Belarus vs Albania Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
Belarus v Albania - Nations League predictions and stats
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Belarus vs Albania

Sun 15 Nov, 17:00 · Nations League

BelarusWWWDLD
AlbaniaWWLWWL

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Belarus 6 in the Nations League and 14 across two others, Albania 6 in the Nations League and 14 across two others

Goals

1.65Scored per game1.20
1.45Conceded per game0.85
Home gamesAway games
1.78Scored1.00
1.78Conceded0.89
Correct Score 0-19/2

On the venue splits this projects Belarus 1.23 against Albania 1.23, and 0-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.9%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Albania, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

0.97xG for1.09
1.61xG against0.87
+0.68Goals vs xG+0.11

Under and Over

80%Over 1.5 goals60%
55%Over 2.5 goals35%
45%Over 3.5 goals5%
Over 2.5 Goals11/8

Belarus are expected 1.33 at home and Albania 1.39 away, so 2.72 in the match. Our numbers make it 51% against the 42% the price implies.

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Both Teams to Score

45%Both teams scored30%
8 of 20Clean sheets9 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score6 of 20
No Both Teams to Score8/13

Both teams have scored in 9 of Belarus’ last 20 matches and 6 of Albania’s. Belarus have kept 8 clean sheets in that run and failed to score in 5, against 9 and 6 for Albania.

At home Belarus score 1.78 a game and concede 1.78; away from home Albania score 1.00 and concede 0.89. That puts at least one side blanking at about 56%.

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Shots

8.62Shots per game12.44
3.50On target per game3.62
40.6%Accuracy29.1%

Corners

4.00Won per game4.62
1.44First half2.12
36.0%Share before the break45.9%
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Cards and Fouls

4.12Cards in the match3.56
2.69Own cards per game1.50
1.12Cards by half time1.44
14.75Fouls committed9.94

Shooting Detail

4.94Shots inside the box7.56
2.88Shots outside the box4.88
4.75Off target5.75
3.00Blocked3.06

Big Chances

0.75Big chances created1.94
0.44Big chances missed1.19
41%Taken39%
14.75Touches in the box20.44

Record

9-5-6Won, drawn, lost10-2-8
8 of 20Clean sheets9 of 20
5 of 20Failed to score6 of 20

Possession

40.81%Average share55.06%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Max EbongBelarus · M11281.440.481.521.20.882
Kirill PecheninBelarus · D9720.930.281.020.462.593
Pavel ZabelinBelarus · D6610.680.140.820.271.50
Valeriy GromykoBelarus · F6581.640.552.051.781.642
Evgeniy YablonskiyBelarus · M5650.80.02.871.121.911
Zakhar VolkovBelarus · D5570.480.160.480.651.781
German BarkovskiyBelarus · F5541.620.651.952.920.813
Trofim MelnichenkoBelarus · F4963.450.912.183.270.731
Vitaliy LisakovichBelarus · F4590.390.01.570.980.590
Kirill GomanovBelarus · D4050.220.221.560.670.670
Kristjan AsllaniAlbania · M14212.030.70.442.411.332
Berat DjimsitiAlbania · D11920.680.080.380.380.533
Mario MitajAlbania · D10640.080.081.350.851.443
Qazim LaciAlbania · F9481.80.280.851.232.090
Elseid HysajAlbania · D9240.290.00.680.781.272
Arber HoxhaAlbania · F8501.80.530.741.590.850
Juljan ShehuAlbania · M8350.650.111.192.593.021
Rey ManajAlbania · F8183.961.651.982.531.211
Ardian IsmajliAlbania · D7920.340.00.911.250.451
Arlind AjetiAlbania · D7380.490.120.610.240.981
Myrto UzuniAlbania · F6511.380.411.81.241.241
Ylber RamadaniAlbania · M5990.450.01.951.052.253
Armando BrojaAlbania · F5690.320.00.161.740.160
Nedim BajramiAlbania · M4372.680.820.820.210.622
Ivan BalliuAlbania · D4240.00.00.210.421.060
Ernest MuciAlbania · F4212.991.070.211.51.070

Advised props

Rey Manaj 2+ Shots

Rey Manaj has had 2 or more shots in 9 of his last 10 for Albania, at 3.96 per 90 across 818 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

Albania take 12.44 shots a game and hit 3.62 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Trends

Window shown per line
5/5100%Belarus · Last sixBelarus have picked up two or more cards in every one of their last six.
5/5100%Belarus · Last sixBelarus have committed twelve or more fouls in every one of their last six.
0/60%Albania · Last sixAlbania have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six.
0/60%Albania · Last six awayAlbania have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six on the road.
5/5100%Albania · Last sixAlbania have won five or more corners in every one of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Belarus

12 NovSan Marino (A)2-0W
06 OctFinland (H)1-0W
03 OctSan Marino (H)4-0W
29 SepFinland (A)0-0D
26 SepAlbania (A)0-2L
09 JunBurkina Faso (H)2-2D

Albania

12 NovFinland (H)2-0W
06 OctSan Marino (H)2-1W
03 OctFinland (A)1-2L
29 SepSan Marino (A)3-0W
26 SepBelarus (H)2-0W
06 JunLuxembourg (H)0-1L
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Build Your Own Belarus vs Albania Bet

Rey Manaj 2+ Shots
Why this betRey Manaj has had 2 or more shots in 9 of his last 10 for Albania, at 3.96 per 90 across 818 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Albania take 12.44 shots a game and hit 3.62 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
No Both Teams to Score8/131.62
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 9 of Belarus’ last 20 matches and 6 of Albania’s. Belarus have kept 8 clean sheets in that run and failed to score in 5, against 9 and 6 for Albania.At home Belarus score 1.78 a game and concede 1.78; away from home Albania score 1.00 and concede 0.89. That puts at least one side blanking at about 56%.
Correct Score 0-19/25.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Belarus 1.23 against Albania 1.23, and 0-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Albania, which is where the board has the match too.
Both Teams to Score6/52.20
Why this betBoth sides are expected to score – 1.33 and 1.39. Our numbers make it 55% against the 45% the price implies.
Over 2.5 Goals11/82.38
Why this betBelarus are expected 1.33 at home and Albania 1.39 away, so 2.72 in the match. Our numbers make it 51% against the 42% the price implies.
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