West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

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West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall

Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 · Championship

West Bromwich AlbionDWDWWL
MillwallLWLDLW

Stats cover Last 20 matches, all in one competition

Goals

1.30Scored per game1.55
0.85Conceded per game1.40
Home gamesAway games
1.30Scored1.20
0.70Conceded1.70
Correct Score 1-07/1

On the venue splits this projects West Bromwich Albion 1.48 against Millwall 0.98, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.8%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs West Bromwich Albion, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.47xG for1.77
1.32xG against1.23
-0.17Goals vs xG-0.22
West Bromwich Albion to Win19/20

West Bromwich Albion have won 9 of their last 20, drawing 7, and at home they have scored 1.30 a game and conceded 0.70 across 10 matches.

Millwall average 1.55 scored and 1.40 conceded. The venue splits project 1.48 against 0.98, which puts West Bromwich Albion at about 48% to win, against 26% for the draw.

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Under and Over

65%Over 1.5 goals85%
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
20%Over 3.5 goals40%
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Both Teams to Score

55%Both teams scored45%
7 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score5 of 20

Shots

12.30Shots per game14.85
3.80On target per game4.35
30.9%Accuracy29.3%

Corners

5.10Won per game5.95
2.25First half3.15
44.1%Share before the break52.9%
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Cards and Fouls

3.80Cards in the match3.85
1.90Own cards per game1.90
1.50Cards by half time1.80
9.60Fouls committed11.15

Shooting Detail

8.65Shots inside the box10.85
3.65Shots outside the box4.00
4.75Off target6.05
3.75Blocked4.45

Big Chances

2.45Big chances created2.95
1.50Big chances missed2.00
39%Taken32%
22.45Touches in the box28.25

Record

9-7-4Won, drawn, lost8-5-7
7 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score5 of 20

Possession

54.95%Average share51.15%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Callum StylesWest Bromwich Albion · D18001.10.40.70.82.752
Isaac PriceWest Bromwich Albion · M17042.751.110.421.161.482
Ousmane DiakiteWest Bromwich Albion · M16011.180.110.961.691.916
George CampbellWest Bromwich Albion · D15730.340.00.630.740.923
Jayson MolumbyWest Bromwich Albion · M14431.00.190.621.371.03
Nathaniel PhillipsWest Bromwich Albion · D12410.650.070.650.581.523
Jimmy-Jay MorganWest Bromwich Albion · F9902.360.732.01.821.183
Aune Selland HeggeboWest Bromwich Albion · F9012.20.91.91.00.70
Felix Horn MyhreWest Bromwich Albion · F7420.730.360.851.211.330
Rabby NzingoulaWest Bromwich Albion · M7101.520.251.92.282.283
Chris MephamWest Bromwich Albion · D7030.510.260.640.131.151
Harry WhitwellWest Bromwich Albion · M5990.60.151.52.73.613
Brayann PereiraWest Bromwich Albion · D5740.470.01.251.411.411
Daniel ImrayWest Bromwich Albion · D5400.50.330.51.332.01
Alex MowattWest Bromwich Albion · M4401.020.21.021.232.052
Jake CooperMillwall · D17920.650.31.260.750.953
Camiel NeghliMillwall · M17401.970.520.720.471.091
Zak SturgeMillwall · D16280.50.061.381.221.933
Caleb TaylorMillwall · D14401.060.310.690.621.00
Derek Mazou-SackoMillwall · M13080.830.281.440.832.065
Jenson MetcalfeMillwall · M10211.150.182.21.942.825
Lyndon DykesMillwall · F9282.330.681.550.480.483
Tristan CramaMillwall · D8041.340.01.010.781.232
Casper De NorreMillwall · M7451.090.00.850.241.693
Mark SykesMillwall · M7011.160.510.390.641.672
Josh CoburnMillwall · F6702.151.211.211.750.671
Kyrell LisbieMillwall · M6333.841.140.851.851.142
Tairyk ArconteMillwall · F5912.590.610.31.520.150
Ryan LeonardMillwall · D5720.940.160.941.261.731
Luke CundleMillwall · M5131.230.880.70.180.880
Jordi Osei-TutuMillwall · D4841.120.370.741.491.121
Thierno BalloMillwall · F4152.820.651.521.733.252

Advised props

Felix Horn Myhre 1+ Shots

Felix Horn Myhre has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for West Bromwich Albion, at 0.73 per 90 across 742 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.

West Bromwich Albion take 12.3 shots a game and hit 3.8 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

8/11Add
Jayson Molumby 2+ Shots

Jayson Molumby has had 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for West Bromwich Albion, at 1.0 per 90 across 1,443 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

West Bromwich Albion take 12.3 shots a game and hit 3.8 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

5/2Add
Zak Sturge 1+ Fouls Committed

Zak Sturge has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 1.38 per 90 across 1,628 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

West Bromwich Albion hold 54.95% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Derek Mazou-Sacko to be Carded

Derek Mazou-Sacko has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.34 per 90 across 1,308 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

Millwall pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.85 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.

9/4Add
Jimmy-Jay Morgan to be Carded

Jimmy-Jay Morgan has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for West Bromwich Albion, at 0.27 per 90 across 990 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.

West Bromwich Albion pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.8 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.

9/2Add

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%West Bromwich Albion · Last sixWest Bromwich Albion have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six.
5/683%West Bromwich Albion · Last sixWest Bromwich Albion have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six.
5/683%West Bromwich Albion · Last six at homeWest Bromwich Albion have won five or more corners in five of their last six at home.
17/2085%Millwall · Last 20Millwall have gone past one and a half goals in 17 of their last twenty.
1/617%Millwall · Last sixMillwall have kept a clean sheet in one of their last six.
5/683%Millwall · Last sixMillwall have picked up two or more cards in five of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

West Bromwich Albion

03 NovSouthampton (H)1-1D
31 OctWest Ham United (A)3-1W
24 OctPreston North End (A)1-1D
17 OctBlackburn Rovers (H)3-2W
13 OctWrexham (A)2-1W
10 OctBirmingham City (H)0-1L

Millwall

03 NovBirmingham City (A)0-3L
31 OctDerby County (H)4-1W
24 OctPortsmouth (A)1-2L
17 OctLincoln City (H)2-2D
13 OctSwansea City (H)0-1L
10 OctPreston North End (A)1-0W
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Build Your Own West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall Bet

Felix Horn Myhre 1+ Shots8/111.73
Why this betFelix Horn Myhre has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for West Bromwich Albion, at 0.73 per 90 across 742 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.West Bromwich Albion take 12.3 shots a game and hit 3.8 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Jayson Molumby 2+ Shots5/23.50
Why this betJayson Molumby has had 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for West Bromwich Albion, at 1.0 per 90 across 1,443 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.West Bromwich Albion take 12.3 shots a game and hit 3.8 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.
Zak Sturge 1+ Fouls Committed
Why this betZak Sturge has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 1.38 per 90 across 1,628 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.West Bromwich Albion hold 54.95% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Derek Mazou-Sacko to be Carded9/43.25
Why this betDerek Mazou-Sacko has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.34 per 90 across 1,308 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.85 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
Jimmy-Jay Morgan to be Carded9/25.50
Why this betJimmy-Jay Morgan has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for West Bromwich Albion, at 0.27 per 90 across 990 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.West Bromwich Albion pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.8 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.
Casper De Norre to be Carded3/14.00
Why this betCasper De Norre has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Millwall, at 0.36 per 90 across 745 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Millwall pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.85 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
West Bromwich Albion to Win19/201.95
Why this betWest Bromwich Albion have won 9 of their last 20, drawing 7, and at home they have scored 1.30 a game and conceded 0.70 across 10 matches.Millwall average 1.55 scored and 1.40 conceded. The venue splits project 1.48 against 0.98, which puts West Bromwich Albion at about 48% to win, against 26% for the draw.
Correct Score 1-07/18.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects West Bromwich Albion 1.48 against Millwall 0.98, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.8%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs West Bromwich Albion, which is where the board has the match too.
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