Preston North End vs Southampton Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
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Preston North End vs Southampton

Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 · Championship

Preston North EndLLDLLL
SouthamptonDWWDWW

Stats cover Last 20 matches, all in one competition

Goals

1.00Scored per game1.95
2.05Conceded per game1.05
Home gamesAway games
0.90Scored1.40
1.90Conceded1.10
Correct Score 1-215/2

On the venue splits this projects Preston North End 1.12 against Southampton 1.85, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.2%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Southampton, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.37xG for1.67
1.68xG against1.40
-0.37Goals vs xG+0.28
Southampton to Win8/11

Southampton come in on D W W D W W, and on the road they have scored 1.40 a game and conceded 1.10 across 10 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 8.

Preston North End average 1.00 scored and 2.05 conceded. The venue splits project 1.12 against 1.85, which puts Southampton at about 54% to win, against 23% for the draw.

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Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals80%
65%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Over 3.5 goals45%
Over 2.5 Goals8/13

Preston North End have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Southampton in 60%, with 85% and 80% going past 1.5.

Preston North End average 1.00 scored and 2.05 conceded, Southampton 1.95 and 1.05. On the venue splits that projects 1.12 against 1.85, about 3.0 goals in the match and 60% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

70%Both teams scored80%
0 of 20Clean sheets4 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score2 of 20
Both Teams to Score4/7

Both teams have scored in 14 of Preston North End’s last 20 matches and 16 of Southampton’s. Preston North End concede 2.05 a game and Southampton 1.05.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.12 against 1.85, which puts both teams scoring at about 66%.

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Shots

11.80Shots per game14.95
2.95On target per game4.70
25.0%Accuracy31.4%

Corners

4.95Won per game5.80
2.35First half2.30
47.5%Share before the break39.7%
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Cards and Fouls

3.25Cards in the match4.50
2.10Own cards per game1.95
1.25Cards by half time1.45
10.95Fouls committed9.10

Shooting Detail

7.90Shots inside the box10.60
3.90Shots outside the box4.35
4.85Off target5.30
4.00Blocked4.95

Big Chances

1.80Big chances created3.05
1.15Big chances missed1.75
36%Taken43%
19.50Touches in the box25.25

Record

3-3-14Won, drawn, lost10-8-2
0 of 20Clean sheets4 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score2 of 20

Possession

42.55%Average share54.55%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Alfie DevinePreston North End · M14971.860.30.421.021.440
Jordan StoreyPreston North End · D14400.50.060.51.00.881
Jordan ThompsonPreston North End · M13580.730.21.791.921.195
Andrew HughesPreston North End · D12590.640.141.290.711.793
Odeluga OffiahPreston North End · D11980.230.00.90.752.631
Andrija VukcevicPreston North End · D10990.410.080.980.661.235
Leo LeroyPreston North End · M10821.00.081.331.02.085
Callum LangPreston North End · F8552.00.842.111.051.370
Delano BurgzorgPreston North End · F7291.360.490.490.490.861
Liam LindsayPreston North End · D7141.010.251.761.011.131
Lewis GibsonPreston North End · D6950.260.00.781.040.912
Stanley MillsPreston North End · D6130.730.152.941.032.22
Brad PottsPreston North End · M5522.120.820.490.651.791
Andrew MoranPreston North End · M5481.150.161.641.641.313
Jusef ErabiPreston North End · F4953.640.731.091.450.911
Johnny KennyPreston North End · F4664.250.970.770.580.970
James BreeSouthampton · D16950.740.160.530.420.92
Finn AzazSouthampton · M16692.320.490.71.191.084
Ryan ManningSouthampton · D15551.160.290.691.270.934
Leo ScienzaSouthampton · F13562.260.860.463.050.80
Kuryu MatsukiSouthampton · F12001.80.61.121.271.431
Nathan WoodSouthampton · D11200.40.00.320.480.883
Flynn DownesSouthampton · M11020.250.01.81.232.617
Keven SchlotterbeckSouthampton · D10771.170.330.50.841.171
Cyle LarinSouthampton · F10424.061.642.161.120.436
James Ward-ProwseSouthampton · M9581.320.470.280.661.030
Jack StephensSouthampton · D8140.440.110.110.330.660
Caspar JanderSouthampton · M6750.530.02.131.073.871
Taylor Harwood-BellisSouthampton · D6600.680.140.140.680.950
Tom FellowsSouthampton · M5820.930.151.081.080.771
Cameron BraggSouthampton · M5550.810.161.621.32.272
Shea CharlesSouthampton · M4562.370.991.580.391.381
Lewis DobbinSouthampton · F4342.280.831.042.280.831

Advised props

Kuryu Matsuki 2+ Shots

Kuryu Matsuki has had 2 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Southampton, at 1.8 per 90 across 1,200 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.

Southampton take 14.95 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.

EvensAdd
Andrew Hughes 1+ Fouls Committed

Andrew Hughes has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Preston North End, at 1.29 per 90 across 1,259 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Southampton hold 54.55% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Kuryu Matsuki Anytime Goalscorer

Kuryu Matsuki has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Southampton, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,200 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.

Southampton score 1.95 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 28% implied by 13/5.

13/5Add
Andrew Hughes to be Carded

Andrew Hughes has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Preston North End, at 0.21 per 90 across 1,259 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Preston North End pick up 2.1 cards a game and there are 3.25 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

3/1Add

Trends

Window shown per line
0/200%Preston North End · Last 20Preston North End have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last twenty.
0/60%Preston North End · Last sixPreston North End have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six.
0/60%Preston North End · Last sixPreston North End have won in 0 of their last six.
6/6100%Southampton · Last sixSouthampton are unbeaten in every one of their last six.
0/60%Southampton · Last sixSouthampton have committed twelve or more fouls in 0 of their last six.
6/6100%Southampton · Last six awaySouthampton have scored in every one of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Preston North End

03 NovSheffield United (H)2-3L
31 OctStoke City (A)0-2L
24 OctWest Bromwich Albion (H)1-1D
17 OctWrexham (A)1-4L
13 OctBirmingham City (A)0-4L
10 OctMillwall (H)0-1L

Southampton

03 NovWest Bromwich Albion (A)1-1D
31 OctQueens Park Rangers (H)4-1W
24 OctWest Ham United (A)3-2W
17 OctBolton Wanderers (H)0-0D
14 OctNorwich City (A)1-0W
11 OctPortsmouth (H)1-0W
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Build Your Own Preston North End vs Southampton Bet

Kuryu Matsuki 2+ Shots1/12.00
Why this betKuryu Matsuki has had 2 or more shots in 6 of his last 10 for Southampton, at 1.8 per 90 across 1,200 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.Southampton take 14.95 shots a game and hit 4.7 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 50% implied by Evens.
Andrew Hughes 1+ Fouls Committed
Why this betAndrew Hughes has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Preston North End, at 1.29 per 90 across 1,259 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Southampton hold 54.55% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Kuryu Matsuki Anytime Goalscorer13/53.60
Why this betKuryu Matsuki has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Southampton, at 0.3 per 90 across 1,200 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.Southampton score 1.95 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 28% implied by 13/5.
Andrew Hughes to be Carded3/14.00
Why this betAndrew Hughes has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Preston North End, at 0.21 per 90 across 1,259 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Preston North End pick up 2.1 cards a game and there are 3.25 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
Southampton to Win8/111.73
Why this betSouthampton come in on D W W D W W, and on the road they have scored 1.40 a game and conceded 1.10 across 10 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 8.Preston North End average 1.00 scored and 2.05 conceded. The venue splits project 1.12 against 1.85, which puts Southampton at about 54% to win, against 23% for the draw.
Both Teams to Score4/71.57
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 14 of Preston North End’s last 20 matches and 16 of Southampton’s. Preston North End concede 2.05 a game and Southampton 1.05.On the venue splits the projection is 1.12 against 1.85, which puts both teams scoring at about 66%.
Over 2.5 Goals8/131.62
Why this betPreston North End have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and Southampton in 60%, with 85% and 80% going past 1.5.Preston North End average 1.00 scored and 2.05 conceded, Southampton 1.95 and 1.05. On the venue splits that projects 1.12 against 1.85, about 3.0 goals in the match and 60% for over 2.5.
Correct Score 1-215/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Preston North End 1.12 against Southampton 1.85, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.2%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Southampton, which is where the board has the match too.
Southampton to Win and Both Teams to Score21/103.10
Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Southampton to win is about 54% and both teams scoring about 66%. Southampton score 1.95 a game and concede 1.05, and Preston North End have scored in 14 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 21/10.
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