Watford vs Middlesbrough Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

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Watford vs Middlesbrough

Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 · Championship

WatfordWLLWLL
MiddlesbroughLWWDWW

Stats cover Last 20 matches, all in one competition

Goals

0.75Scored per game1.95
2.00Conceded per game1.20
Home gamesAway games
1.00Scored1.60
1.60Conceded1.40
Correct Score 1-215/2

On the venue splits this projects Watford 1.13 against Middlesbrough 1.80, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Middlesbrough, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.04xG for1.94
1.72xG against1.01
-0.29Goals vs xG+0.01
Middlesbrough to Win11/20

Middlesbrough come in on L W W D W W, and on the road they have scored 1.60 a game and conceded 1.40 across 10 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 7.

Watford average 0.75 scored and 2.00 conceded. The venue splits project 1.13 against 1.80, which puts Middlesbrough at about 57% to win, against 23% for the draw.

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Under and Over

80%Over 1.5 goals75%
45%Over 2.5 goals60%
25%Over 3.5 goals45%
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Both Teams to Score

45%Both teams scored65%
2 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
9 of 20Failed to score3 of 20
Both Teams to Score8/15

Both teams have scored in 9 of Watford’s last 20 matches and 13 of Middlesbrough’s. Watford concede 2.00 a game and Middlesbrough 1.20.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.13 against 1.80, which puts both teams scoring at about 56%.

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Shots

13.15Shots per game18.55
4.10On target per game5.70
31.2%Accuracy30.7%

Corners

4.35Won per game6.15
1.90First half3.20
43.7%Share before the break52.0%
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Cards and Fouls

4.75Cards in the match2.80
2.60Own cards per game1.10
1.80Cards by half time0.80
11.85Fouls committed9.20

Shooting Detail

7.95Shots inside the box11.90
5.20Shots outside the box6.65
5.10Off target6.60
4.00Blocked6.25

Big Chances

1.95Big chances created3.20
1.50Big chances missed1.95
23%Taken39%
18.80Touches in the box33.75

Record

4-3-13Won, drawn, lost10-7-3
2 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
9 of 20Failed to score3 of 20

Possession

48.10%Average share59.00%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Matthew PollockWatford · D18000.350.151.050.451.155
Kevin Keben BiakoloWatford · D14690.180.00.980.431.353
Edo KayembeWatford · M14241.830.251.140.761.644
Hector KyprianouWatford · M12601.00.291.141.141.795
Iker BravoWatford · M10181.860.620.972.031.064
Othmane MaammaWatford · F9811.650.371.191.11.932
Mamadou DoumbiaWatford · F9012.20.92.00.10.92
Luca KjerrumgaardWatford · F8071.780.781.00.560.330
Jordan ZemuraWatford · D6811.190.261.591.192.113
Omar Haktab TraoreWatford · D6200.580.151.020.291.61
Amin NabizadaWatford · F5572.591.131.451.291.944
Imran LouzaWatford · M4872.030.181.291.851.114
Martin PayeroWatford · M4592.550.591.961.761.763
Edoardo BoveWatford · M4520.20.01.391.792.991
Nampalys MendyWatford · M4460.40.21.610.812.621
Marc BolaWatford · D4431.420.20.611.021.020
James AbankwahWatford · D4310.630.211.461.461.462
Nestory IrankundaWatford · F4234.472.132.771.71.73
Callum BrittainMiddlesbrough · D18301.080.30.930.21.972
Aidan MorrisMiddlesbrough · M17401.760.410.881.863.051
Adilson MalandaMiddlesbrough · D17140.790.260.580.371.163
Luke AylingMiddlesbrough · D13400.940.20.341.542.011
Riley McGreeMiddlesbrough · M10981.80.331.150.821.394
Will LankshearMiddlesbrough · F10484.122.151.551.030.092
Neto BorgesMiddlesbrough · D9851.190.090.821.011.461
Tommy ConwayMiddlesbrough · F9762.580.830.551.840.740
Sebastian BerhalterMiddlesbrough · M9632.150.651.210.931.962
Ashley PhillipsMiddlesbrough · D8490.640.110.740.421.272
Morgan WhittakerMiddlesbrough · F7313.570.860.741.351.351
Amario Cozier-DuberryMiddlesbrough · F7184.391.50.880.51.250
Matt TargettMiddlesbrough · D5150.520.170.170.350.870
David StrelecMiddlesbrough · F5132.110.71.230.530.00
Dael FryMiddlesbrough · D5060.890.180.530.180.710
Kyle JosephMiddlesbrough · F4922.561.11.282.011.280
Max ArfstenMiddlesbrough · D4731.330.191.520.382.660
Jeremy SarmientoMiddlesbrough · F4572.170.981.180.791.970

Advised props

Ashley Phillips 1+ Shots

Ashley Phillips has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.64 per 90 across 849 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.

Middlesbrough take 18.55 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

5/6Add
Adilson Malanda 2+ Shots

Adilson Malanda has had 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.79 per 90 across 1,714 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Middlesbrough take 18.55 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

11/4Add
Aidan Morris 1+ Shots on Target

Aidan Morris has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,740 minutes, and he averages 92 minutes a game when he plays.

Middlesbrough take 18.55 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

5/4Add
Hector Kyprianou 1+ Fouls Committed

Hector Kyprianou has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Watford, at 1.14 per 90 across 1,260 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.

Middlesbrough hold 59.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Will Lankshear Anytime Goalscorer

Will Lankshear has scored in 7 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 1.12 per 90 across 1,048 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

Middlesbrough score 1.95 a game. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

8/11Add

Trends

Window shown per line
2/2010%Watford · Last 20Watford have kept a clean sheet in two of their last twenty.
5/683%Watford · Last six at homeWatford have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six at home.
1/617%Watford · Last six at homeWatford have gone past three and a half goals in one of their last six at home.
0/60%Middlesbrough · Last sixMiddlesbrough have committed twelve or more fouls in 0 of their last six.
0/60%Middlesbrough · Last six awayMiddlesbrough have committed twelve or more fouls in 0 of their last six on the road.
0/60%Middlesbrough · Last six awayMiddlesbrough have seen five or more cards in the match in 0 of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Watford

03 NovLincoln City (H)1-0W
31 OctNorwich City (A)2-3L
24 OctWolverhampton (A)0-1L
17 OctCharlton Athletic (H)2-0W
13 OctCardiff City (A)1-5L
10 OctBurnley (H)0-4L

Middlesbrough

04 NovWrexham (A)0-2L
31 OctCharlton Athletic (H)3-0W
23 OctBolton Wanderers (A)5-1W
17 OctCardiff City (H)2-2D
13 OctStoke City (A)3-2W
10 OctWolverhampton (H)1-0W
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Build Your Own Watford vs Middlesbrough Bet

Ashley Phillips 1+ Shots5/61.83
Why this betAshley Phillips has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.64 per 90 across 849 minutes, and he averages 77 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough take 18.55 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Adilson Malanda 2+ Shots11/43.75
Why this betAdilson Malanda has had 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.79 per 90 across 1,714 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough take 18.55 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
Aidan Morris 1+ Shots on Target5/42.25
Why this betAidan Morris has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,740 minutes, and he averages 92 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough take 18.55 shots a game and hit 5.7 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
Hector Kyprianou 1+ Fouls Committed
Why this betHector Kyprianou has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Watford, at 1.14 per 90 across 1,260 minutes, and he averages 90 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough hold 59.0% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Will Lankshear Anytime Goalscorer8/111.73
Why this betWill Lankshear has scored in 7 of his last 10 for Middlesbrough, at 1.12 per 90 across 1,048 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.Middlesbrough score 1.95 a game. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Edo Kayembe to be Carded7/24.50
Why this betEdo Kayembe has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Watford, at 0.25 per 90 across 1,424 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Watford pick up 2.6 cards a game and there are 4.75 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 22% implied by 7/2.
Iker Bravo to be Carded21/103.10
Why this betIker Bravo has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Watford, at 0.35 per 90 across 1,018 minutes, and he averages 73 minutes a game when he plays.Watford pick up 2.6 cards a game and there are 4.75 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.
Middlesbrough to Win11/201.55
Why this betMiddlesbrough come in on L W W D W W, and on the road they have scored 1.60 a game and conceded 1.40 across 10 matches. They have won 10 of their last 20 overall, drawing 7.Watford average 0.75 scored and 2.00 conceded. The venue splits project 1.13 against 1.80, which puts Middlesbrough at about 57% to win, against 23% for the draw.
Both Teams to Score8/151.53
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 9 of Watford’s last 20 matches and 13 of Middlesbrough’s. Watford concede 2.00 a game and Middlesbrough 1.20.On the venue splits the projection is 1.13 against 1.80, which puts both teams scoring at about 56%.
Correct Score 1-215/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Watford 1.13 against Middlesbrough 1.80, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Middlesbrough, which is where the board has the match too.
Middlesbrough to Win and Both Teams to Score7/42.75
Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Middlesbrough to win is about 57% and both teams scoring about 56%. Middlesbrough score 1.95 a game and concede 1.20, and Watford have scored in 9 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 7/4.
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