Switzerland vs Scotland Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
Switzerland v Scotland - Nations League predictions and stats
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Switzerland vs Scotland

Mon 16 Nov, 19:45 · Nations League

SwitzerlandDWWWWD
ScotlandWLWLDL

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Switzerland 5 in the Nations League and 15 across three others, Scotland 5 in the Nations League and 15 across three others

Goals

1.95Scored per game1.60
0.65Conceded per game1.15
Home gamesAway games
2.55Scored1.88
0.91Conceded0.38
Correct Score 1-05/1

On the venue splits this projects Switzerland 1.40 against Scotland 1.05, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 12.1%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Switzerland, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.27xG for1.39
0.73xG against1.10
+0.68Goals vs xG+0.21
Switzerland to Win7/10

Switzerland come in on D W W W W D, and at home they have scored 2.55 a game and conceded 0.91 across 11 matches. They have won 11 of their last 20 overall, drawing 8.

Scotland average 1.60 scored and 1.15 conceded. The venue splits project 1.40 against 1.05, which puts Switzerland at about 50% to win, against 27% for the draw.

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Under and Over

80%Over 1.5 goals70%
50%Over 2.5 goals60%
20%Over 3.5 goals35%
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Both Teams to Score

50%Both teams scored40%
10 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
4 of 20Failed to score7 of 20

Shots

13.30Shots per game13.20
5.50On target per game5.00
41.4%Accuracy37.9%

Corners

5.00Won per game5.20
2.80First half2.05
56.0%Share before the break39.4%
Over 8.5 Corners4/6

Switzerland win 5.0 corners a game and Scotland 5.2, with 2.8 and 2.05 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 10 in the match, a 69% chance of 9 or more against the 60% implied by 4/6.

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Cards and Fouls

2.60Cards in the match3.50
0.70Own cards per game1.40
0.95Cards by half time1.05
10.35Fouls committed12.80

Shooting Detail

8.40Shots inside the box10.10
4.90Shots outside the box3.10
4.80Off target4.95
3.00Blocked3.25

Big Chances

2.45Big chances created2.70
1.35Big chances missed1.85
45%Taken31%
24.20Touches in the box26.20

Record

11-8-1Won, drawn, lost10-2-8
10 of 20Clean sheets7 of 20
4 of 20Failed to score7 of 20

Possession

59.55%Average share49.10%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Manuel AkanjiSwitzerland · D17460.310.050.620.361.242
Nico ElvediSwitzerland · D17390.470.210.570.881.041
Remo FreulerSwitzerland · M15610.580.120.920.582.080
Dan NdoyeSwitzerland · F14003.471.861.092.571.291
Ricardo RodriguezSwitzerland · D13600.330.070.990.331.260
Granit XhakaSwitzerland · M12211.470.590.661.70.883
Breel EmboloSwitzerland · F11761.911.221.152.60.541
Fabian RiederSwitzerland · M9931.90.541.631.541.990
Johan ManzambiSwitzerland · M8352.81.40.862.691.190
Michel AebischerSwitzerland · F8131.110.221.660.891.661
Ruben VargasSwitzerland · M8011.350.671.691.011.350
Silvan WidmerSwitzerland · D7280.370.120.620.121.610
Djibril SowSwitzerland · M6730.670.131.342.141.20
Denis ZakariaSwitzerland · M6161.020.440.880.582.192
Zeki AmdouniSwitzerland · F5423.651.661.492.321.330
Ardon JashariSwitzerland · M5271.370.171.20.510.340
Andy RobertsonScotland · D16300.610.110.550.330.882
Lewis FergusonScotland · M15530.810.122.841.562.324
John McGinnScotland · M15251.480.591.03.360.713
Scott McTominayScotland · F11652.631.160.931.310.390
Che AdamsScotland · F9113.161.381.680.990.31
Ben Gannon-DoakScotland · D9061.890.791.291.091.891
Billy GilmourScotland · M9041.290.41.01.291.190
Ryan ChristieScotland · M8161.760.991.11.321.543
Jack HendryScotland · D7930.570.110.910.680.680
Grant HanleyScotland · D7180.50.130.630.50.750
John SouttarScotland · D6130.440.150.880.880.591
Aaron HickeyScotland · D6030.750.151.342.391.342
Kenny McLeanScotland · M5270.680.340.681.372.222
Kieran TierneyScotland · D4680.960.190.960.582.311
Nathan PattersonScotland · D4310.210.00.840.631.880

Advised props

Dan Ndoye 2+ Shots on Target

Dan Ndoye has had 2 or more shots on target in 5 of his last 10 for Switzerland, at 1.86 per 90 across 1,400 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

Switzerland take 13.3 shots a game and hit 5.5 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.

7/4Add
Lewis Ferguson 3+ Fouls Committed

Lewis Ferguson has committed 3 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Scotland, at 2.84 per 90 across 1,553 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.

Switzerland hold 59.55% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.

5/4Add

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Switzerland · Last sixSwitzerland have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six.
6/6100%Switzerland · Last sixSwitzerland are unbeaten in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Switzerland · Last six at homeSwitzerland are unbeaten in every one of their last six at home.
0/60%Scotland · Last sixScotland have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six.
5/683%Scotland · Last sixScotland have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six.
1/617%Scotland · Last sixScotland have picked up two or more cards in one of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Switzerland

13 NovSlovenia (A)0-0D
06 OctNorth Macedonia (H)3-0W
03 OctSlovenia (H)2-1W
29 SepScotland (A)3-0W
26 SepNorth Macedonia (A)3-0W
12 JulArgentina (A)1-1D

Scotland

13 NovNorth Macedonia (H)2-1W
06 OctSlovenia (H)1-2L
03 OctNorth Macedonia (A)2-0W
29 SepSwitzerland (H)0-3L
26 SepSlovenia (A)0-0D
24 JunBrazil (H)0-3L
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Build Your Own Switzerland vs Scotland Bet

Dan Ndoye 2+ Shots on Target7/42.75
Why this betDan Ndoye has had 2 or more shots on target in 5 of his last 10 for Switzerland, at 1.86 per 90 across 1,400 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Switzerland take 13.3 shots a game and hit 5.5 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
Lewis Ferguson 3+ Fouls Committed5/42.25
Why this betLewis Ferguson has committed 3 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Scotland, at 2.84 per 90 across 1,553 minutes, and he averages 86 minutes a game when he plays.Switzerland hold 59.55% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 44% implied by 5/4.
Over 8.5 Corners4/61.67
Why this betSwitzerland win 5.0 corners a game and Scotland 5.2, with 2.8 and 2.05 of those in the first half.That leaves about 10 in the match, a 69% chance of 9 or more against the 60% implied by 4/6.
Switzerland to Win7/101.70
Why this betSwitzerland come in on D W W W W D, and at home they have scored 2.55 a game and conceded 0.91 across 11 matches. They have won 11 of their last 20 overall, drawing 8.Scotland average 1.60 scored and 1.15 conceded. The venue splits project 1.40 against 1.05, which puts Switzerland at about 50% to win, against 27% for the draw.
Correct Score 1-05/16.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Switzerland 1.40 against Scotland 1.05, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 12.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Switzerland, which is where the board has the match too.
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