Manchester United vs Aston Villa Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
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Manchester United vs Aston Villa

Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 · Premier League

Manchester UnitedWLLLDL
Aston VillaLDWWWW

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Manchester United 16 in the Premier League and 4 in the Champions League, Aston Villa 13 in the Premier League and 4 in the Champions League and 3 in the Europa League

Goals

1.55Scored per game1.90
1.50Conceded per game1.35
Home gamesAway games
2.20Scored1.40
1.60Conceded1.50
Correct Score 2-19/1

On the venue splits this projects Manchester United 1.79 against Aston Villa 1.60, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.3%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Manchester United, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.71xG for1.59
1.57xG against1.45
-0.16Goals vs xG+0.31
Manchester United to Win23/20

Manchester United have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 5, and at home they have scored 2.20 a game and conceded 1.60 across 10 matches.

Aston Villa average 1.90 scored and 1.35 conceded. The venue splits project 1.79 against 1.60, which puts Manchester United at about 43% to win, against 23% for the draw.

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Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals80%
55%Over 2.5 goals75%
35%Over 3.5 goals45%
Over 2.5 Goals8/13

Manchester United have gone past 2.5 goals in 55% of their last 20 matches and Aston Villa in 75%, with 85% and 80% going past 1.5.

Manchester United average 1.55 scored and 1.50 conceded, Aston Villa 1.90 and 1.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.79 against 1.60, about 3.4 goals in the match and 65% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

55%Both teams scored55%
4 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score5 of 20
Both Teams to Score1/2

Both teams have scored in 11 of Manchester United’s last 20 matches and 11 of Aston Villa’s. Manchester United concede 1.50 a game and Aston Villa 1.35.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.79 against 1.60, which puts both teams scoring at about 61%.

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Shots

16.45Shots per game13.60
5.35On target per game5.00
32.5%Accuracy36.8%

Corners

5.65Won per game5.25
2.30First half3.05
40.7%Share before the break58.1%
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Cards and Fouls

4.20Cards in the match4.05
2.40Own cards per game1.75
1.35Cards by half time1.75
11.05Fouls committed11.00

Shooting Detail

9.80Shots inside the box9.30
6.65Shots outside the box4.30
5.75Off target4.70
5.35Blocked3.90

Big Chances

2.70Big chances created2.80
1.55Big chances missed1.75
43%Taken38%
28.40Touches in the box22.75

Record

8-5-7Won, drawn, lost10-4-6
4 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score5 of 20

Possession

50.60%Average share46.85%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Bruno FernandesManchester United · M16742.580.70.70.71.135
Bryan MbeumoManchester United · F15732.570.920.80.860.82
Harry MaguireManchester United · D14481.060.250.810.681.495
Diogo DalotManchester United · D12991.110.140.970.352.632
Matheus CunhaManchester United · F12843.221.331.961.751.684
Kobbie MainooManchester United · M11730.920.150.920.921.993
Amad DialloManchester United · F8732.371.130.931.131.650
Leny YoroManchester United · D7360.610.120.860.492.080
Noussair MazraouiManchester United · D6920.780.00.910.782.210
Ayden HeavenManchester United · D6050.30.01.191.342.232
Mason MountManchester United · M5051.250.181.432.144.282
Andrey SantosManchester United · M4970.360.181.632.353.083
CasemiroManchester United · M4411.840.821.021.843.881
Marcus RashfordManchester United · F4222.990.851.071.710.851
Victor LindelofAston Villa · D15920.060.060.40.170.40
John McGinnAston Villa · F15191.540.771.32.071.665
Emiliano BuendiaAston Villa · F12572.861.01.52.293.014
Pau TorresAston Villa · D11160.730.160.320.480.650
Boubacar KamaraAston Villa · M10240.260.092.022.292.90
Ian MaatsenAston Villa · D9781.10.091.010.832.213
Nicolas JacksonAston Villa · F9473.231.620.571.050.293
Ross BarkleyAston Villa · M8831.940.711.631.121.431
Tyrone MingsAston Villa · D8040.560.00.780.780.562
Joao GomesAston Villa · M6330.280.01.711.563.553
Ollie WatkinsAston Villa · F5703.161.891.110.470.471
Youri TielemansAston Villa · M5541.620.811.141.792.111
Morgan RogersAston Villa · M5392.340.831.841.51.341
Johan ManzambiAston Villa · M5243.611.20.02.231.891
Ezri KonsaAston Villa · D4500.40.00.21.80.60
George HemmingsAston Villa · M4041.110.451.780.891.560

Advised props

Bruno Fernandes 3+ Shots

Bruno Fernandes has had 3 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 2.58 per 90 across 1,674 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

Manchester United take 16.45 shots a game and hit 5.35 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

5/6Add
Matheus Cunha 2+ Fouls Committed

Matheus Cunha has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 1.96 per 90 across 1,284 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.

Aston Villa hold 46.85% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.

10/11Add
Nicolas Jackson Anytime Goalscorer

Nicolas Jackson has scored in 6 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 0.76 per 90 across 947 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

Aston Villa score 1.90 a game. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.

7/4Add
Harry Maguire to be Carded

Harry Maguire has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.31 per 90 across 1,448 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.

Manchester United pick up 2.4 cards a game and there are 4.2 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.

21/10Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Manchester United · Last sixManchester United have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
0/60%Manchester United · Last sixManchester United have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six.
17/2085%Manchester United · Last 20Manchester United have gone past one and a half goals in 17 of their last twenty.
5/683%Aston Villa · Last sixAston Villa have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six.
5/683%Aston Villa · Last sixAston Villa have scored in five of their last six.
5/683%Aston Villa · Last sixAston Villa are unbeaten in five of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Manchester United

03 NovRoma (H)3-2W
31 OctChelsea (A)0-2L
25 OctBournemouth (H)0-3L
21 OctComo (A)1-4L
18 OctLeeds United (A)1-1D
13 OctAtletico Madrid (A)0-2L

Aston Villa

03 NovBarcelona (A)0-3L
31 OctFulham (H)1-1D
24 OctManchester City (H)2-1W
21 OctViking FK (H)3-1W
17 OctNewcastle United (A)1-0W
14 OctFenerbahce (H)6-0W
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Build Your Own Manchester United vs Aston Villa Bet

Bruno Fernandes 3+ Shots5/61.83
Why this betBruno Fernandes has had 3 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 2.58 per 90 across 1,674 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester United take 16.45 shots a game and hit 5.35 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Matheus Cunha 2+ Fouls Committed10/111.91
Why this betMatheus Cunha has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 1.96 per 90 across 1,284 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa hold 46.85% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.
Nicolas Jackson Anytime Goalscorer7/42.75
Why this betNicolas Jackson has scored in 6 of his last 10 for Aston Villa, at 0.76 per 90 across 947 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Aston Villa score 1.90 a game. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
Harry Maguire to be Carded21/103.10
Why this betHarry Maguire has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Manchester United, at 0.31 per 90 across 1,448 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester United pick up 2.4 cards a game and there are 4.2 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.
Manchester United to Win23/202.15
Why this betManchester United have won 8 of their last 20, drawing 5, and at home they have scored 2.20 a game and conceded 1.60 across 10 matches.Aston Villa average 1.90 scored and 1.35 conceded. The venue splits project 1.79 against 1.60, which puts Manchester United at about 43% to win, against 23% for the draw.
Both Teams to Score1/21.50
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 11 of Manchester United’s last 20 matches and 11 of Aston Villa’s. Manchester United concede 1.50 a game and Aston Villa 1.35.On the venue splits the projection is 1.79 against 1.60, which puts both teams scoring at about 61%.
Over 2.5 Goals8/131.62
Why this betManchester United have gone past 2.5 goals in 55% of their last 20 matches and Aston Villa in 75%, with 85% and 80% going past 1.5.Manchester United average 1.55 scored and 1.50 conceded, Aston Villa 1.90 and 1.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.79 against 1.60, about 3.4 goals in the match and 65% for over 2.5.
Correct Score 2-19/110.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Manchester United 1.79 against Aston Villa 1.60, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.3%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Manchester United, which is where the board has the match too.
Manchester United to Win and Both Teams to Score13/53.60
Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Manchester United to win is about 43% and both teams scoring about 61%. Manchester United score 1.55 a game and concede 1.50, and Aston Villa have scored in 11 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 13/5.
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