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Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Cardiff City 14 in the Championship and 6 in the League One, Burnley 14 in the Championship and 6 in the Premier League
Goals
On the venue splits this projects Cardiff City 2.39 against Burnley 1.14, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.7%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Cardiff City, which is where the board has the match too.
Expected Goals
Cardiff City have won 7 of their last 20, drawing 7, and at home they have scored 2.40 a game and conceded 1.00 across 10 matches.
Burnley average 1.15 scored and 1.90 conceded. The venue splits project 2.39 against 1.14, which puts Cardiff City at about 55% to win, against 18% for the draw.
Under and Over
Cardiff City have gone past 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Burnley in 60%, with 85% and 85% going past 1.5.
Cardiff City average 1.90 scored and 1.55 conceded, Burnley 1.15 and 1.90. On the venue splits that projects 2.39 against 1.14, about 3.5 goals in the match and 64% for over 2.5.
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Both Teams to Score
Both teams have scored in 14 of Cardiff City’s last 20 matches and 16 of Burnley’s. Cardiff City concede 1.55 a game and Burnley 1.90.
On the venue splits the projection is 2.39 against 1.14, which puts both teams scoring at about 68%.
Shots
Corners
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Cards and Fouls
Shooting Detail
Big Chances
Record
Possession
Player Props
Per 90| Player | Mins | Shots | On target | Fouls | Fouled | Tackles | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel BaganCardiff City · D | 1684 | 0.43 | 0.11 | 0.91 | 0.48 | 2.35 | 5 |
| Alex RobertsonCardiff City · M | 1564 | 1.27 | 0.46 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.32 | 6 |
| Ollie TannerCardiff City · M | 1548 | 2.97 | 0.87 | 0.99 | 0.35 | 1.63 | 3 |
| Perry NgCardiff City · D | 1422 | 1.33 | 0.25 | 1.27 | 1.96 | 2.03 | 4 |
| Yousef SalechCardiff City · F | 1232 | 3.07 | 1.46 | 1.31 | 0.44 | 0.37 | 1 |
| Jack MoylanCardiff City · M | 1194 | 3.84 | 1.43 | 0.9 | 2.11 | 1.28 | 2 |
| Chris WillockCardiff City · M | 1109 | 1.54 | 0.57 | 0.65 | 1.06 | 0.97 | 0 |
| Gabriel OshoCardiff City · D | 1067 | 0.34 | 0.0 | 0.51 | 0.67 | 1.18 | 1 |
| Joel ColwillCardiff City · M | 988 | 2.19 | 0.55 | 1.91 | 3.73 | 1.55 | 3 |
| Rubin ColwillCardiff City · M | 836 | 1.94 | 0.86 | 1.4 | 1.08 | 0.97 | 2 |
| William FishCardiff City · D | 736 | 0.37 | 0.12 | 0.86 | 0.24 | 0.73 | 1 |
| Cian AshfordCardiff City · F | 723 | 1.74 | 1.12 | 0.25 | 1.12 | 1.24 | 1 |
| David TurnbullCardiff City · M | 582 | 1.86 | 0.46 | 1.55 | 0.62 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Calum ScanlonCardiff City · D | 582 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.93 | 1.39 | 1.39 | 0 |
| Ronan KpakioCardiff City · D | 514 | 0.88 | 0.18 | 1.23 | 0.53 | 2.45 | 0 |
| Kyle WalkerBurnley · D | 1575 | 0.17 | 0.06 | 0.63 | 0.46 | 1.89 | 3 |
| Josh LaurentBurnley · M | 1254 | 1.15 | 0.29 | 1.65 | 0.86 | 1.87 | 4 |
| Lucas PiresBurnley · D | 1007 | 1.07 | 0.36 | 0.98 | 0.54 | 2.95 | 3 |
| Max AlleyneBurnley · M | 998 | 0.27 | 0.09 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 1.08 | 1 |
| Largie RamazaniBurnley · F | 819 | 2.97 | 0.66 | 1.65 | 0.99 | 1.54 | 0 |
| Hjalmar EkdalBurnley · D | 795 | 0.11 | 0.0 | 0.45 | 1.36 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Igor JulioBurnley · D | 788 | 0.34 | 0.11 | 0.91 | 0.34 | 1.26 | 2 |
| Zian FlemmingBurnley · F | 664 | 2.98 | 0.95 | 2.44 | 1.49 | 0.95 | 4 |
| Jacob Bruun LarsenBurnley · F | 656 | 1.92 | 0.69 | 0.14 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0 |
| Reo HatateBurnley · M | 620 | 1.02 | 0.15 | 1.6 | 1.45 | 2.18 | 2 |
| Marcus EdwardsBurnley · M | 576 | 1.88 | 0.62 | 0.47 | 1.41 | 1.25 | 1 |
| Zeki AmdouniBurnley · F | 566 | 3.98 | 1.43 | 1.75 | 0.95 | 0.64 | 0 |
| Connor RobertsBurnley · D | 540 | 0.17 | 0.0 | 0.83 | 1.0 | 1.17 | 0 |
| Oliver SonneBurnley · D | 530 | 0.68 | 0.17 | 1.19 | 0.51 | 1.19 | 2 |
| Jaidon AnthonyBurnley · F | 522 | 1.38 | 0.69 | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.03 | 0 |
| Aaron RamseyBurnley · M | 508 | 3.37 | 0.53 | 1.06 | 0.71 | 1.59 | 1 |
| Anel AhmedhodzicBurnley · D | 494 | 0.55 | 0.0 | 0.73 | 0.55 | 1.46 | 1 |
| Ugo RaghouberBurnley · M | 486 | 1.48 | 0.37 | 0.93 | 1.3 | 1.48 | 2 |
| Maxime EsteveBurnley · D | 442 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.41 | 0.0 | 2.04 | 0 |
| Loum TchaounaBurnley · F | 425 | 1.48 | 0.42 | 1.91 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 1 |
| Bashir HumphreysBurnley · D | 410 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.66 | 1 |
Advised props
Anel Ahmedhodzic has had a shot in 3 of his last 6 for Burnley, at 0.55 per 90 across 494 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.
Burnley take 12.2 shots a game and hit 3.75 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
Yousef Salech has had 2 or more shots on target in 5 of his last 10 for Cardiff City, at 1.46 per 90 across 1,232 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.
Cardiff City take 16.9 shots a game and hit 6.15 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
Alex Robertson has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Cardiff City, at 0.46 per 90 across 1,564 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.
Cardiff City take 16.9 shots a game and hit 6.15 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.
Josh Laurent has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Burnley, at 1.65 per 90 across 1,254 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.
Cardiff City hold 61.35% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Perry Ng has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Cardiff City, at 0.25 per 90 across 1,422 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.
Cardiff City pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.8 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 22% implied by 7/2.
Trends
Window shown per lineLast Six Matches
Most recent firstCardiff City
Burnley

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Build Your Own Cardiff City vs Burnley Bet
Why this bet
Anel Ahmedhodzic has had a shot in 3 of his last 6 for Burnley, at 0.55 per 90 across 494 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Burnley take 12.2 shots a game and hit 3.75 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.Why this bet
Yousef Salech has had 2 or more shots on target in 5 of his last 10 for Cardiff City, at 1.46 per 90 across 1,232 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.Cardiff City take 16.9 shots a game and hit 6.15 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.Why this bet
Alex Robertson has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Cardiff City, at 0.46 per 90 across 1,564 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.Cardiff City take 16.9 shots a game and hit 6.15 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.Why this bet
Josh Laurent has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Burnley, at 1.65 per 90 across 1,254 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.Cardiff City hold 61.35% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
Perry Ng has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Cardiff City, at 0.25 per 90 across 1,422 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Cardiff City pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.8 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 22% implied by 7/2.Why this bet
Joel Bagan has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Cardiff City, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,684 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Cardiff City pick up 1.8 cards a game and there are 3.8 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.Why this bet
Josh Laurent has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Burnley, at 0.29 per 90 across 1,254 minutes, and he averages 70 minutes a game when he plays.Burnley pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.4 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.Why this bet
Cardiff City have won 7 of their last 20, drawing 7, and at home they have scored 2.40 a game and conceded 1.00 across 10 matches.Burnley average 1.15 scored and 1.90 conceded. The venue splits project 2.39 against 1.14, which puts Cardiff City at about 55% to win, against 18% for the draw.Why this bet
Both teams have scored in 14 of Cardiff City’s last 20 matches and 16 of Burnley’s. Cardiff City concede 1.55 a game and Burnley 1.90.On the venue splits the projection is 2.39 against 1.14, which puts both teams scoring at about 68%.Why this bet
Cardiff City have gone past 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Burnley in 60%, with 85% and 85% going past 1.5.Cardiff City average 1.90 scored and 1.55 conceded, Burnley 1.15 and 1.90. On the venue splits that projects 2.39 against 1.14, about 3.5 goals in the match and 64% for over 2.5.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Cardiff City 2.39 against Burnley 1.14, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.7%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Cardiff City, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Cardiff City to win is about 55% and both teams scoring about 68%. Cardiff City score 1.90 a game and concede 1.55, and Burnley have scored in 16 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 12/5.Prices change, so check the slip before you stake. bet365 does not allow every combination of legs within one game.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
