AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus Predictions and Stats

Andy Clark
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AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus

Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 · Europa League

AZ AlkmaarLLWDWL
JuventusWLWDLW
Our predictionRo-Zangelo Daal 1+ Shots on Target11/10

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – AZ Alkmaar 3 in the Europa League and 17 across three others, Juventus 17 in Serie A and 3 in the Europa League

Goals

2.05Scored per game1.45
1.10Conceded per game0.90
Home gamesAway games
2.33Scored1.20
1.33Conceded0.90
Correct Score 1-215/2

On the venue splits this projects AZ Alkmaar 1.65 against Juventus 1.32, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.9%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Juventus, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

2.03xG for1.66
1.24xG against0.74
+0.02Goals vs xG-0.21

Under and Over

80%Over 1.5 goals80%
50%Over 2.5 goals30%
45%Over 3.5 goals20%
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Both Teams to Score

50%Both teams scored35%
6 of 20Clean sheets10 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Shots

16.80Shots per game16.35
6.20On target per game5.25
36.9%Accuracy32.1%

Corners

6.40Won per game7.00
2.40First half3.75
37.5%Share before the break53.6%
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Cards and Fouls

3.25Cards in the match3.25
1.50Own cards per game1.45
1.30Cards by half time1.05
12.10Fouls committed12.10

Shooting Detail

10.80Shots inside the box10.25
6.00Shots outside the box6.10
6.10Off target6.35
4.50Blocked4.80

Big Chances

3.00Big chances created2.45
1.85Big chances missed1.45
38%Taken41%
36.00Touches in the box33.95

Record

10-6-4Won, drawn, lost10-6-4
6 of 20Clean sheets10 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Possession

57.05%Average share57.15%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Peer KoopmeinersAZ Alkmaar · M16411.150.661.970.662.520
Ro-Zangelo DaalAZ Alkmaar · F15102.091.010.662.031.433
Elijah DijkstraAZ Alkmaar · D14920.660.180.420.721.631
Wouter GoesAZ Alkmaar · D14690.370.060.980.742.022
Mexx MeerdinkAZ Alkmaar · F12523.381.652.011.510.721
Lewis SchoutenAZ Alkmaar · D12480.650.071.230.432.093
Mateo ChavezAZ Alkmaar · D11081.460.571.621.063.411
Dave KwakmanAZ Alkmaar · M10461.890.430.952.321.720
Weslley PatatiAZ Alkmaar · F8814.091.432.042.251.943
Jordy ClasieAZ Alkmaar · M7111.140.250.630.130.631
Kees SmitAZ Alkmaar · M6372.260.711.841.130.422
Mees De WitAZ Alkmaar · D6320.850.141.140.572.562
Calvin StengsAZ Alkmaar · M5992.10.91.651.050.751
Valdemar ByskovAZ Alkmaar · M4593.141.180.20.981.180
Sven MijnansAZ Alkmaar · M4492.00.80.80.82.20
Alexandre PenetraAZ Alkmaar · D4401.020.00.611.021.230
Ayoub OufkirAZ Alkmaar · F4262.321.272.752.321.96
Pierre KaluluJuventus · D17550.310.10.510.462.11
Gleison BremerJuventus · D15801.250.340.970.281.481
Douglas LuizJuventus · M9851.830.461.831.741.463
Randal Kolo MuaniJuventus · F9712.040.561.761.390.370
Lloyd KellyJuventus · D9300.680.10.870.581.651
Andrea CambiasoJuventus · D9070.790.31.091.092.183
Jhon LucumiJuventus · D8520.420.110.530.01.164
Teun KoopmeinersJuventus · M7441.330.62.060.972.30
Nick WoltemadeJuventus · F6153.371.021.172.930.150
Jeremie BogaJuventus · F5952.270.910.150.911.361
Kerim AlajbegovicJuventus · M5803.571.240.780.930.781
Federico GattiJuventus · D5461.320.332.310.661.152
Pape Matar SarrJuventus · M4921.460.371.460.732.560

Advised props

Ro-Zangelo Daal 1+ Shots on Target

Ro-Zangelo Daal has had a shot on target in 7 of his last 10 for AZ Alkmaar, at 1.01 per 90 across 1,510 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

AZ Alkmaar take 16.8 shots a game and hit 6.2 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 48% implied by 11/10.

11/10Add
Mexx Meerdink Anytime Goalscorer

Mexx Meerdink has scored in 5 of his last 10 for AZ Alkmaar, at 0.58 per 90 across 1,252 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.

AZ Alkmaar score 2.05 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

2/1Add
Mateo Chavez 1+ Shots

Mateo Chavez has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for AZ Alkmaar, at 1.46 per 90 across 1,108 minutes, and he averages 69 minutes a game when he plays.

AZ Alkmaar take 16.8 shots a game and hit 6.2 on target. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

5/6Add
Kees Smit 1+ Shots on Target

Kees Smit has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for AZ Alkmaar, at 0.71 per 90 across 637 minutes, and he averages 64 minutes a game when he plays.

AZ Alkmaar take 16.8 shots a game and hit 6.2 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.

13/8Add
Mexx Meerdink 2+ Fouls Committed

Mexx Meerdink has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for AZ Alkmaar, at 2.01 per 90 across 1,252 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.

Juventus hold 57.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.

10/11Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%AZ Alkmaar · Last sixAZ Alkmaar have committed twelve or more fouls in every one of their last six.
5/683%AZ Alkmaar · Last sixAZ Alkmaar have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six.
1/617%AZ Alkmaar · Last sixAZ Alkmaar have kept a clean sheet in one of their last six.
6/6100%Juventus · Last sixJuventus have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
0/60%Juventus · Last six awayJuventus have seen five or more cards in the match in 0 of their last six on the road.
1/617%Juventus · Last sixJuventus have gone past three and a half goals in one of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

AZ Alkmaar

31 OctAFC Ajax (A)0-1L
25 OctFC Twente (H)0-2L
22 OctFC Ararat-Armenia (A)4-0W
18 OctSC Cambuur (A)2-2D
15 OctHapoel Be’er Sheva (H)2-1W
10 OctFeyenoord (A)0-2L

Juventus

01 NovNapoli (H)2-0W
28 OctGenoa (A)0-2L
25 OctLecce (A)2-0W
22 OctStade Rennais (H)2-2D
18 OctLazio (H)0-3L
15 OctCelta Vigo (A)2-1W
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Build Your Own AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus Bet

Ro-Zangelo Daal 1+ Shots on Target11/102.10
Why this bet7 of his last 10, 1.01 per 90
Mexx Meerdink Anytime Goalscorer2/13.00
Why this bet5 of his last 10, 0.58 per 90
Mateo Chavez 1+ Shots5/61.83
Why this bet7 of his last 10, 1.46 per 90
Kees Smit 1+ Shots on Target13/82.63
Why this bet5 of his last 10, 0.71 per 90
Mexx Meerdink 2+ Fouls Committed10/111.91
Why this betMexx Meerdink has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for AZ Alkmaar, at 2.01 per 90 across 1,252 minutes, and he averages 66 minutes a game when he plays.Juventus hold 57.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 52% implied by 10/11.
Gleison Bremer 1+ Shots8/111.73
Why this betGleison Bremer has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for Juventus, at 1.25 per 90 across 1,580 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Juventus take 16.35 shots a game and hit 5.25 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Peer Koopmeiners 1+ Shots on Target12/53.40
Why this betPeer Koopmeiners has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for AZ Alkmaar, at 0.66 per 90 across 1,641 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.AZ Alkmaar take 16.8 shots a game and hit 6.2 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 12/5.
Correct Score 1-215/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects AZ Alkmaar 1.65 against Juventus 1.32, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Juventus, which is where the board has the match too.
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