Hapoel Be’er Sheva vs OFI Crete Predictions and Stats

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Hapoel Be’er Sheva vs OFI Crete

Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 · Europa League

Hapoel Be’er ShevaWWLWLW
OFI CreteWLWLLL
Our predictionZahi Ahmed to be Carded10/3

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Hapoel Be’er Sheva 6 in the Champions League and 3 in the Europa League and 11 in another competition, OFI Crete 5 in the Europa League and 15 across two others

Goals

1.95Scored per game1.55
1.55Conceded per game1.20
Home gamesAway games
1.70Scored1.09
1.50Conceded1.64
Correct Score 2-18/1

On the venue splits this projects Hapoel Be’er Sheva 1.86 against OFI Crete 1.52, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.5%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Hapoel Be’er Sheva, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

0.15xG for0.92
0.33xG against1.23
+1.80Goals vs xG+0.63
Hapoel Be’er Sheva to WinEvens

Hapoel Be’er Sheva come in on W W L W L W, and at home they have scored 1.70 a game and conceded 1.50 across 10 matches. They have won 12 of their last 20 overall, drawing 2.

OFI Crete average 1.55 scored and 1.20 conceded. The venue splits project 1.86 against 1.52, which puts Hapoel Be’er Sheva at about 47% to win, against 22% for the draw.

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Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals80%
65%Over 2.5 goals55%
40%Over 3.5 goals25%
Over 2.5 Goals4/6

Hapoel Be’er Sheva have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and OFI Crete in 55%, with 85% and 80% going past 1.5.

Hapoel Be’er Sheva average 1.95 scored and 1.55 conceded, OFI Crete 1.55 and 1.20. On the venue splits that projects 1.86 against 1.52, about 3.4 goals in the match and 63% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

60%Both teams scored40%
7 of 20Clean sheets9 of 20
2 of 20Failed to score4 of 20
Both Teams to Score4/7

Both teams have scored in 12 of Hapoel Be’er Sheva’s last 20 matches and 8 of OFI Crete’s. Hapoel Be’er Sheva concede 1.55 a game and OFI Crete 1.20.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.86 against 1.52, which puts both teams scoring at about 58%.

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Shots

13.12Shots per game8.75
5.12On target per game3.75
39.0%Accuracy42.9%

Corners

4.47Won per game4.40
2.06First half1.20
46.1%Share before the break27.3%
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Cards and Fouls

4.29Cards in the match4.65
2.76Own cards per game2.15
1.53Cards by half time1.25
12.88Fouls committed11.60
Under 4.5 Cards11/10

Hapoel Be’er Sheva average 4.29 cards in a match and OFI Crete 4.65, so 4.47 here. Our numbers make it 54% against the 48% the price implies.

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Shooting Detail

8.29Shots inside the box5.55
4.82Shots outside the box3.20
4.47Off target4.80
3.59Blocked2.65

Big Chances

2.29Big chances created1.20
1.29Big chances missed0.60
44%Taken50%
28.24Touches in the box11.60

Record

12-2-6Won, drawn, lost10-2-8
7 of 20Clean sheets9 of 20
2 of 20Failed to score4 of 20

Possession

57.65%Average share45.95%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Niv YehoshuaHapoel Be’er Sheva · M10860.910.251.570.411.993
Pedro AmadorHapoel Be’er Sheva · D10670.590.01.010.672.361
Guy MizrahiHapoel Be’er Sheva · D10030.810.180.990.272.421
Miguel VitorHapoel Be’er Sheva · D9340.870.191.640.962.75
Javon EastHapoel Be’er Sheva · F9141.580.791.282.360.891
Zahi AhmedHapoel Be’er Sheva · F7741.050.581.740.933.025
Igor ZlatanovicHapoel Be’er Sheva · F7443.022.061.210.60.362
Itay RotmanHapoel Be’er Sheva · D6860.660.130.920.522.11
Djibril DiopHapoel Be’er Sheva · D6850.260.131.710.02.13
Lucas VenturaHapoel Be’er Sheva · M6731.070.271.24.011.60
Forson AmankwahHapoel Be’er Sheva · M6682.160.811.481.212.160
Amir Chaim GanahHapoel Be’er Sheva · F6443.490.980.420.70.981
Hamode KanaanHapoel Be’er Sheva · M5243.261.032.231.21.891
Mohamad Abu RumiHapoel Be’er Sheva · F4702.31.152.491.152.31
Adrian UgarrizaHapoel Be’er Sheva · F4022.010.671.792.010.672
Kresimir KrizmanicOFI Crete · D13820.130.00.910.651.241
Nikolaos AthanasiouOFI Crete · D13310.680.271.012.031.562
Achilleas PoungourasOFI Crete · D12870.210.00.980.70.845
Athanasios AndroutsosOFI Crete · M11040.490.240.492.041.392
Thiago NussOFI Crete · F10392.430.952.693.381.474
Konstantinos KostoulasOFI Crete · D9401.150.190.480.860.962
Lorenzo DickmannOFI Crete · D9390.960.01.051.341.531
Taxiarchis FountasOFI Crete · F8962.610.71.211.310.92
Andreas BouchalakisOFI Crete · M8830.710.21.630.821.022
Kenan KodroOFI Crete · F7911.250.680.911.930.110
Giannis ApostolakisOFI Crete · D7801.270.350.690.811.150
Aitor CantalapiedraOFI Crete · F7661.530.470.591.410.592
Dimitrios NikolaouOFI Crete · D7530.240.00.60.480.60
Georgios KanellopoulosOFI Crete · M6010.90.31.952.41.952
Borja GonzalezOFI Crete · D5281.360.341.190.681.193
Zisis KarachaliosOFI Crete · M5110.70.182.111.591.062

Advised props

Zahi Ahmed to be Carded

Zahi Ahmed has been booked in 5 of his last 10 for Hapoel Be’er Sheva, at 0.58 per 90 across 774 minutes, and he averages 64 minutes a game when he plays.

Hapoel Be’er Sheva pick up 2.76 cards a game and there are 4.29 in their matches. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.

10/3Add
Konstantinos Kostoulas 1+ Shots

Konstantinos Kostoulas has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for OFI Crete, at 1.15 per 90 across 940 minutes, and he averages 72 minutes a game when he plays.

OFI Crete take 8.75 shots a game and hit 3.75 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 38% implied by 13/8.

13/8Add
Igor Zlatanovic Anytime Goalscorer

Igor Zlatanovic has scored in 5 of his last 10 for Hapoel Be’er Sheva, at 0.97 per 90 across 744 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.

Hapoel Be’er Sheva score 1.95 a game. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.

7/4Add
Nikolaos Athanasiou 1+ Shots on Target

Nikolaos Athanasiou has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for OFI Crete, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,331 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

OFI Crete take 8.75 shots a game and hit 3.75 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.

10/3Add
Niv Yehoshua 1+ Fouls Committed

Niv Yehoshua has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Hapoel Be’er Sheva, at 1.57 per 90 across 1,086 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

OFI Crete hold 45.95% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

TBC

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Hapoel Be’er Sheva · Last sixHapoel Be’er Sheva have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Hapoel Be’er Sheva · Last sixHapoel Be’er Sheva have picked up two or more cards in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Hapoel Be’er Sheva · Last sixHapoel Be’er Sheva have committed twelve or more fouls in every one of their last six.
1/617%OFI Crete · Last sixOFI Crete have gone past three and a half goals in one of their last six.
1/617%OFI Crete · Last sixOFI Crete have kept a clean sheet in one of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Hapoel Be’er Sheva

01 NovMaccabi Petach Tikva (A)5-2W
26 OctMaccabi Haifa (A)5-2W
22 OctRoyale Union Saint-Gil (A)0-4L
18 OctHapoel Jerusalem (H)2-1W
15 OctAZ Alkmaar (A)1-2L
10 OctIroni Tiberias (A)2-0W

OFI Crete

01 NovPanetolikos (A)1-0W
28 OctAE Larisa (A)0-1L
25 OctPAOK (H)2-1W
22 OctBayer 04 Leverkusen (H)0-2L
18 OctPS Kalamata (A)3-4L
15 OctStade Rennais (A)1-2L
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Build Your Own Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs OFI Crete Bet

Zahi Ahmed to be Carded10/34.33
Why this bet5 of his last 10, 0.58 per 90
Konstantinos Kostoulas 1+ Shots13/82.63
Why this bet6 of his last 10, 1.15 per 90
Igor Zlatanovic Anytime Goalscorer7/42.75
Why this bet5 of his last 10, 0.97 per 90
Nikolaos Athanasiou 1+ Shots on Target10/34.33
Why this betNikolaos Athanasiou has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 10 for OFI Crete, at 0.27 per 90 across 1,331 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.OFI Crete take 8.75 shots a game and hit 3.75 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.
Niv Yehoshua 1+ Fouls CommittedTBC
Why this betNiv Yehoshua has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for Hapoel Be’er Sheva, at 1.57 per 90 across 1,086 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.OFI Crete hold 45.95% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Hapoel Be’er Sheva to Win1/12.00
Why this betHapoel Be’er Sheva come in on W W L W L W, and at home they have scored 1.70 a game and conceded 1.50 across 10 matches. They have won 12 of their last 20 overall, drawing 2.OFI Crete average 1.55 scored and 1.20 conceded. The venue splits project 1.86 against 1.52, which puts Hapoel Be’er Sheva at about 47% to win, against 22% for the draw.
Both Teams to Score4/71.57
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 12 of Hapoel Be’er Sheva’s last 20 matches and 8 of OFI Crete’s. Hapoel Be’er Sheva concede 1.55 a game and OFI Crete 1.20.On the venue splits the projection is 1.86 against 1.52, which puts both teams scoring at about 58%.
Over 2.5 Goals4/61.67
Why this betHapoel Be’er Sheva have gone past 2.5 goals in 65% of their last 20 matches and OFI Crete in 55%, with 85% and 80% going past 1.5.Hapoel Be’er Sheva average 1.95 scored and 1.55 conceded, OFI Crete 1.55 and 1.20. On the venue splits that projects 1.86 against 1.52, about 3.4 goals in the match and 63% for over 2.5.
Correct Score 2-18/19.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Hapoel Be’er Sheva 1.86 against OFI Crete 1.52, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.5%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Hapoel Be’er Sheva, which is where the board has the match too.
Hapoel Be’er Sheva to Win and Both Teams to Score13/53.60
Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Hapoel Be’er Sheva to win is about 47% and both teams scoring about 58%. Hapoel Be’er Sheva score 1.95 a game and concede 1.55, and OFI Crete have scored in 8 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 13/5.
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