Latvia vs Armenia Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
Latvia v Armenia - Nations League predictions and stats
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Latvia vs Armenia

Sun 15 Nov, 14:00 · Nations League

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Latvia 10 in the Nations League and 10 across two others, Armenia 9 in the Nations League and 11 across two others

Goals

0.60Scored per game0.90
1.35Conceded per game2.35
Home gamesAway games
0.67Scored0.89
1.44Conceded3.11
Correct Score 0-111/2

On the venue splits this projects Latvia 1.30 against Armenia 1.04, and 0-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.7%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Armenia, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

0.77xG for0.60
1.41xG against1.58
-0.17Goals vs xG+0.30

Under and Over

55%Over 1.5 goals80%
40%Over 2.5 goals50%
10%Over 3.5 goals30%
Under 2.5 Goals4/7

Latvia have stayed under 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Armenia in 50%, with just 10% and 30% of their matches going past 3.5.

Latvia average 0.60 scored and 1.35 conceded, Armenia 0.90 and 2.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.30 against 1.04, about 2.3 goals in the match and 57% for under 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

40%Both teams scored55%
6 of 20Clean sheets2 of 20
9 of 20Failed to score8 of 20

Shots

8.94Shots per game11.53
2.28On target per game3.73
25.5%Accuracy32.4%

Corners

3.56Won per game5.20
1.72First half2.13
48.3%Share before the break41.0%
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Cards and Fouls

3.89Cards in the match2.87
2.11Own cards per game1.53
1.11Cards by half time0.73
11.39Fouls committed10.20

Shooting Detail

6.33Shots inside the box5.80
2.61Shots outside the box5.73
4.22Off target4.53
2.44Blocked3.27

Big Chances

1.56Big chances created1.53
1.17Big chances missed0.93
25%Taken39%
15.11Touches in the box16.13

Record

3-6-11Won, drawn, lost3-5-12
6 of 20Clean sheets2 of 20
9 of 20Failed to score8 of 20

Possession

44.39%Average share47.87%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Dmitrijs ZelenkovsLatvia · M16030.620.110.621.071.122
Andrejs CiganiksLatvia · F15290.710.061.060.592.03
Raivis JurkovskisLatvia · D13050.140.00.480.342.142
Antonijs CernomordijsLatvia · D12580.570.211.570.720.646
Daniels BalodisLatvia · D10280.260.00.440.351.42
Vladislavs GutkovskisLatvia · F10022.340.632.342.160.363
Lukass VapneLatvia · M9960.990.360.720.631.991
Renars VarslavansLatvia · F8031.340.450.782.351.911
Janis IkaunieksLatvia · M8031.680.340.670.781.341
Roberts SavalnieksLatvia · D7330.490.01.60.981.355
Deniss MelniksLatvia · D7240.620.251.120.371.121
Aleksejs SaveljevsLatvia · M5580.160.01.130.971.941
Eduards DaskevicsLatvia · F5510.980.491.312.610.981
Roberts UldrikisLatvia · F4892.940.921.841.470.371
Nair TiknizyanArmenia · D13200.750.070.890.551.70
Georgiy HarutyunyanArmenia · D10980.250.160.570.251.893
Eduard SpertsyanArmenia · M10242.21.050.71.761.321
Ugochukwu IwuArmenia · M9780.640.00.550.462.580
Erik PiloyanArmenia · D8550.110.00.950.840.951
Sergey MuradyanArmenia · D7610.120.00.710.471.062
Kamo HovhannisyanArmenia · M5660.00.00.950.322.231
Artur SerobyanArmenia · F4702.681.151.721.341.342
Tigran BarseghyanArmenia · F4693.071.341.541.540.580
Styopa MkrtchyanArmenia · D4500.20.01.21.81.40
Edgar SevikyanArmenia · M4471.611.012.011.411.214
Grant-Leon RanosArmenia · F4411.430.611.220.820.411
Artur MiranyanArmenia · F4380.410.210.821.030.820
Vahan BichakhchyanArmenia · M4293.361.470.211.051.260
Zhirayr ShaghoyanArmenia · F4191.720.430.860.431.51
Lucas ZelarayanArmenia · M4172.590.651.511.730.430

Advised props

Eduard Spertsyan 1+ Shots

Eduard Spertsyan has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Armenia, at 2.2 per 90 across 1,024 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.

Armenia take 11.53 shots a game and hit 3.73 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Antonijs Cernomordijs 1+ Fouls Committed

Antonijs Cernomordijs has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for Latvia, at 1.57 per 90 across 1,258 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Armenia hold 47.87% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Trends

Window shown per line
0/60%Latvia · Last sixLatvia have gone past three and a half goals in 0 of their last six.
0/60%Armenia · Last six awayArmenia have won in 0 of their last six on the road.
0/50%Armenia · Last six awayArmenia have committed twelve or more fouls in 0 of their last six on the road.
0/50%Armenia · Last six awayArmenia have seen five or more cards in the match in 0 of their last six on the road.
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Build Your Own Latvia vs Armenia Bet

Eduard Spertsyan 1+ Shots
Why this betEduard Spertsyan has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Armenia, at 2.2 per 90 across 1,024 minutes, and he averages 85 minutes a game when he plays.Armenia take 11.53 shots a game and hit 3.73 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Antonijs Cernomordijs 1+ Fouls Committed
Why this betAntonijs Cernomordijs has committed a foul in 10 of his last 10 for Latvia, at 1.57 per 90 across 1,258 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Armenia hold 47.87% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Under 2.5 Goals4/71.57
Why this betLatvia have stayed under 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches and Armenia in 50%, with just 10% and 30% of their matches going past 3.5.Latvia average 0.60 scored and 1.35 conceded, Armenia 0.90 and 2.35. On the venue splits that projects 1.30 against 1.04, about 2.3 goals in the match and 57% for under 2.5.
Correct Score 0-111/26.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Latvia 1.30 against Armenia 1.04, and 0-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 10.7%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Armenia, which is where the board has the match too.
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