20 matches and 11 of Swansea City’s. Birmingham City concede 0.95 a game and Swansea City 1.15.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.68 against 1.08, which puts both teams scoring at about 57%.

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Shots

13.55Shots per game12.25
5.20On target per game4.60
38.4%Accuracy37.6%

Corners

5.45Won per game4.15
2.65First half1.65
48.6%Share before the break39.8%
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Cards and Fouls

3.75Cards in the match3.40
2.00Own cards per game1.55
1.20Cards by half time1.20
12.50Fouls committed9.45

Shooting Detail

9.25Shots inside the box7.15
4.30Shots outside the box5.10
4.40Off target4.00
3.95Blocked3.65

Big Chances

2.85Big chances created2.25
1.80Big chances missed1.20
37%Taken47%
25.25Touches in the box20.55

Record

10-7-3Won, drawn, lost11-4-5
6 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
2 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Possession

49.95%Average share56.95%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Christoph KlarerBirmingham City · D18000.40.11.350.81.455
Phil NeumannBirmingham City · D18000.60.30.91.11.554
Tomoki IwataBirmingham City · M16671.240.111.080.161.30
Jay StansfieldBirmingham City · M15912.661.242.090.281.73
Bright Osayi-SamuelBirmingham City · D14410.370.01.01.372.375
August PriskeBirmingham City · F14202.541.012.221.140.131
Carlos VicenteBirmingham City · F13451.940.81.01.671.414
Jhon SolisBirmingham City · M12981.110.421.321.041.465
Alex CochraneBirmingham City · D12110.520.221.040.971.264
Liam MillarBirmingham City · F7421.70.970.361.331.462
Patrick RobertsBirmingham City · F5751.10.311.11.721.721
Demarai GrayBirmingham City · F4573.151.581.381.381.382
Kai WagnerBirmingham City · D4500.20.00.60.41.60
Ethan LairdBirmingham City · D4361.240.411.031.031.861
Josh TymonSwansea City · D17820.250.10.40.451.462
Ben CabangoSwansea City · D15200.590.00.410.471.071
Marko StamenicSwansea City · M12950.90.211.461.041.393
Melker WidellSwansea City · F10552.220.61.362.052.563
Stephen WelshSwansea City · D10540.340.00.261.20.771
Jay FultonSwansea City · M10330.350.091.310.781.923
Filip LissahSwansea City · D10250.180.091.231.42.635
Adam IdahSwansea City · F9253.211.360.680.190.780
Joseph OpokuSwansea City · F8481.80.742.440.642.231
Zan VipotnikSwansea City · F8323.141.620.431.080.320
Ji-sung EomSwansea City · F8061.90.780.452.011.672
Goncalo FrancoSwansea City · M7651.060.351.651.763.652
Elijah JustSwansea City · F6181.890.581.311.60.732
Stephen EustaquioSwansea City · M5910.910.610.610.761.070
Josh KeySwansea City · D5090.350.181.240.881.770

Advised props

Tomoki Iwata 1+ Fouls Committed

Tomoki Iwata has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Birmingham City, at 1.08 per 90 across 1,667 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

Swansea City hold 56.95% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Christoph Klarer to be Carded

Christoph Klarer has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Birmingham City, at 0.25 per 90 across 1,800 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Birmingham City pick up 2.0 cards a game and there are 3.75 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.

21/10Add
Carlos Vicente to be Carded

Carlos Vicente has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Birmingham City, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,345 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.

Birmingham City pick up 2.0 cards a game and there are 3.75 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.

9/2Add
Jhon Solis to be Carded

Jhon Solis has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Birmingham City, at 0.35 per 90 across 1,298 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

Birmingham City pick up 2.0 cards a game and there are 3.75 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 21% implied by 15/4.

15/4Add
Alex Cochrane to be Carded

Alex Cochrane has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Birmingham City, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,211 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

Birmingham City pick up 2.0 cards a game and there are 3.75 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

3/1Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Birmingham City · Last six at homeBirmingham City have scored in every one of their last six at home.
6/6100%Birmingham City · Last six at homeBirmingham City are unbeaten in every one of their last six at home.
6/6100%Birmingham City · Last six at homeBirmingham City have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six at home.
1/617%Swansea City · Last sixSwansea City have committed twelve or more fouls in one of their last six.
5/683%Swansea City · Last six awaySwansea City have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six on the road.
5/683%Swansea City · Last six awaySwansea City have gone past two and a half goals in five of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Birmingham City

03 NovMillwall (H)3-0W
31 OctLincoln City (A)3-1W
24 OctCardiff City (A)0-1L
17 OctQueens Park Rangers (H)3-0W
13 OctPreston North End (H)4-0W
10 OctWest Bromwich Albion (A)1-0W

Swansea City

03 NovPortsmouth (A)1-3L
31 OctBlackburn Rovers (H)4-0W
24 OctQueens Park Rangers (A)0-5L
17 OctWest Ham United (H)0-1L
13 OctMillwall (A)1-0W
10 OctNorwich City (H)2-1W
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Build Your Own Birmingham City vs Swansea City Bet

Tomoki Iwata 1+ Fouls Committed
Why this betTomoki Iwata has committed a foul in 9 of his last 10 for Birmingham City, at 1.08 per 90 across 1,667 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Swansea City hold 56.95% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Christoph Klarer to be Carded21/103.10
Why this betChristoph Klarer has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Birmingham City, at 0.25 per 90 across 1,800 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Birmingham City pick up 2.0 cards a game and there are 3.75 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.
Carlos Vicente to be Carded9/25.50
Why this betCarlos Vicente has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Birmingham City, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,345 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.Birmingham City pick up 2.0 cards a game and there are 3.75 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.
Jhon Solis to be Carded15/44.75
Why this betJhon Solis has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Birmingham City, at 0.35 per 90 across 1,298 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Birmingham City pick up 2.0 cards a game and there are 3.75 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 21% implied by 15/4.
Alex Cochrane to be Carded3/14.00
Why this betAlex Cochrane has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Birmingham City, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,211 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.Birmingham City pick up 2.0 cards a game and there are 3.75 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
Birmingham City to Win5/61.83
Why this betBirmingham City come in on W W L W W W, and at home they have scored 2.30 a game and conceded 0.90 across 10 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 7.Swansea City average 1.55 scored and 1.15 conceded. The venue splits project 1.68 against 1.08, which puts Birmingham City at about 51% to win, against 24% for the draw.
Both Teams to Score4/51.80
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 13 of Birmingham City’s last 20 matches and 11 of Swansea City’s. Birmingham City concede 0.95 a game and Swansea City 1.15.On the venue splits the projection is 1.68 against 1.08, which puts both teams scoring at about 57%.
Over 2.5 Goals10/111.91
Why this betBirmingham City have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Swansea City in 65%, with 85% and 75% going past 1.5.Birmingham City average 1.75 scored and 0.95 conceded, Swansea City 1.55 and 1.15. On the venue splits that projects 1.68 against 1.08, about 2.8 goals in the match and 58% for over 2.5.
Correct Score 2-115/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Birmingham City 1.68 against Swansea City 1.08, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Birmingham City, which is where the board has the match too.
Birmingham City to Win and Both Teams to Score11/43.75
Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Birmingham City to win is about 51% and both teams scoring about 57%. Birmingham City score 1.75 a game and concede 0.95, and Swansea City have scored in 11 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 11/4.
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