Sunderland vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb Predictions and Stats

Andy Clark
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Sunderland vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 · Europa League

SunderlandLDDLWL
GNK Dinamo ZagrebLWLWWL
Our predictionJosip Misic 2+ Fouls Committed5/2

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Sunderland 17 in the Premier League and 3 in the Europa League, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 4 in the Champions League and 3 in the Europa League and 13 across two others

Goals

1.15Scored per game2.30
1.60Conceded per game1.20
Home gamesAway games
0.56Scored2.10
1.11Conceded1.40
Correct Score 2-115/2

On the venue splits this projects Sunderland 1.35 against GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1.94, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.6%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Sunderland, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.58xG for1.65
1.50xG against0.80
-0.43Goals vs xG+0.65

Under and Over

75%Over 1.5 goals80%
45%Over 2.5 goals75%
25%Over 3.5 goals60%
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Both Teams to Score

55%Both teams scored55%
5 of 20Clean sheets8 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score2 of 20
Both Teams to Score4/5

Both teams have scored in 11 of Sunderland’s last 20 matches and 11 of GNK Dinamo Zagreb’s. Sunderland concede 1.60 a game and GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1.20.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.35 against 1.94, which puts both teams scoring at about 59%.

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Shots

14.35Shots per game15.63
4.50On target per game6.26
31.4%Accuracy40.1%

Corners

4.85Won per game6.11
2.60First half1.89
53.6%Share before the break30.9%
Over 9.5 Corners5/6

Sunderland win 4.85 corners a game and GNK Dinamo Zagreb 6.11, with 2.6 and 1.89 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 11 in the match, a 66% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.

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Cards and Fouls

4.30Cards in the match3.37
2.35Own cards per game1.37
1.35Cards by half time1.00
12.45Fouls committed12.16

Shooting Detail

9.60Shots inside the box10.47
4.75Shots outside the box5.16
5.65Off target8.00
4.20Blocked4.21

Big Chances

2.50Big chances created3.32
1.70Big chances missed2.16
32%Taken35%
25.85Touches in the box27.79

Record

7-5-8Won, drawn, lost12-3-5
5 of 20Clean sheets8 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score2 of 20

Possession

50.05%Average share58.74%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Granit XhakaSunderland · M17150.940.160.731.471.575
Noah SadikiSunderland · M16530.930.330.931.421.424
Enzo Le FeeSunderland · M15722.00.740.741.952.01
Nordi MukieleSunderland · D13981.740.321.480.772.124
Reinildo MandavaSunderland · D13740.070.01.111.241.643
Trai HumeSunderland · D12491.220.221.440.942.024
Brian BrobbeySunderland · F12312.191.11.91.830.224
Luke O’NienSunderland · D8851.220.10.710.921.021
Nilson AnguloSunderland · F8201.760.881.541.321.652
Chris RiggSunderland · F6551.920.550.821.12.22
Kevin DansoSunderland · D5511.140.331.310.650.651
Habib DiarraSunderland · M5232.580.691.382.070.692
Thomas MeunierSunderland · D4711.530.760.760.190.960
Wilson IsidorSunderland · F4073.11.112.212.431.110
Dion Drena BeljoGNK Dinamo Zagreb · F12034.712.021.52.240.523
Josip MisicGNK Dinamo Zagreb · M11790.760.151.30.921.982
Matteo Perez VinlofGNK Dinamo Zagreb · D10251.050.181.321.491.43
Luka StojkovicGNK Dinamo Zagreb · M9613.090.841.312.151.032
Sergi DominguezGNK Dinamo Zagreb · D9580.560.00.940.191.781
Niko GalesicGNK Dinamo Zagreb · D9281.450.481.751.361.841
Arber HoxhaGNK Dinamo Zagreb · M9202.540.881.661.570.390
Moris ValincicGNK Dinamo Zagreb · D7500.360.121.080.962.642
Miha ZajcGNK Dinamo Zagreb · M7432.540.850.971.090.731
Mateo LisicaGNK Dinamo Zagreb · F6841.180.261.050.390.920
Lukas KacavendaGNK Dinamo Zagreb · M6641.220.272.712.852.852
Luka IvanusecGNK Dinamo Zagreb · M4371.650.410.821.653.30
Bruno GodaGNK Dinamo Zagreb · D4150.430.221.30.432.60

Advised props

Josip Misic 2+ Fouls Committed

Josip Misic has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for GNK Dinamo Zagreb, at 1.3 per 90 across 1,179 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Sunderland hold 50.05% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

5/2Add
Dion Drena Beljo 2+ Fouls Committed

Dion Drena Beljo has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for GNK Dinamo Zagreb, at 1.5 per 90 across 1,203 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.

Sunderland hold 50.05% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

5/4Add
Kevin Danso 1+ Shots

Kevin Danso has had a shot in 5 of his last 7 for Sunderland, at 1.14 per 90 across 551 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

Sunderland take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.5 on target. That is about 71% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.

4/5Add
Niko Galesic 2+ Fouls Committed

Niko Galesic has committed 2 or more fouls in 4 of his last 10 for GNK Dinamo Zagreb, at 1.75 per 90 across 928 minutes, and he averages 62 minutes a game when he plays.

Sunderland hold 50.05% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 33% implied by 2/1.

2/1Add
Sergi Dominguez 1+ Fouls Committed

Sergi Dominguez has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for GNK Dinamo Zagreb, at 0.94 per 90 across 958 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.

Sunderland hold 50.05% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

8/11Add

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Sunderland · Last six at homeSunderland have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six at home.
5/683%Sunderland · Last sixSunderland have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six.
1/617%Sunderland · Last sixSunderland have gone past three and a half goals in one of their last six.
0/60%GNK Dinamo Zagreb · Last sixGNK Dinamo Zagreb have seen five or more cards in the match in 0 of their last six.
18/2090%GNK Dinamo Zagreb · Last 20GNK Dinamo Zagreb have scored in 18 of their last twenty.
3/1916%GNK Dinamo Zagreb · Last 20GNK Dinamo Zagreb have seen five or more cards in the match in three of their last twenty.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Sunderland

31 OctCoventry City (A)1-3L
25 OctLeeds United (H)0-0D
22 OctLech Poznan (A)1-1D
18 OctBournemouth (A)0-2L
15 OctTorreense (A)2-1W
10 OctBrighton & Hove Albion (H)0-2L

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

31 OctNK Rudes (A)0-1L
27 OctHNK Rijeka (H)2-1W
22 OctNEC Nijmegen (H)2-4L
18 OctNK Slaven Belupo (A)5-1W
15 OctRSC Anderlecht (H)1-0W
10 OctHNK Hajduk Split (A)1-2L
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Build Your Own Sunderland vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb Bet

Josip Misic 2+ Fouls Committed5/23.50
Why this bet5 of his last 10, 1.3 per 90
Dion Drena Beljo 2+ Fouls Committed5/42.25
Why this bet6 of his last 10, 1.5 per 90
Kevin Danso 1+ Shots4/51.80
Why this bet5 of his last 7, 1.14 per 90
Over 9.5 Corners5/61.83
Why this bet66% on our numbers
Niko Galesic 2+ Fouls Committed2/13.00
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 1.75 per 90
Sergi Dominguez 1+ Fouls Committed8/111.73
Why this betSergi Dominguez has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for GNK Dinamo Zagreb, at 0.94 per 90 across 958 minutes, and he averages 80 minutes a game when he plays.Sunderland hold 50.05% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Nordi Mukiele 3+ Shots5/16.00
Why this betNordi Mukiele has had 3 or more shots in 4 of his last 10 for Sunderland, at 1.74 per 90 across 1,398 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Sunderland take 14.35 shots a game and hit 4.5 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 17% implied by 5/1.
Both Teams to Score4/51.80
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 11 of Sunderland’s last 20 matches and 11 of GNK Dinamo Zagreb’s. Sunderland concede 1.60 a game and GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1.20.On the venue splits the projection is 1.35 against 1.94, which puts both teams scoring at about 59%.
Correct Score 2-115/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Sunderland 1.35 against GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1.94, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 7.6%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Sunderland, which is where the board has the match too.
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