Portsmouth vs Stoke City Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
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Portsmouth vs Stoke City

Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 · Championship

PortsmouthWDWDWW
Stoke CityWWDWLW

Stats cover Last 20 matches, all in one competition

Goals

1.40Scored per game1.25
1.15Conceded per game1.50
Home gamesAway games
1.70Scored1.00
1.20Conceded1.70
Correct Score 2-117/2

On the venue splits this projects Portsmouth 1.64 against Stoke City 1.06, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.6%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Portsmouth, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.14xG for1.04
1.36xG against1.57
+0.26Goals vs xG+0.21
Portsmouth to Win13/10

Portsmouth come in on W D W D W W, and at home they have scored 1.70 a game and conceded 1.20 across 10 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 5.

Stoke City average 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded. The venue splits project 1.64 against 1.06, which puts Portsmouth at about 46% to win, against 25% for the draw.

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Under and Over

70%Over 1.5 goals85%
45%Over 2.5 goals55%
35%Over 3.5 goals30%
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Both Teams to Score

55%Both teams scored60%
7 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
4 of 20Failed to score4 of 20
Both Teams to Score5/6

Both teams have scored in 11 of Portsmouth’s last 20 matches and 12 of Stoke City’s. Portsmouth concede 1.15 a game and Stoke City 1.50.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.64 against 1.06, which puts both teams scoring at about 55%.

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Shots

12.20Shots per game11.50
3.30On target per game3.15
27.0%Accuracy27.4%

Corners

4.65Won per game5.70
2.20First half2.90
47.3%Share before the break50.9%
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Cards and Fouls

3.75Cards in the match4.05
1.75Own cards per game2.00
1.00Cards by half time1.50
11.60Fouls committed12.40

Shooting Detail

7.45Shots inside the box7.25
4.75Shots outside the box4.25
4.95Off target5.20
3.95Blocked3.15

Big Chances

1.60Big chances created1.65
1.00Big chances missed1.30
38%Taken21%
20.20Touches in the box18.65

Record

10-5-5Won, drawn, lost8-3-9
7 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
4 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Possession

48.05%Average share47.60%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Adrian SegecicPortsmouth · F15533.010.641.161.620.872
Marlon PackPortsmouth · M12310.440.071.320.510.954
Regan PoolePortsmouth · D11430.470.080.551.020.791
Abu KamaraPortsmouth · F11111.540.321.221.940.650
Terry DevlinPortsmouth · D10681.10.341.011.432.443
Madiodio DiaPortsmouth · D10510.770.00.860.61.711
Zak SwansonPortsmouth · D8930.50.20.810.61.812
Conor ShaughnessyPortsmouth · D7710.70.230.230.581.280
Ebou AdamsPortsmouth · M7511.20.362.282.165.034
Jayden MeghomaPortsmouth · D7340.860.250.250.742.213
Ryan Kavuma-McQueenPortsmouth · F7093.941.021.651.142.032
Marko MilovanovicPortsmouth · F6042.090.892.091.190.753
Tyrese ShadePortsmouth · F5441.490.50.330.50.50
Andre DozzellPortsmouth · M5400.330.01.00.51.50
Jordan Lee WilliamsPortsmouth · D5260.170.01.030.342.051
Iyad MohamedPortsmouth · M4670.580.01.930.192.891
Benjamin ArthurPortsmouth · D4470.40.00.00.811.210
Rocco Robert SheinPortsmouth · M4430.810.22.230.412.231
Ben WilmotStoke City · D12150.740.221.110.441.191
Ethan GalbraithStoke City · M11701.230.541.381.081.315
Ben JohnsonStoke City · D11700.770.381.00.851.690
Luke GrahamStoke City · D10800.420.081.171.51.833
Djibril SoumareStoke City · M10420.60.091.731.642.163
Bosun LawalStoke City · D8250.550.01.20.651.422
Sorba ThomasStoke City · F8101.220.110.331.220.671
Jack McGlynnStoke City · M7061.910.890.890.761.41
Justin DevennyStoke City · F7001.540.641.291.161.291
Million ManhoefStoke City · F6281.860.721.00.721.151
Robert BozenikStoke City · F6192.910.583.931.450.871
Jun-Ho BaeStoke City · M5730.790.00.791.571.11
George HirstStoke City · F5452.150.51.980.50.331
Maksym TalovierovStoke City · D4720.570.191.330.190.952
Ashley PhillipsStoke City · D4470.20.01.410.01.011
Luca BombinoStoke City · D4400.820.21.232.456.141

Advised props

Ben Wilmot 1+ Shots

Ben Wilmot has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Stoke City, at 0.74 per 90 across 1,215 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

Stoke City take 11.5 shots a game and hit 3.15 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.

7/4Add
Luke Graham 1+ Shots

Luke Graham has had a shot in 4 of his last 10 for Stoke City, at 0.42 per 90 across 1,080 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Stoke City take 11.5 shots a game and hit 3.15 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.

9/4Add
Jack McGlynn 1+ Shots on Target

Jack McGlynn has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Stoke City, at 0.89 per 90 across 706 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.

Stoke City take 11.5 shots a game and hit 3.15 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.

EvensAdd
Ben Johnson 1+ Shots on Target

Ben Johnson has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Stoke City, at 0.38 per 90 across 1,170 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Stoke City take 11.5 shots a game and hit 3.15 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

5/2Add
Ethan Galbraith 1+ Shots on Target

Ethan Galbraith has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Stoke City, at 0.54 per 90 across 1,170 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Stoke City take 11.5 shots a game and hit 3.15 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

5/2Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Portsmouth · Last sixPortsmouth are unbeaten in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Portsmouth · Last six at homePortsmouth have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six at home.
6/6100%Portsmouth · Last six at homePortsmouth have won five or more corners in every one of their last six at home.
6/6100%Stoke City · Last six awayStoke City have scored in every one of their last six on the road.
17/2085%Stoke City · Last 20Stoke City have gone past one and a half goals in 17 of their last twenty.
1/617%Stoke City · Last sixStoke City have gone past three and a half goals in one of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Portsmouth

03 NovSwansea City (H)3-1W
31 OctBurnley (A)0-0D
24 OctMillwall (H)2-1W
20 OctWolverhampton (A)1-1D
17 OctNorwich City (A)1-0W
14 OctSheffield United (H)3-2W

Stoke City

03 NovBlackburn Rovers (A)2-1W
31 OctPreston North End (H)2-0W
24 OctBristol City (H)0-0D
17 OctDerby County (A)1-0W
13 OctMiddlesbrough (H)2-3L
10 OctBolton Wanderers (A)2-1W
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Build Your Own Portsmouth vs Stoke City Bet

Ben Wilmot 1+ Shots7/42.75
Why this betBen Wilmot has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Stoke City, at 0.74 per 90 across 1,215 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Stoke City take 11.5 shots a game and hit 3.15 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
Luke Graham 1+ Shots9/43.25
Why this betLuke Graham has had a shot in 4 of his last 10 for Stoke City, at 0.42 per 90 across 1,080 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Stoke City take 11.5 shots a game and hit 3.15 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
Jack McGlynn 1+ Shots on Target1/12.00
Why this betJack McGlynn has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Stoke City, at 0.89 per 90 across 706 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.Stoke City take 11.5 shots a game and hit 3.15 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
Ben Johnson 1+ Shots on Target5/23.50
Why this betBen Johnson has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Stoke City, at 0.38 per 90 across 1,170 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Stoke City take 11.5 shots a game and hit 3.15 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.
Ethan Galbraith 1+ Shots on Target5/23.50
Why this betEthan Galbraith has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Stoke City, at 0.54 per 90 across 1,170 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Stoke City take 11.5 shots a game and hit 3.15 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.
Abu Kamara 1+ Fouls Committed
Why this betAbu Kamara has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Portsmouth, at 1.22 per 90 across 1,111 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Stoke City hold 47.6% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Jack McGlynn Anytime Goalscorer3/14.00
Why this betJack McGlynn has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Stoke City, at 0.51 per 90 across 706 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.Stoke City score 1.25 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
Jayden Meghoma to be Carded9/25.50
Why this betJayden Meghoma has been booked in 3 of his last 9 for Portsmouth, at 0.37 per 90 across 734 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Portsmouth pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.75 in their matches. That is about 33% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.
Portsmouth to Win13/102.30
Why this betPortsmouth come in on W D W D W W, and at home they have scored 1.70 a game and conceded 1.20 across 10 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 5.Stoke City average 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded. The venue splits project 1.64 against 1.06, which puts Portsmouth at about 46% to win, against 25% for the draw.
Both Teams to Score5/61.83
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 11 of Portsmouth’s last 20 matches and 12 of Stoke City’s. Portsmouth concede 1.15 a game and Stoke City 1.50.On the venue splits the projection is 1.64 against 1.06, which puts both teams scoring at about 55%.
Correct Score 2-117/29.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Portsmouth 1.64 against Stoke City 1.06, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.6%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Portsmouth, which is where the board has the match too.
Portsmouth to Win and Both Teams to Score4/15.00
Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Portsmouth to win is about 46% and both teams scoring about 55%. Portsmouth score 1.40 a game and concede 1.15, and Stoke City have scored in 12 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 4/1.
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