Brighton vs Brentford Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
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Brighton vs Brentford

Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 · Premier League

BrightonWLDWWW
BrentfordWDLDWD

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Brighton 16 in the Premier League and 4 in the Conference League

Goals

2.15Scored per game1.55
0.80Conceded per game1.20
Home gamesAway games
3.00Scored1.20
0.44Conceded1.50
Correct Score 2-117/2

On the venue splits this projects Brighton and Hove Albion 2.07 against Brentford 0.96, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Brighton and Hove Albion, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.73xG for1.54
1.09xG against1.49
+0.42Goals vs xG+0.01
Brighton and Hove Albion to Win17/20

Brighton and Hove Albion come in on W L D W W W, and at home they have scored 3.00 a game and conceded 0.44 across 9 matches.

Brentford average 1.55 scored and 1.20 conceded. The venue splits project 2.07 against 0.96, which puts Brighton and Hove Albion at about 57% to win, against 20% for the draw.

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Under and Over

80%Over 1.5 goals85%
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Over 3.5 goals30%
Over 2.5 Goals8/13

Brighton and Hove Albion have gone past 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Brentford in 60%, with 80% and 85% going past 1.5.

Brighton and Hove Albion average 2.15 scored and 0.80 conceded, Brentford 1.55 and 1.20. On the venue splits that projects 2.07 against 0.96, about 3.0 goals in the match and 59% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

20%Both teams scored60%
13 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Shots

17.65Shots per game12.40
5.55On target per game3.75
31.4%Accuracy30.2%

Corners

6.00Won per game4.20
2.80First half2.20
46.7%Share before the break52.4%
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Cards and Fouls

2.90Cards in the match4.05
1.50Own cards per game1.90
1.10Cards by half time1.00
12.35Fouls committed10.95

Shooting Detail

12.15Shots inside the box9.30
5.50Shots outside the box3.15
7.80Off target5.10
4.30Blocked3.55

Big Chances

3.30Big chances created2.75
2.00Big chances missed1.70
39%Taken38%
34.40Touches in the box26.95

Record

11-4-5Won, drawn, lost5-12-3
13 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Possession

61.75%Average share48.00%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Pascal GrossBrighton · M17261.510.571.150.211.364
Olivier BoscagliBrighton · D13480.60.130.931.070.83
Maxim De CuyperBrighton · F11291.20.321.431.121.753
Diego GomezBrighton · F11142.750.651.290.322.260
Yasin AyariBrighton · M11052.520.650.811.381.061
Luka VuskovicBrighton · D10451.640.341.121.121.211
Lewis DunkBrighton · D10280.610.180.440.790.791
Jack HinshelwoodBrighton · M8542.851.690.950.841.050
Charalampos KostoulasBrighton · F8284.131.31.631.30.981
Mats WiefferBrighton · M6520.830.411.11.242.351
Jan Paul van HeckeBrighton · D6300.570.140.711.291.432
Georginio RutterBrighton · F5953.631.361.820.611.820
Malick YalcouyeBrighton · M5921.980.611.521.822.430
Yankuba MintehBrighton · F5610.960.161.60.482.731
CostinhaBrighton · D4961.630.361.810.541.633
Danny WelbeckBrighton · F4422.651.631.430.410.810
Chema AndresBrighton · M4301.050.212.30.423.562
Igor ThiagoBrentford · F17932.060.72.060.751.316
Michael KayodeBrentford · D16470.550.160.931.261.374
Keane Lewis-PotterBrentford · D15561.390.290.871.330.930
Kevin SchadeBrentford · F15381.990.641.051.351.351
Mathias JensenBrentford · M12430.940.290.871.011.811
Dango OuattaraBrentford · F12162.440.890.891.411.261
Kristoffer AjerBrentford · D11690.310.150.620.461.314
Nathan CollinsBrentford · D10970.980.160.740.410.824
Mikkel DamsgaardBrentford · M10971.640.410.660.92.30
Yehor YarmoliukBrentford · M10780.420.171.090.52.252
Sepp van den BergBrentford · D10690.930.420.670.421.011
Vitaly JaneltBrentford · M9020.40.21.60.42.696
Mamadou SangareBrentford · M5571.290.161.780.974.22
Jaidon AnthonyBrentford · F4782.450.751.320.751.321
Aaron HickeyBrentford · D4060.670.221.332.02.221

Advised props

Luka Vuskovic 2+ Shots

Luka Vuskovic has had 2 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Brighton and Hove Albion, at 1.64 per 90 across 1,045 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

Brighton and Hove Albion take 17.65 shots a game and hit 5.55 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.

EvensAdd
Chema Andres 2+ Fouls Committed

Chema Andres has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 7 for Brighton and Hove Albion, at 2.3 per 90 across 430 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays.

Brentford hold 48.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 71% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

5/4Add
Pascal Gross 2+ Fouls Committed

Pascal Gross has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Brighton and Hove Albion, at 1.15 per 90 across 1,726 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.

Brentford hold 48.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

11/4Add
Michael Kayode 2+ Fouls Committed

Michael Kayode has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Brentford, at 0.93 per 90 across 1,647 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

Brighton and Hove Albion hold 61.75% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

5/2Add
Jack Hinshelwood Anytime Goalscorer

Jack Hinshelwood has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Brighton and Hove Albion, at 0.74 per 90 across 854 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays.

Brighton and Hove Albion score 2.15 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

3/1Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Brighton · Last six at homeBrighton have won five or more corners in every one of their last six at home.
6/6100%Brighton · Last six at homeBrighton are unbeaten in every one of their last six at home.
6/6100%Brentford · Last sixBrentford have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Brentford · Last sixBrentford have scored in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Brentford · Last six awayBrentford have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Brighton

31 OctManchester City (A)1-0W
25 OctLiverpool (A)0-2L
22 OctFK Jablonec (A)0-0D
18 OctCrystal Palace (H)5-0W
15 OctFK Kauno Zalgiris (H)4-0W
10 OctSunderland (A)2-0W

Brentford

31 OctNottingham Forest (H)2-0W
25 OctHull City (A)1-1D
17 OctLiverpool (H)1-2L
10 OctAston Villa (A)2-2D
18 SepChelsea (H)3-0W
12 SepBournemouth (A)2-2D
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Build Your Own Brighton vs Brentford Bet

Luka Vuskovic 2+ Shots1/12.00
Why this betLuka Vuskovic has had 2 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Brighton and Hove Albion, at 1.64 per 90 across 1,045 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Brighton and Hove Albion take 17.65 shots a game and hit 5.55 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
Chema Andres 2+ Fouls Committed5/42.25
Why this betChema Andres has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 7 for Brighton and Hove Albion, at 2.3 per 90 across 430 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays.Brentford hold 48.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 71% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
Pascal Gross 2+ Fouls Committed11/43.75
Why this betPascal Gross has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Brighton and Hove Albion, at 1.15 per 90 across 1,726 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.Brentford hold 48.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
Michael Kayode 2+ Fouls Committed5/23.50
Why this betMichael Kayode has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Brentford, at 0.93 per 90 across 1,647 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Brighton and Hove Albion hold 61.75% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.
Jack Hinshelwood Anytime Goalscorer3/14.00
Why this betJack Hinshelwood has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Brighton and Hove Albion, at 0.74 per 90 across 854 minutes, and he averages 61 minutes a game when he plays.Brighton and Hove Albion score 2.15 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
Vitaly Janelt to be Carded7/42.75
Why this betVitaly Janelt has been booked in 6 of his last 10 for Brentford, at 0.6 per 90 across 902 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Brentford pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 4.05 in their matches. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
Igor Thiago to be Carded9/43.25
Why this betIgor Thiago has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Brentford, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,793 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Brentford pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 4.05 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
Brighton and Hove Albion to Win17/201.85
Why this betBrighton and Hove Albion come in on W L D W W W, and at home they have scored 3.00 a game and conceded 0.44 across 9 matches.Brentford average 1.55 scored and 1.20 conceded. The venue splits project 2.07 against 0.96, which puts Brighton and Hove Albion at about 57% to win, against 20% for the draw.
Over 2.5 Goals8/131.62
Why this betBrighton and Hove Albion have gone past 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Brentford in 60%, with 80% and 85% going past 1.5.Brighton and Hove Albion average 2.15 scored and 0.80 conceded, Brentford 1.55 and 1.20. On the venue splits that projects 2.07 against 0.96, about 3.0 goals in the match and 59% for over 2.5.
Correct Score 2-117/29.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Brighton and Hove Albion 2.07 against Brentford 0.96, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Brighton and Hove Albion, which is where the board has the match too.
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