Bristol City vs Lincoln City betting tips, bet builder legs and predictions from our stats model, weighing recent form, player props and the latest odds to find the best bets.
One selection, and that is the honest number. Bristol City are 48% on the market and Lincoln 25%, but only five player markets are priced on this fixture and our figures agree with the bookmaker on almost all of them.
Bristol City vs Lincoln City Team Stats
Bristol City
- L1-4at Southampton12 Sep
- W2-1at Burnley05 Sep
- W3-1at Preston North End01 Sep
- W2-1Portsmouth29 Aug
- D2-2at Birmingham City22 Aug
- L0-2Millwall15 Aug
Lincoln City
- W1-0at Preston North End12 Sep
- D1-1Southampton05 Sep
- D0-0Blackburn Rovers01 Sep
- W1-0at Bolton Wanderers29 Aug
- L1-3Portsmouth22 Aug
- L1-2at Middlesbrough15 Aug
Bristol City vs Lincoln City Betting Tips
A. Reach 2+ Shots — 13/8. Adam Reach has had two or more shots in 5 of his last 10 for Lincoln City, at 1.46 per 90 across 984 minutes, and has started all 6 this season.
Potential Bet Builder Legs Based on Our Stats Model
| Selection | Odds | Our model | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Reach 2+ Shots | 13/8 | 50% | 38% | +12 |
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin — so an edge of two or three points is within that margin rather than a genuine disagreement. Odds correct at time of writing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly — GambleAware.org.
These are legs worth considering inside a bet builder, where several combine into a price worth taking. Every one is a market where our stats model gives the selection more chance of landing than the bookmaker’s odds imply.
Our model figure is the probability our own data gives the selection. The market figure is the probability implied by the price, which includes the bookmaker’s margin – so an edge of two or three points sits inside that margin rather than being a genuine disagreement.
The bet builder below is the one we have picked from these markets.
Player Props Bet Finder
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Every player bet365 have priced for this match, with each player’s record over his last ten alongside the price. No tips, no selections – the numbers and the odds side by side.
What We Are Leaving Out
Both teams to score at 4/5. Bristol City have seen goals at both ends in 12 of their last 20 and Lincoln in 9, which gives about 53% against a fair 55%. The price is ahead of us.
The corners. 9.35 between the sides against a line of 10.5 – the under reads better on the raw numbers, but not by enough to argue with.
Every card market. No referee is appointed, so those lines rest on a league average rather than a record.
Bristol City vs Lincoln City Prediction
We are predicting 2-1 to Bristol City. The market makes it 48% Bristol City, 26% the draw and 25% Lincoln.
Bristol City have won 2 of their last 6 and score 1.00 a game at home against 1.50 conceded – a home record that does not match a 48% price. Lincoln have scored 18 in 11 away matches, the highest away scoring figure of any Championship side in midweek.
Both teams to score has a case even though we are leaving the price. Lincoln find the net on the road and Bristol City have conceded 12 in 8 at home, so the visiting goal is the part of this least in doubt.
The home win is where the market points and where their form at this level supports it, but a clean sheet is not the way to back it.
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Andy Clark is a British betting analyst and the founder and editor of Thatsagoal, a UK sports betting comparison site operated by Thatsagoal Media Limited. He has over 20 years of betting experience across football and horse racing, and personally tests every bookmaker account reviewed on the site.