Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais Predictions and Stats

Andy Clark
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Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais

Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 · Europa League

Real SociedadLWWWDW
Olympique LyonnaisWLLWWL
Our predictionMoussa Niakhate 2+ Fouls Committed11/4

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Real Sociedad 17 in La Liga and 3 in the Europa League, Olympique Lyonnais 4 in the Champions League and 3 in the Europa League and 13 in another competition

Goals

1.90Scored per game1.70
1.75Conceded per game1.40
Home gamesAway games
1.62Scored0.89
1.88Conceded1.44
Correct Score 2-115/2

On the venue splits this projects Real Sociedad 1.90 against Olympique Lyonnais 1.67, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.4%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Real Sociedad, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.40xG for1.37
1.78xG against1.00
+0.50Goals vs xG+0.33
Real Sociedad to Win4/5

Real Sociedad come in on L W W W D W, and at home they have scored 1.62 a game and conceded 1.88 across 8 matches. They have won 7 of their last 20 overall, drawing 6.

Olympique Lyonnais average 1.70 scored and 1.40 conceded. The venue splits project 1.90 against 1.67, which puts Real Sociedad at about 48% to win, against 22% for the draw.

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Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals95%
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
45%Over 3.5 goals30%
Over 2.5 Goals4/7

Real Sociedad have gone past 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 20 matches and Olympique Lyonnais in 70%, with 85% and 95% going past 1.5.

Real Sociedad average 1.90 scored and 1.75 conceded, Olympique Lyonnais 1.70 and 1.40. On the venue splits that projects 1.90 against 1.67, about 3.6 goals in the match and 70% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

75%Both teams scored60%
2 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
4 of 20Failed to score4 of 20
Both Teams to Score8/15

Both teams have scored in 15 of Real Sociedad’s last 20 matches and 12 of Olympique Lyonnais’. Real Sociedad concede 1.75 a game and Olympique Lyonnais 1.40.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.90 against 1.67, which puts both teams scoring at about 68%.

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Shots

12.65Shots per game13.55
4.70On target per game5.40
37.2%Accuracy39.9%

Corners

5.50Won per game5.90
2.80First half2.65
50.9%Share before the break44.9%
Over 10.5 Corners11/10

Real Sociedad win 5.5 corners a game and Olympique Lyonnais 5.9, with 2.8 and 2.65 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 11 in the match, a 59% chance of 11 or more against the 48% implied by 11/10.

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Cards and Fouls

4.95Cards in the match3.40
2.55Own cards per game1.10
1.30Cards by half time1.10
12.70Fouls committed11.05

Shooting Detail

7.95Shots inside the box9.25
4.70Shots outside the box4.30
4.35Off target4.75
3.60Blocked3.40

Big Chances

2.75Big chances created2.60
1.85Big chances missed1.50
33%Taken42%
21.35Touches in the box26.90

Record

7-6-7Won, drawn, lost10-3-7
2 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
4 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Possession

52.35%Average share51.95%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Sergio GomezReal Sociedad · D16100.560.220.560.451.734
Jon MartinReal Sociedad · D15360.530.181.050.761.933
Mikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad · F14082.170.961.151.411.093
Carlos SolerReal Sociedad · M12551.430.50.360.721.221
Luka SucicReal Sociedad · F12272.050.810.730.291.323
Jon AramburuReal Sociedad · D10650.510.173.131.613.216
Orri OskarssonReal Sociedad · F9923.721.911.720.910.184
Ander BarrenetxeaReal Sociedad · M9111.680.592.371.091.783
Yangel HerreraReal Sociedad · M8620.840.212.32.192.825
Igor ZubeldiaReal Sociedad · D8120.220.01.220.222.553
Benat TurrientesReal Sociedad · M7961.240.681.021.132.264
Jon GorrotxategiReal Sociedad · M7890.340.00.911.372.741
Goncalo GuedesReal Sociedad · M7513.120.960.962.161.080
Mamadou SarrReal Sociedad · D7330.120.01.111.112.094
Takefusa KuboReal Sociedad · F6001.050.150.751.951.351
Luken BeitiaReal Sociedad · D4500.60.21.00.00.81
Job OchiengReal Sociedad · F4412.240.412.650.821.840
Pablo MarinReal Sociedad · M4050.220.01.332.00.890
Corentin TolissoOlympique Lyonnais · M14592.11.051.051.971.420
Abner ViniciusOlympique Lyonnais · D14310.50.130.750.250.882
Moussa NiakhateOlympique Lyonnais · D13500.130.071.670.61.03
Zachary AthekameOlympique Lyonnais · D9280.870.291.161.163.11
Felix BacherOlympique Lyonnais · D9110.790.30.990.691.191
Ernest NuamahOlympique Lyonnais · F9033.091.20.91.790.71
Tanner TessmannOlympique Lyonnais · M8700.830.210.620.621.141
Clinton MataOlympique Lyonnais · D8390.210.00.431.070.970
Ruben KluivertOlympique Lyonnais · D8090.670.01.780.332.221
Mads BidstrupOlympique Lyonnais · M7060.760.01.271.022.930
Ainsley Maitland-NilesOlympique Lyonnais · D6320.430.280.850.141.141
Kail BoudacheOlympique Lyonnais · F5662.540.80.83.021.110
Noah NarteyOlympique Lyonnais · M4961.090.731.271.091.452
Khalis MerahOlympique Lyonnais · M4401.020.20.611.234.090
Keito NakamuraOlympique Lyonnais · F4251.690.850.850.642.121

Advised props

Moussa Niakhate 2+ Fouls Committed

Moussa Niakhate has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for Olympique Lyonnais, at 1.67 per 90 across 1,350 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Real Sociedad hold 52.35% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

11/4Add
Luka Sucic Anytime Goalscorer

Luka Sucic has scored in 4 of his last 10 for Real Sociedad, at 0.44 per 90 across 1,227 minutes, and he averages 65 minutes a game when he plays.

Real Sociedad score 1.90 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 11/5.

11/5Add
Jon Aramburu to be Carded

Jon Aramburu has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Real Sociedad, at 0.51 per 90 across 1,065 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

Real Sociedad pick up 2.55 cards a game and there are 4.95 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 32% implied by 21/10.

21/10Add
Luka Sucic to be Carded

Luka Sucic has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Real Sociedad, at 0.22 per 90 across 1,227 minutes, and he averages 65 minutes a game when he plays.

Real Sociedad pick up 2.55 cards a game and there are 4.95 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.

9/2Add
Mamadou Sarr to be Carded

Mamadou Sarr has been booked in 4 of his last 9 for Real Sociedad, at 0.49 per 90 across 733 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

Real Sociedad pick up 2.55 cards a game and there are 4.95 in their matches. That is about 44% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.

3/1Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Real Sociedad · Last sixReal Sociedad have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Real Sociedad · Last six at homeReal Sociedad have committed twelve or more fouls in every one of their last six at home.
6/6100%Real Sociedad · Last sixReal Sociedad have scored in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Olympique Lyonnais · Last sixOlympique Lyonnais have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
0/60%Olympique Lyonnais · Last sixOlympique Lyonnais have seen five or more cards in the match in 0 of their last six.
0/60%Olympique Lyonnais · Last sixOlympique Lyonnais have picked up two or more cards in 0 of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Real Sociedad

01 NovAthletic Club (A)1-2L
25 OctLevante UD (H)2-1W
22 OctLillestrom SK (A)6-0W
18 OctMalaga (A)5-2W
15 OctRoyale Union Saint-Gil (A)1-1D
11 OctDeportivo La Coruna (H)3-2W

Olympique Lyonnais

01 NovAngers (H)2-0W
26 OctParis Saint-Germain (A)0-2L
22 OctTSG Hoffenheim (A)0-3L
18 OctNice (H)2-1W
15 OctCrystal Palace (H)3-2W
09 OctRC Lens (A)1-2L
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Build Your Own Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais Bet

Moussa Niakhate 2+ Fouls Committed11/43.75
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 1.67 per 90
Over 10.5 Corners11/102.10
Why this bet59% on our numbers
Luka Sucic Anytime Goalscorer11/53.20
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 0.44 per 90
Jon Aramburu to be Carded21/103.10
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 0.51 per 90
Luka Sucic to be Carded9/25.50
Why this betLuka Sucic has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Real Sociedad, at 0.22 per 90 across 1,227 minutes, and he averages 65 minutes a game when he plays.Real Sociedad pick up 2.55 cards a game and there are 4.95 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 18% implied by 9/2.
Mamadou Sarr to be Carded3/14.00
Why this betMamadou Sarr has been booked in 4 of his last 9 for Real Sociedad, at 0.49 per 90 across 733 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.Real Sociedad pick up 2.55 cards a game and there are 4.95 in their matches. That is about 44% on his own record, against the 25% implied by 3/1.
Real Sociedad to Win4/51.80
Why this betReal Sociedad come in on L W W W D W, and at home they have scored 1.62 a game and conceded 1.88 across 8 matches. They have won 7 of their last 20 overall, drawing 6.Olympique Lyonnais average 1.70 scored and 1.40 conceded. The venue splits project 1.90 against 1.67, which puts Real Sociedad at about 48% to win, against 22% for the draw.
Both Teams to Score8/151.53
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 15 of Real Sociedad’s last 20 matches and 12 of Olympique Lyonnais’. Real Sociedad concede 1.75 a game and Olympique Lyonnais 1.40.On the venue splits the projection is 1.90 against 1.67, which puts both teams scoring at about 68%.
Over 2.5 Goals4/71.57
Why this betReal Sociedad have gone past 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 20 matches and Olympique Lyonnais in 70%, with 85% and 95% going past 1.5.Real Sociedad average 1.90 scored and 1.75 conceded, Olympique Lyonnais 1.70 and 1.40. On the venue splits that projects 1.90 against 1.67, about 3.6 goals in the match and 70% for over 2.5.
Correct Score 2-115/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Real Sociedad 1.90 against Olympique Lyonnais 1.67, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.4%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Real Sociedad, which is where the board has the match too.
Real Sociedad to Win and Both Teams to Score11/53.20
Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Real Sociedad to win is about 48% and both teams scoring about 68%. Real Sociedad score 1.90 a game and concede 1.75, and Olympique Lyonnais have scored in 12 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 11/5.
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