Sunderland vs Chelsea Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
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Sunderland vs Chelsea

Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 · Premier League

SunderlandLDDLWL
ChelseaWLWWLD

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Sunderland 17 in the Premier League and 3 in the Europa League, Chelsea 18 in the Premier League and 2 in the Champions League

Goals

1.15Scored per game1.30
1.60Conceded per game2.05
Home gamesAway games
0.56Scored1.11
1.11Conceded2.33
Correct Score 1-217/2

On the venue splits this projects Sunderland 1.62 against Chelsea 1.27, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.9%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Chelsea, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.58xG for1.28
1.50xG against1.37
-0.43Goals vs xG+0.02

Under and Over

75%Over 1.5 goals90%
45%Over 2.5 goals70%
25%Over 3.5 goals30%
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Both Teams to Score

55%Both teams scored50%
5 of 20Clean sheets2 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score8 of 20
Both Teams to Score7/10

Both teams have scored in 11 of Sunderland’s last 20 matches and 10 of Chelsea’s. Sunderland concede 1.60 a game and Chelsea 2.05.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.62 against 1.27, which puts both teams scoring at about 55%.

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Shots

14.35Shots per game13.50
4.50On target per game4.70
31.4%Accuracy34.8%

Corners

4.85Won per game5.75
2.60First half2.85
53.6%Share before the break49.6%
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Cards and Fouls

4.30Cards in the match4.60
2.35Own cards per game2.15
1.35Cards by half time1.20
12.45Fouls committed9.90

Shooting Detail

9.60Shots inside the box8.20
4.75Shots outside the box5.30
5.65Off target4.25
4.20Blocked4.55

Big Chances

2.50Big chances created2.10
1.70Big chances missed1.35
32%Taken36%
25.85Touches in the box25.90

Record

7-5-8Won, drawn, lost6-2-12
5 of 20Clean sheets2 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score8 of 20

Possession

50.05%Average share50.50%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Granit XhakaSunderland · M17150.940.160.731.471.575
Noah SadikiSunderland · M16530.930.330.931.421.424
Enzo Le FeeSunderland · M15722.00.740.741.952.01
Nordi MukieleSunderland · D13981.740.321.480.772.124
Reinildo MandavaSunderland · D13740.070.01.111.241.643
Trai HumeSunderland · D12491.220.221.440.942.024
Brian BrobbeySunderland · F12312.191.11.91.830.224
Luke O’NienSunderland · D8851.220.10.710.921.021
Nilson AnguloSunderland · F8201.760.881.541.321.652
Chris RiggSunderland · F6551.920.550.821.12.22
Kevin DansoSunderland · D5511.140.331.310.650.651
Habib DiarraSunderland · M5232.580.691.382.070.692
Thomas MeunierSunderland · D4711.530.760.760.190.960
Wilson IsidorSunderland · F4073.11.112.212.431.110
Cole PalmerChelsea · M16513.00.980.711.851.144
Pedro NetoChelsea · F13571.660.931.060.661.262
Moises CaicedoChelsea · M12880.70.01.752.172.313
Wesley FofanaChelsea · D11160.480.161.211.211.055
Malo GustoChelsea · D9960.450.180.540.91.631
Marc CucurellaChelsea · D9710.460.191.31.111.33
Levi ColwillChelsea · D9270.10.00.870.491.071
Enzo FernandezChelsea · M8932.020.811.011.111.112
Morgan RogersChelsea · F7932.380.791.131.71.593
Josh AcheampongChelsea · D7390.370.120.490.852.921
Romeo LaviaChelsea · M6660.680.271.221.892.571
Trevoh ChalobahChelsea · D4960.730.00.00.180.180
Liam DelapChelsea · F4242.760.852.121.270.642

Advised props

Kevin Danso 1+ Shots

Kevin Danso has had a shot in 5 of his last 7 for Sunderland, at 1.14 per 90 across 551 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

Sunderland take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.5 on target. That is about 71% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.

EvensAdd
Luke O’Nien 1+ Shots

Luke O’Nien has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Sunderland, at 1.22 per 90 across 885 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

Sunderland take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.5 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.

10/11Add
Pedro Neto 1+ Shots on Target

Pedro Neto has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for Chelsea, at 0.93 per 90 across 1,357 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

Chelsea take 13.5 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

5/6Add
Morgan Rogers 1+ Shots on Target

Morgan Rogers has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 9 for Chelsea, at 0.79 per 90 across 793 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.

Chelsea take 13.5 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

8/11Add
Enzo Le Fee 1+ Shots on Target

Enzo Le Fee has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Sunderland, at 0.74 per 90 across 1,572 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

Sunderland take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.5 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.

6/4Add

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Sunderland · Last six at homeSunderland have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six at home.
5/683%Sunderland · Last sixSunderland have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six.
1/617%Sunderland · Last sixSunderland have gone past three and a half goals in one of their last six.
6/6100%Chelsea · Last sixChelsea have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Chelsea · Last six awayChelsea have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six on the road.
18/2090%Chelsea · Last 20Chelsea have gone past one and a half goals in 18 of their last twenty.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Sunderland

31 OctCoventry City (A)1-3L
25 OctLeeds United (H)0-0D
22 OctLech Poznan (A)1-1D
18 OctBournemouth (A)0-2L
15 OctTorreense (A)2-1W
10 OctBrighton and Hove Albion (H)0-2L

Chelsea

31 OctManchester United (H)2-0W
24 OctTottenham Hotspur (H)0-2L
17 OctEverton (A)2-0W
10 OctBournemouth (H)5-1W
18 SepBrentford (A)0-3L
12 SepHull City (H)2-2D
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Build Your Own Sunderland vs Chelsea Bet

Kevin Danso 1+ Shots1/12.00
Why this betKevin Danso has had a shot in 5 of his last 7 for Sunderland, at 1.14 per 90 across 551 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Sunderland take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.5 on target. That is about 71% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
Luke O’Nien 1+ Shots10/111.91
Why this betLuke O’Nien has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Sunderland, at 1.22 per 90 across 885 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Sunderland take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.5 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.
Pedro Neto 1+ Shots on Target5/61.83
Why this betPedro Neto has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for Chelsea, at 0.93 per 90 across 1,357 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Chelsea take 13.5 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Morgan Rogers 1+ Shots on Target8/111.73
Why this betMorgan Rogers has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 9 for Chelsea, at 0.79 per 90 across 793 minutes, and he averages 88 minutes a game when he plays.Chelsea take 13.5 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Enzo Le Fee 1+ Shots on Target6/42.50
Why this betEnzo Le Fee has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Sunderland, at 0.74 per 90 across 1,572 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Sunderland take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.5 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 40% implied by 6/4.
Cole Palmer to be Carded7/24.50
Why this betCole Palmer has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Chelsea, at 0.22 per 90 across 1,651 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Chelsea pick up 2.15 cards a game and there are 4.6 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 22% implied by 7/2.
Both Teams to Score7/101.70
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 11 of Sunderland’s last 20 matches and 10 of Chelsea’s. Sunderland concede 1.60 a game and Chelsea 2.05.On the venue splits the projection is 1.62 against 1.27, which puts both teams scoring at about 55%.
Correct Score 1-217/29.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Sunderland 1.62 against Chelsea 1.27, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Chelsea, which is where the board has the match too.
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