Reading vs Brentford Betting Tips, Bet Builder, Predictions and Stats

Reading vs Brentford betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.

Two selections, and only one of them is a bet we are making. Brentford are 74% on the market and Reading 9% – the widest gap of Tuesday’s five ties – which is why our figures and the bookmaker’s disagree so sharply on Reading’s players.

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Reading vs Brentford Betting Tips

J. Dorsett 1+ Shot — 11/8. Josh Dorsett has had a shot in 5 of his last 10 for Reading, at 0.88 per 90 across 1,052 minutes, averaging 81 minutes a match.

L. Wing 2+ Shots — 6/5. Lewis Wing has had two or more shots in 8 of his last 10 for Reading, at 2.00 per 90 across 1,800 minutes – a full 20 matches, and he averages 90 minutes in every one.

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Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model

These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.

Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.

The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.

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Player Props Bet Finder

Every player bet365 have priced for this match, with each player’s record over his last ten alongside the price. No tips, no selections – the numbers and the odds side by side.

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What We Are Leaving Out

Both teams to score at 4/6. Reading are 13 of 20 and Brentford 11 of 20, giving about 60% against a fair 56%. A four-point gap sits inside the bookmaker’s margin.

Four Reading players show gaps of 28 points or more – Wing at +35, Marriott at +34, Kyerewaa at +31 and Ward at +28. We are taking none of them as tracked selections. Our record in that band is 2 from 10, and a gap that wide against a side 74% to win reads as the market pricing something we cannot see rather than an edge.

Every card market. No cards line is priced on this fixture.

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Reading vs Brentford Prediction

We are predicting 0-2 to Brentford. The market makes it 9% Reading, 17% the draw and 74% Brentford – the shortest away price of Tuesday’s ties.

Brentford have drawn 4 of their last 6 but score 1.30 a game away against 1.40 conceded. Reading have lost 3 of their last 6 and conceded 15 in 10 at home.

Both teams to score has a real case even though we are leaving the price. Reading have scored 21 in 10 at home and Brentford have kept few clean sheets on the road – so a Reading consolation in a defeat is the likeliest way the yes lands.

The caution on all of it is rotation. Brentford at 74% will change the side, and a second-string Brentford against a Reading team playing its strongest eleven is a closer match than the price suggests.

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