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Stats cover Last 20 matches, all in one competition
Goals
On the venue splits this projects Watford 1.13 against Middlesbrough 1.80, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.
Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Middlesbrough, which is where the board has the match too.
Expected Goals
Middlesbrough come in on L W W D W W, and on the road they have scored 1.60 a game and conceded 1.40 across 10 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 7.
Watford average 0.75 scored and 2.00 conceded. The venue splits project 1.13 against 1.80, which puts Middlesbrough at about 57% to win, against 23% for the draw.
Under and Over
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Both Teams to Score
Both teams have scored in 9 of Watford’s last 20 matches and 13 of Middlesbrough’s. Watford concede 2.00 a game and Middlesbrough 1.20.
On the venue splits the projection is 1.13 against 1.80, which puts both teams scoring at about 56%.
Shots
Corners
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Cards and Fouls
Shooting Detail
Big Chances
Record
Possession
Player Props
Per 90| Player | Mins | Shots | On target | Fouls | Fouled | Tackles | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew PollockWatford · D | 1800 | 0.35 | 0.15 | 1.05 | 0.45 | 1.15 | 5 |
| Kevin Keben BiakoloWatford · D | 1469 | 0.18 | 0.0 | 0.98 | 0.43 | 1.35 | 3 |
| Edo KayembeWatford · M | 1424 | 1.83 | 0.25 | 1.14 | 0.76 | 1.64 | 4 |
| Hector KyprianouWatford · M | 1260 | 1.0 | 0.29 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.79 | 5 |
| Iker BravoWatford · M | 1018 | 1.86 | 0.62 | 0.97 | 2.03 | 1.06 | 4 |
| Othmane MaammaWatford · F | 981 | 1.65 | 0.37 | 1.19 | 1.1 | 1.93 | 2 |
| Mamadou DoumbiaWatford · F | 901 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Luca KjerrumgaardWatford · F | 807 | 1.78 | 0.78 | 1.0 | 0.56 | 0.33 | 0 |
| Jordan ZemuraWatford · D | 681 | 1.19 | 0.26 | 1.59 | 1.19 | 2.11 | 3 |
| Omar Haktab TraoreWatford · D | 620 | 0.58 | 0.15 | 1.02 | 0.29 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Amin NabizadaWatford · F | 557 | 2.59 | 1.13 | 1.45 | 1.29 | 1.94 | 4 |
| Imran LouzaWatford · M | 487 | 2.03 | 0.18 | 1.29 | 1.85 | 1.11 | 4 |
| Martin PayeroWatford · M | 459 | 2.55 | 0.59 | 1.96 | 1.76 | 1.76 | 3 |
| Edoardo BoveWatford · M | 452 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.39 | 1.79 | 2.99 | 1 |
| Nampalys MendyWatford · M | 446 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.61 | 0.81 | 2.62 | 1 |
| Marc BolaWatford · D | 443 | 1.42 | 0.2 | 0.61 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 0 |
| James AbankwahWatford · D | 431 | 0.63 | 0.21 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 2 |
| Nestory IrankundaWatford · F | 423 | 4.47 | 2.13 | 2.77 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 |
| Callum BrittainMiddlesbrough · D | 1830 | 1.08 | 0.3 | 0.93 | 0.2 | 1.97 | 2 |
| Aidan MorrisMiddlesbrough · M | 1740 | 1.76 | 0.41 | 0.88 | 1.86 | 3.05 | 1 |
| Adilson MalandaMiddlesbrough · D | 1714 | 0.79 | 0.26 | 0.58 | 0.37 | 1.16 | 3 |
| Luke AylingMiddlesbrough · D | 1340 | 0.94 | 0.2 | 0.34 | 1.54 | 2.01 | 1 |
| Riley McGreeMiddlesbrough · M | 1098 | 1.8 | 0.33 | 1.15 | 0.82 | 1.39 | 4 |
| Will LankshearMiddlesbrough · F | 1048 | 4.12 | 2.15 | 1.55 | 1.03 | 0.09 | 2 |
| Neto BorgesMiddlesbrough · D | 985 | 1.19 | 0.09 | 0.82 | 1.01 | 1.46 | 1 |
| Tommy ConwayMiddlesbrough · F | 976 | 2.58 | 0.83 | 0.55 | 1.84 | 0.74 | 0 |
| Sebastian BerhalterMiddlesbrough · M | 963 | 2.15 | 0.65 | 1.21 | 0.93 | 1.96 | 2 |
| Ashley PhillipsMiddlesbrough · D | 849 | 0.64 | 0.11 | 0.74 | 0.42 | 1.27 | 2 |
| Morgan WhittakerMiddlesbrough · F | 731 | 3.57 | 0.86 | 0.74 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1 |
| Amario Cozier-DuberryMiddlesbrough · F | 718 | 4.39 | 1.5 | 0.88 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 0 |
| Matt TargettMiddlesbrough · D | 515 | 0.52 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.35 | 0.87 | 0 |
| David StrelecMiddlesbrough · F | 513 | 2.11 | 0.7 | 1.23 | 0.53 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Dael FryMiddlesbrough · D | 506 | 0.89 | 0.18 | 0.53 | 0.18 | 0.71 | 0 |
| Kyle JosephMiddlesbrough · F | 492 | 2.56 | 1.1 | 1.28 | 2.01 | 1.28 | 0 |
| Max ArfstenMiddlesbrough · D | 473 | 1.33 | 0.19 | 1.52 | 0.38 | 2.66 | 0 |
| Jeremy SarmientoMiddlesbrough · F | 457 | 2.17 | 0.98 | 1.18 | 0.79 | 1.97 | 0 |
Advised props
Ashley Phillips has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.64 per 90 across 849 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.
Middlesbrough take 18.55 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Adilson Malanda has had 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.79 per 90 across 1,714 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.
Middlesbrough take 18.55 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
Aidan Morris has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,740 minutes, and he averages 92 minutes a game when he plays.
Middlesbrough take 18.55 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
Hector Kyprianou has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Watford, at 1.14 per 90 across 1,260 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.
Middlesbrough hold 59.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Will Lankshear has scored in 7 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 1.12 per 90 across 1,048 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.
Middlesbrough score 1.95 a game. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Trends
Window shown per lineLast Six Matches
Most recent firstWatford
Middlesbrough

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Build Your Own Watford vs Middlesbrough Bet
Why this bet
Ashley Phillips has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.64 per 90 across 849 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough take 18.55 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.Why this bet
Adilson Malanda has had 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.79 per 90 across 1,714 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough take 18.55 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.Why this bet
Aidan Morris has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,740 minutes, and he averages 92 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough take 18.55 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.Why this bet
Hector Kyprianou has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Watford, at 1.14 per 90 across 1,260 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough hold 59.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.Why this bet
Will Lankshear has scored in 7 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 1.12 per 90 across 1,048 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough score 1.95 a game. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.Why this bet
Edo Kayembe has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Watford, at 0.25 per 90 across 1,424 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Watford pick up 2.6 cards a game and there are 4.75 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 22% implied by 7/2.Why this bet
Iker Bravo has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Watford, at 0.35 per 90 across 1,018 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.Watford pick up 2.6 cards a game and there are 4.75 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.Why this bet
Middlesbrough come in on L W W D W W, and on the road they have scored 1.60 a game and conceded 1.40 across 10 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 7.Watford average 0.75 scored and 2.00 conceded. The venue splits project 1.13 against 1.80, which puts Middlesbrough at about 57% to win, against 23% for the draw.Why this bet
Both teams have scored in 9 of Watford’s last 20 matches and 13 of Middlesbrough’s. Watford concede 2.00 a game and Middlesbrough 1.20.On the venue splits the projection is 1.13 against 1.80, which puts both teams scoring at about 56%.Why this bet
On the venue splits this projects Watford 1.13 against Middlesbrough 1.80, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Middlesbrough, which is where the board has the match too.Why this bet
Two things have to land, and the numbers support both: Middlesbrough to win is about 57% and both teams scoring about 56%. Middlesbrough score 1.95 a game and concede 1.20, and Watford have scored in 9 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 7/4.Prices change, so check the slip before you stake. bet365 does not allow every combination of legs within one game.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.
