Liverpool vs Tottenham Betting Tips, Bet Builder, Predictions and Stats

Liverpool vs Tottenham betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.

3 selections, and rotation is the risk on every one of them. This is a cup tie three days after a league weekend, and both managers will change the side. Each selection below carries the player’s average minutes across his last ten, which is the best guide the data gives to whether he starts.

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Liverpool vs Tottenham Betting Tips

F. Wirtz 2+ Shots — 8/11. Florian Wirtz has had 2 or more shots in 7 of his last 10 for Liverpool, at 2.04 per 90 across 1,279 minutes.

P. Porro 1+ Shot on Target — 5/2. Pedro Porro has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for Tottenham Hotspur, at 0.68 per 90 across 1,318 minutes.

D. Szoboszlai 2+ Foul Committed — 6/4. Dominik Szoboszlai has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Liverpool, at 1.46 per 90 across 1,788 minutes.

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Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model

These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.

Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.

The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.

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Player Props Bet Finder

Every player bet365 have priced for this match, with each player’s record over his last ten alongside the price. No tips, no selections – the numbers and the odds side by side.

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A Note on Rotation

Team news matters more here than in any league fixture. Managers rest players for cup ties, and a hit rate built over ten matches describes a player who has been starting – not one who will start on Tuesday.

The average-minutes figure beside each selection is what we lean on. A player averaging 85 minutes has been playing whole matches; one at 65 has been coming off, and is more likely to be among those rested.

Lineups are confirmed an hour before kick-off, and that is the point to check before staking anything here.

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Liverpool vs Tottenham Prediction

We are predicting 2-1 to Liverpool. The market makes it 52% Liverpool, 25% the draw and 22% Tottenham.

Liverpool score 1.91 a game at home and Tottenham have conceded 17 in 10 away matches – 1.70 a game, the worst travelling defence in this round. Tottenham have lost 3 of their last 6.

Both teams to score is the market this fixture points at. Liverpool have seen goals at both ends in 13 of their last 20 and Tottenham in 11, giving about 60%, and the two sides between them average 2.88 goals a match.

The caution is the same as everywhere this week: both managers will change the side, and a Liverpool second string against a Tottenham second string is a different match from the one those records describe.

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