Torreense vs FC Ararat-Armenia Predictions and Stats

Andy Clark
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Torreense vs FC Ararat-Armenia

Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 · Europa League

TorreenseDWLLLW
FC Ararat-ArmeniaLLLWDL
Our predictionAlejandro Alfaro to be Carded10/3

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Torreense 3 in the Europa League and 17 across three others, FC Ararat-Armenia 9 in the Conference League and 6 in the Champions League and 5 in the Europa League

Goals

1.20Scored per game1.25
1.15Conceded per game1.65
Home gamesAway games
1.44Scored1.30
1.00Conceded2.00
Correct Score 2-115/2

On the venue splits this projects Torreense 1.77 against FC Ararat-Armenia 1.25, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Torreense, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

0.12xG for0.36
0.34xG against0.72
+1.08Goals vs xG+0.89
Torreense to Win3/4

Torreense have won 7 of their last 20, drawing 7, and at home they have scored 1.44 a game and conceded 1.00 across 9 matches.

FC Ararat-Armenia average 1.25 scored and 1.65 conceded. The venue splits project 1.77 against 1.25, which puts Torreense at about 52% to win, against 23% for the draw.

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Under and Over

70%Over 1.5 goals80%
50%Over 2.5 goals55%
25%Over 3.5 goals35%
Over 2.5 GoalsEvens

Torreense have gone past 2.5 goals in 50% of their last 20 matches and FC Ararat-Armenia in 55%, with 70% and 80% going past 1.5.

Torreense average 1.20 scored and 1.15 conceded, FC Ararat-Armenia 1.25 and 1.65. On the venue splits that projects 1.77 against 1.25, about 3.0 goals in the match and 55% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

45%Both teams scored55%
8 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
7 of 20Failed to score5 of 20
Both Teams to Score19/20

Both teams have scored in 9 of Torreense’s last 20 matches and 11 of FC Ararat-Armenia’s. Torreense concede 1.15 a game and FC Ararat-Armenia 1.65.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.77 against 1.25, which puts both teams scoring at about 55%.

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Shots

4.21Shots per game8.22
1.16On target per game3.44
27.6%Accuracy41.8%

Corners

2.00Won per game4.33
0.79First half0.89
39.5%Share before the break20.6%
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Cards and Fouls

5.16Cards in the match4.89
2.42Own cards per game2.44
0.74Cards by half time1.00
5.21Fouls committed11.78

Shooting Detail

2.79Shots inside the box3.89
1.42Shots outside the box3.56
1.68Off target4.33
1.37Blocked2.78

Big Chances

0.68Big chances created0.78
0.42Big chances missed0.44
38%Taken44%
7.89Touches in the box8.89

Record

7-7-6Won, drawn, lost6-4-10
8 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
7 of 20Failed to score5 of 20

Possession

19.68%Average share42.33%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Alejandro AlfaroTorreense · M13271.020.141.491.631.566
Dany JeanTorreense · F12831.960.561.121.891.124
Javi VazquezTorreense · D11560.470.080.780.781.011
Mohamed Ali DiadieTorreense · D11470.390.160.781.330.712
David BrunoTorreense · D11460.160.080.790.310.942
StopiraTorreense · D10561.280.340.770.340.854
VolneiTorreense · D8930.910.11.110.50.910
Musa DrammehTorreense · F8852.540.811.532.950.21
Amine OudrhiriTorreense · M6630.540.271.631.490.143
Luis QuinteroTorreense · F6001.20.60.90.00.90
Manuel PozoTorreense · F5662.391.110.950.951.272
Joao MarquesTorreense · M4870.550.01.292.771.851
Andre SimoesTorreense · M4871.290.180.552.592.031
Leo AzevedoTorreense · M4371.030.01.851.032.472
Edgar GrigoryanFC Ararat-Armenia · D4190.430.210.860.861.932
Artur SerobyanFC Ararat-Armenia · F4013.591.120.452.691.81

Advised props

Alejandro Alfaro to be Carded

Alejandro Alfaro has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Torreense, at 0.41 per 90 across 1,327 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.

Torreense pick up 2.42 cards a game and there are 5.16 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.

10/3Add
Amine Oudrhiri 1+ Fouls Committed

Amine Oudrhiri has committed a foul in 8 of his last 9 for Torreense, at 1.63 per 90 across 663 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

FC Ararat-Armenia hold 42.33% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

TBC

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Torreense · Last six at homeTorreense have won six or more corners in 0 of their last six at home.
0/60%Torreense · Last sixTorreense have won five or more corners in 0 of their last six.
6/6100%FC Ararat-Armenia · Last six awayFC Ararat-Armenia have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six on the road.
0/60%FC Ararat-Armenia · Last six awayFC Ararat-Armenia have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Torreense

31 OctPortimonense (A)0-0D
26 OctAmarante FC (H)1-0W
22 OctFerencvaros TC (A)1-4L
15 OctSunderland (H)1-2L
10 OctTondela (A)0-1L
17 SepLillestrom SK (A)2-1W

FC Ararat-Armenia

22 OctAZ Alkmaar (H)0-4L
15 OctJagiellonia Bialystok (A)1-3L
16 SepAC Sparta Praha (H)1-4L
27 AugUniversitatea Craiova (H)1-0W
20 AugUniversitatea Craiova (A)1-1D
11 AugNK Celje (A)0-2L
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Build Your Own Torreense vs FC Ararat-Armenia Bet

Alejandro Alfaro to be Carded10/34.33
Why this bet4 of his last 10, 0.41 per 90
Over 2.5 Goals1/12.00
Why this bet55% on our numbers
Amine Oudrhiri 1+ Fouls CommittedTBC
Why this betAmine Oudrhiri has committed a foul in 8 of his last 9 for Torreense, at 1.63 per 90 across 663 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.FC Ararat-Armenia hold 42.33% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Both Teams to Score19/201.95
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 9 of Torreense’s last 20 matches and 11 of FC Ararat-Armenia’s. Torreense concede 1.15 a game and FC Ararat-Armenia 1.65.On the venue splits the projection is 1.77 against 1.25, which puts both teams scoring at about 55%.
Correct Score 2-115/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Torreense 1.77 against FC Ararat-Armenia 1.25, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Torreense, which is where the board has the match too.
Torreense to Win and Both Teams to Score3/14.00
Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Torreense to win is about 52% and both teams scoring about 55%. Torreense score 1.20 a game and concede 1.15, and FC Ararat-Armenia have scored in 11 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 3/1.
Over 4.5 Cards5/61.83
Why this betTorreense average 5.16 cards in a match and FC Ararat-Armenia 4.89, so 5.03 here. Our numbers make it 56% against the 55% the price implies.
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