Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

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Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City

Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 · Premier League

Nottingham ForestLDLLLW
Manchester CityWLLWWL

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Nottingham Forest 16 in the Premier League and 4 in the Europa League, Manchester City 16 in the Premier League and 4 in the Champions League

Goals

1.30Scored per game2.30
1.25Conceded per game1.20
Home gamesAway games
0.90Scored2.11
0.70Conceded1.00
Correct Score 1-28/1

On the venue splits this projects Nottingham Forest 1.33 against Manchester City 1.50, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.9%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Manchester City, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.49xG for2.11
1.36xG against1.28
-0.19Goals vs xG+0.19
Manchester City to Win8/11

Manchester City have won 14 of their last 20, drawing 2, and on the road they have scored 2.11 a game and conceded 1.00 across 9 matches.

Nottingham Forest average 1.30 scored and 1.25 conceded. The venue splits project 1.33 against 1.50, which puts Manchester City at about 48% to win, against 25% for the draw.

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Under and Over

70%Over 1.5 goals80%
40%Over 2.5 goals70%
35%Over 3.5 goals35%
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Both Teams to Score

55%Both teams scored60%
4 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score1 of 20
Both Teams to Score8/13

Both teams have scored in 11 of Nottingham Forest’s last 20 matches and 12 of Manchester City’s. Nottingham Forest concede 1.25 a game and Manchester City 1.20.

On the venue splits the projection is 1.33 against 1.50, which puts both teams scoring at about 57%.

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Shots

14.00Shots per game17.40
3.90On target per game6.05
27.9%Accuracy34.8%

Corners

4.60Won per game7.15
2.40First half3.80
52.2%Share before the break53.1%
Over 9.5 Corners5/6

Nottingham Forest win 4.6 corners a game and Manchester City 7.15, with 2.4 and 3.8 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 12 in the match, a 74% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.

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Cards and Fouls

3.30Cards in the match3.50
1.75Own cards per game1.50
1.05Cards by half time0.75
12.65Fouls committed9.80

Shooting Detail

9.25Shots inside the box12.65
4.85Shots outside the box4.75
5.90Off target6.00
4.20Blocked5.35

Big Chances

2.60Big chances created3.90
1.70Big chances missed2.45
35%Taken37%
23.70Touches in the box42.95

Record

6-7-7Won, drawn, lost14-2-4
4 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
6 of 20Failed to score1 of 20

Possession

47.15%Average share63.10%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Neco WilliamsNottingham Forest · D16891.440.370.851.282.42
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest · F14242.40.880.630.880.820
Nikola MilenkovicNottingham Forest · D12850.280.01.40.351.612
JairNottingham Forest · D11140.320.160.810.971.293
MurilloNottingham Forest · D10591.530.341.360.172.044
James McAteeNottingham Forest · M10241.850.531.051.582.23
Ola AinaNottingham Forest · D8710.410.10.721.342.693
Dan NdoyeNottingham Forest · F7562.620.481.431.430.711
Chris WoodNottingham Forest · F6991.670.770.640.520.00
MoratoNottingham Forest · D6800.130.131.060.01.462
Xaver SchlagerNottingham Forest · M6671.620.131.350.673.781
Omari HutchinsonNottingham Forest · M6571.10.551.371.231.372
Liam DelapNottingham Forest · F5933.640.462.281.210.612
Ibrahim SangareNottingham Forest · M5680.320.01.90.952.220
Daniel MunozNottingham Forest · D5191.390.171.910.353.471
Erling HaalandManchester City · F15204.22.070.830.590.122
Marc GuehiManchester City · D14850.480.121.031.390.792
Abdukodir KhusanovManchester City · D12250.440.220.810.372.22
Matheus NunesManchester City · D11910.080.080.530.451.441
Rayan CherkiManchester City · M11643.631.080.851.010.542
Ruben DiasManchester City · D11290.480.241.430.160.720
Elliot AndersonManchester City · M9891.180.271.373.193.092
Josko GvardiolManchester City · D9371.150.581.151.342.54
Nico O’ReillyManchester City · D8651.660.521.770.731.462
Enzo FernandezManchester City · M8562.10.631.162.210.841
Jeremy DokuManchester City · F8552.840.950.743.791.051
Phil FodenManchester City · M8462.230.850.741.381.381
Iliman NdiayeManchester City · M6572.60.820.682.881.370
Bernardo SilvaManchester City · M5511.80.160.330.492.941

Advised props

Murillo 1+ Shots

Murillo has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Nottingham Forest, at 1.53 per 90 across 1,059 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

Nottingham Forest take 14.0 shots a game and hit 3.9 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Enzo Fernandez 1+ Shots on Target

Enzo Fernandez has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.63 per 90 across 856 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.

Manchester City take 17.4 shots a game and hit 6.05 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.

4/5Add
Erling Haaland 3+ Shots on Target

Erling Haaland has had 3 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 2.07 per 90 across 1,520 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.

Manchester City take 17.4 shots a game and hit 6.05 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

11/4Add
Ruben Dias 2+ Fouls Committed

Ruben Dias has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.43 per 90 across 1,129 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.

Nottingham Forest hold 47.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.

9/4Add
Marc Guehi 1+ Fouls Committed

Marc Guehi has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.03 per 90 across 1,485 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

Nottingham Forest hold 47.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

8/11Add

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Nottingham Forest · Last sixNottingham Forest have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six.
0/60%Nottingham Forest · Last six at homeNottingham Forest have gone past two and a half goals in 0 of their last six at home.
0/60%Nottingham Forest · Last six at homeNottingham Forest have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six at home.
0/60%Manchester City · Last sixManchester City have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six.
6/6100%Manchester City · Last six awayManchester City have picked up two or more cards in every one of their last six on the road.
6/6100%Manchester City · Last six awayManchester City have scored in every one of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Nottingham Forest

31 OctBrentford (A)0-2L
23 OctIpswich Town (A)1-1D
18 OctArsenal (H)0-1L
11 OctCrystal Palace (A)1-3L
19 SepCoventry City (H)0-1L
12 SepAston Villa (A)2-1W

Manchester City

04 NovRB Leipzig (A)3-2W
31 OctBrighton and Hove Albion (H)0-1L
24 OctAston Villa (A)1-2L
20 OctAEK Athens (H)5-1W
17 OctIpswich Town (H)3-2W
14 OctParis Saint-Germain (H)2-4L
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Build Your Own Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Bet

Murillo 1+ Shots
Why this betMurillo has had a shot in 7 of his last 10 for Nottingham Forest, at 1.53 per 90 across 1,059 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.Nottingham Forest take 14.0 shots a game and hit 3.9 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Enzo Fernandez 1+ Shots on Target4/51.80
Why this betEnzo Fernandez has had a shot on target in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.63 per 90 across 856 minutes, and he averages 78 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City take 17.4 shots a game and hit 6.05 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 56% implied by 4/5.
Erling Haaland 3+ Shots on Target11/43.75
Why this betErling Haaland has had 3 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 2.07 per 90 across 1,520 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City take 17.4 shots a game and hit 6.05 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
Ruben Dias 2+ Fouls Committed9/43.25
Why this betRuben Dias has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.43 per 90 across 1,129 minutes, and he averages 81 minutes a game when he plays.Nottingham Forest hold 47.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 31% implied by 9/4.
Marc Guehi 1+ Fouls Committed8/111.73
Why this betMarc Guehi has committed a foul in 6 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.03 per 90 across 1,485 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Nottingham Forest hold 47.15% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer8/111.73
Why this betErling Haaland has scored in 9 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 1.12 per 90 across 1,520 minutes, and he averages 89 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City score 2.30 a game. That is about 90% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Josko Gvardiol to be Carded11/26.50
Why this betJosko Gvardiol has been booked in 4 of his last 10 for Manchester City, at 0.38 per 90 across 937 minutes, and he averages 67 minutes a game when he plays.Manchester City pick up 1.5 cards a game and there are 3.5 in their matches. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 15% implied by 11/2.
James McAtee to be Carded15/44.75
Why this betJames McAtee has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Nottingham Forest, at 0.26 per 90 across 1,024 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.Nottingham Forest pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.3 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 21% implied by 15/4.
Ola Aina to be Carded10/34.33
Why this betOla Aina has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Nottingham Forest, at 0.31 per 90 across 871 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Nottingham Forest pick up 1.75 cards a game and there are 3.3 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 23% implied by 10/3.
Over 9.5 Corners5/61.83
Why this betNottingham Forest win 4.6 corners a game and Manchester City 7.15, with 2.4 and 3.8 of those in the first half.That leaves about 12 in the match, a 74% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Manchester City to Win8/111.73
Why this betManchester City have won 14 of their last 20, drawing 2, and on the road they have scored 2.11 a game and conceded 1.00 across 9 matches.Nottingham Forest average 1.30 scored and 1.25 conceded. The venue splits project 1.33 against 1.50, which puts Manchester City at about 48% to win, against 25% for the draw.
Both Teams to Score8/131.62
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 11 of Nottingham Forest’s last 20 matches and 12 of Manchester City’s. Nottingham Forest concede 1.25 a game and Manchester City 1.20.On the venue splits the projection is 1.33 against 1.50, which puts both teams scoring at about 57%.
Correct Score 1-28/19.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Nottingham Forest 1.33 against Manchester City 1.50, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Manchester City, which is where the board has the match too.
Manchester City to Win and Both Teams to Score11/53.20
Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Manchester City to win is about 48% and both teams scoring about 57%. Manchester City score 2.30 a game and concede 1.20, and Nottingham Forest have scored in 11 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 11/5.
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