Croatia vs Czechia Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
Croatia v Czechia - Nations League predictions and stats
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Croatia vs Czechia

Sun 15 Nov, 19:45 · Nations League

CroatiaLLLLWL
CzechiaLLLLLL

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Croatia 5 in the Nations League and 15 across three others, Czechia 5 in the Nations League and 15 across three others

Goals

1.75Scored per game1.30
1.70Conceded per game1.55
Home gamesAway games
2.10Scored1.00
1.80Conceded2.50
Correct Score 2-115/2

On the venue splits this projects Croatia 2.03 against Czechia 1.34, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.9%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Croatia, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.59xG for1.16
1.44xG against1.42
+0.16Goals vs xG+0.14
Croatia to Win4/7

Croatia have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 1, and at home they have scored 2.10 a game and conceded 1.80 across 10 matches.

Czechia average 1.30 scored and 1.55 conceded. The venue splits project 2.03 against 1.34, which puts Croatia at about 57% to win, against 21% for the draw.

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Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals90%
80%Over 2.5 goals55%
40%Over 3.5 goals25%
Over 2.5 Goals4/6

Croatia have gone past 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 20 matches and Czechia in 55%, with 85% and 90% going past 1.5.

Croatia average 1.75 scored and 1.70 conceded, Czechia 1.30 and 1.55. On the venue splits that projects 2.03 against 1.34, about 3.4 goals in the match and 66% for over 2.5.

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Both Teams to Score

65%Both teams scored55%
5 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
3 of 20Failed to score5 of 20
Both Teams to Score8/11

Both teams have scored in 13 of Croatia’s last 20 matches and 11 of Czechia’s. Croatia concede 1.70 a game and Czechia 1.55.

On the venue splits the projection is 2.03 against 1.34, which puts both teams scoring at about 62%.

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Shots

14.75Shots per game10.67
5.15On target per game3.22
34.9%Accuracy30.2%

Corners

5.50Won per game4.83
2.45First half1.39
44.5%Share before the break28.8%
Over 8.5 Corners5/6

Croatia win 5.5 corners a game and Czechia 4.83, with 2.45 and 1.39 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 10 in the match, a 70% chance of 9 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.

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Cards and Fouls

2.50Cards in the match3.11
1.35Own cards per game1.28
0.90Cards by half time0.78
9.30Fouls committed14.39
Under 3.5 Cards5/6

Croatia average 2.50 cards in a match and Czechia 3.11, so 2.80 here. Our numbers make it 69% against the 55% the price implies.

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Shooting Detail

10.05Shots inside the box7.17
4.70Shots outside the box3.50
5.80Off target5.17
3.80Blocked3.39

Big Chances

3.00Big chances created1.94
1.90Big chances missed1.22
37%Taken37%
28.05Touches in the box19.83

Record

11-1-8Won, drawn, lost6-5-9
5 of 20Clean sheets5 of 20
3 of 20Failed to score5 of 20

Possession

55.70%Average share45.33%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Ivan PerisicCroatia · M14071.731.020.960.321.284
Josip StanisicCroatia · D13040.350.070.070.481.170
Petar SucicCroatia · F12861.190.421.41.681.824
Josko GvardiolCroatia · D11060.570.160.570.811.870
Luka ModricCroatia · M11011.550.570.570.821.142
Mateo KovacicCroatia · M8601.360.520.941.361.671
Martin BaturinaCroatia · M8461.060.210.643.190.741
Mario PasalicCroatia · M8461.60.430.640.740.641
Luka VuskovicCroatia · D8250.760.221.750.651.422
Andrej KramaricCroatia · F6833.291.320.40.530.131
Nikola VlasicCroatia · F6261.870.581.440.582.011
Marco PasalicCroatia · F6252.880.860.431.151.581
Ante BudimirCroatia · F5873.371.382.152.450.921
Igor MatanovicCroatia · F5013.951.082.692.340.90
Duje Caleta-CarCroatia · D4630.970.391.170.390.02
Franjo IvanovicCroatia · F4382.880.412.260.821.231
Vladimir CoufalCzechia · D11860.230.150.680.461.063
Tomas SoucekCzechia · M8631.460.312.090.831.560
Lukas CervCzechia · M8021.350.451.012.132.361
Patrik SchickCzechia · F7292.351.111.480.990.740
Lukas ProvodCzechia · F7112.150.381.771.141.270
Michal SadilekCzechia · M7071.650.381.271.152.293
Jaroslav ZelenyCzechia · D6730.130.01.470.531.071
Stepan ChaloupekCzechia · D5770.160.00.620.311.721
Adam HlozekCzechia · M5591.930.641.131.610.480
Tomas HolesCzechia · D4690.00.01.150.581.151
Tomas ChoryCzechia · F4211.710.642.991.50.860
Alex KralCzechia · M4210.640.00.640.860.861

Advised props

Petar Sucic 1+ Fouls Committed

Petar Sucic has committed a foul in 7 of his last 10 for Croatia, at 1.4 per 90 across 1,286 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.

Czechia hold 45.33% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 80% implied by 1/4.

1/4Add
Luka Vuskovic 2+ Fouls Committed

Luka Vuskovic has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Croatia, at 1.75 per 90 across 825 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.

Czechia hold 45.33% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.

7/4Add
Ivan Perisic to be Carded

Ivan Perisic has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Croatia, at 0.26 per 90 across 1,407 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

Croatia pick up 1.35 cards a game and there are 2.5 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.

4/1Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%Croatia · Last sixCroatia have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Croatia · Last sixCroatia have gone past two and a half goals in every one of their last six.
0/60%Croatia · Last six at homeCroatia have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six at home.
6/6100%Czechia · Last sixCzechia have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Czechia · Last six awayCzechia have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Croatia

12 NovEngland (A)1-2L
06 OctSpain (H)1-2L
03 OctEngland (H)0-7L
29 SepSpain (A)1-4L
26 SepCzechia (A)2-1W
02 JulPortugal (A)1-2L

Czechia

12 NovSpain (H)0-2L
06 OctEngland (A)0-3L
03 OctSpain (A)1-3L
29 SepEngland (H)0-2L
26 SepCroatia (H)1-2L
25 JunMexico (H)0-3L
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Build Your Own Croatia vs Czechia Bet

Petar Sucic 1+ Fouls Committed1/41.25
Why this betPetar Sucic has committed a foul in 7 of his last 10 for Croatia, at 1.4 per 90 across 1,286 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.Czechia hold 45.33% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 70% on his own record, against the 80% implied by 1/4.
Luka Vuskovic 2+ Fouls Committed7/42.75
Why this betLuka Vuskovic has committed 2 or more fouls in 5 of his last 10 for Croatia, at 1.75 per 90 across 825 minutes, and he averages 75 minutes a game when he plays.Czechia hold 45.33% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 36% implied by 7/4.
Ivan Perisic to be Carded4/15.00
Why this betIvan Perisic has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Croatia, at 0.26 per 90 across 1,407 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.Croatia pick up 1.35 cards a game and there are 2.5 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 20% implied by 4/1.
Over 8.5 Corners5/61.83
Why this betCroatia win 5.5 corners a game and Czechia 4.83, with 2.45 and 1.39 of those in the first half.That leaves about 10 in the match, a 70% chance of 9 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Croatia to Win4/71.57
Why this betCroatia have won 11 of their last 20, drawing 1, and at home they have scored 2.10 a game and conceded 1.80 across 10 matches.Czechia average 1.30 scored and 1.55 conceded. The venue splits project 2.03 against 1.34, which puts Croatia at about 57% to win, against 21% for the draw.
Both Teams to Score8/111.73
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 13 of Croatia’s last 20 matches and 11 of Czechia’s. Croatia concede 1.70 a game and Czechia 1.55.On the venue splits the projection is 2.03 against 1.34, which puts both teams scoring at about 62%.
Over 2.5 Goals4/61.67
Why this betCroatia have gone past 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 20 matches and Czechia in 55%, with 85% and 90% going past 1.5.Croatia average 1.75 scored and 1.70 conceded, Czechia 1.30 and 1.55. On the venue splits that projects 2.03 against 1.34, about 3.4 goals in the match and 66% for over 2.5.
Correct Score 2-115/28.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Croatia 2.03 against Czechia 1.34, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.9%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Croatia, which is where the board has the match too.
Croatia to Win and Both Teams to Score21/103.10
Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: Croatia to win is about 57% and both teams scoring about 62%. Croatia score 1.75 a game and concede 1.70, and Czechia have scored in 11 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 21/10.
Under 3.5 Cards5/61.83
Why this betCroatia average 2.50 cards in a match and Czechia 3.11, so 2.80 here. Our numbers make it 69% against the 55% the price implies.
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