France vs Türkiye Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

France v Türkiye - Nations League predictions and stats
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France vs Türkiye

Sun 15 Nov, 19:45 · Nations League

FranceLWDWWL
TürkiyeLLLLLW

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – France 5 in the Nations League and 15 across three others, Türkiye 5 in the Nations League and 15 across three others

Goals

2.30Scored per game1.65
1.15Conceded per game1.65
Home gamesAway games
2.55Scored1.70
1.27Conceded1.60
Correct Score 2-19/1

On the venue splits this projects France 2.17 against Türkiye 1.32, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.3%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs France, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.86xG for1.48
0.97xG against1.26
+0.44Goals vs xG+0.17
France to Win2/11

France have won 14 of their last 20, drawing 2, and at home they have scored 2.55 a game and conceded 1.27 across 11 matches.

Türkiye average 1.65 scored and 1.65 conceded. The venue splits project 2.17 against 1.32, which puts France at about 69% to win, against 20% for the draw.

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Under and Over

85%Over 1.5 goals75%
70%Over 2.5 goals65%
50%Over 3.5 goals45%
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Both Teams to Score

60%Both teams scored50%
7 of 20Clean sheets4 of 20
1 of 20Failed to score6 of 20
Both Teams to Score4/5

Both teams have scored in 12 of France’s last 20 matches and 10 of Türkiye’s. France concede 1.15 a game and Türkiye 1.65.

On the venue splits the projection is 2.17 against 1.32, which puts both teams scoring at about 60%.

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Shots

17.65Shots per game15.65
6.65On target per game5.00
37.7%Accuracy31.9%

Corners

6.10Won per game6.85
3.45First half3.00
56.6%Share before the break43.8%
Over 9.5 Corners5/6

France win 6.1 corners a game and Türkiye 6.85, with 3.45 and 3.0 of those in the first half.

That leaves about 12 in the match, a 75% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.

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Cards and Fouls

2.50Cards in the match3.35
1.10Own cards per game1.90
0.75Cards by half time1.05
9.30Fouls committed10.35

Shooting Detail

10.20Shots inside the box8.55
7.45Shots outside the box7.10
6.55Off target5.90
4.45Blocked4.75

Big Chances

3.45Big chances created2.50
2.10Big chances missed1.50
39%Taken40%
37.40Touches in the box27.45

Record

14-2-4Won, drawn, lost10-1-9
7 of 20Clean sheets4 of 20
1 of 20Failed to score6 of 20

Possession

61.35%Average share54.55%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Michael OliseFrance · F13582.921.390.661.861.591
Dayot UpamecanoFrance · D12960.420.140.970.281.62
Adrien RabiotFrance · M11031.630.411.711.141.631
Kylian MbappeFrance · F10605.432.550.760.850.251
Desire DoueFrance · F8393.111.820.751.292.361
Lucas DigneFrance · D8080.890.221.230.671.110
Bradley BarcolaFrance · F7422.551.090.970.360.731
Manu KoneFrance · M7390.970.241.712.071.583
Rayan CherkiFrance · M7082.030.761.021.910.890
William SalibaFrance · D7050.130.00.890.00.640
Theo HernandezFrance · D5421.160.00.831.831.00
Malo GustoFrance · D4580.20.02.161.182.750
Arda GulerTürkiye · M14733.241.10.613.481.164
Abdulkerim BardakciTürkiye · D12560.860.140.860.431.583
Merih DemiralTürkiye · D12290.950.291.170.511.393
Ismail YuksekTürkiye · M12091.190.222.081.124.024
Zeki CelikTürkiye · D11170.730.321.290.892.822
Kerem AkturkogluTürkiye · F10242.290.790.441.490.093
Ferdi KadiogluTürkiye · D9760.650.180.181.011.380
Kenan YildizTürkiye · F9643.080.650.651.031.41
Baris Alper YilmazTürkiye · F8581.780.841.991.570.632
Orkun KokcuTürkiye · M8461.810.640.431.811.60
Hakan CalhanogluTürkiye · M7933.520.790.911.022.722
Oguz AydinTürkiye · D7921.250.231.140.911.931
Eren ElmaliTürkiye · D7440.360.00.850.61.571
Mert MuldurTürkiye · D6971.290.260.771.293.360
Salih OzcanTürkiye · M6220.870.581.451.451.32
Yunus AkgunTürkiye · F5801.240.930.621.241.861

Advised props

Abdulkerim Bardakci 1+ Shots

Abdulkerim Bardakci has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Türkiye, at 0.86 per 90 across 1,256 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.

Türkiye take 15.65 shots a game and hit 5.0 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

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Kylian Mbappe 4+ Shots on Target

Kylian Mbappe has had 4 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for France, at 2.55 per 90 across 1,060 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.

France take 17.65 shots a game and hit 6.65 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.

11/4Add
Adrien Rabiot 2+ Fouls Committed

Adrien Rabiot has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for France, at 1.71 per 90 across 1,103 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.

Türkiye hold 54.55% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

5/6Add
Arda Guler to be Carded

Arda Guler has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Türkiye, at 0.24 per 90 across 1,473 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

Türkiye pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.35 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 21% implied by 15/4.

15/4Add

Trends

Window shown per line
6/6100%France · Last sixFrance have scored in every one of their last six.
6/6100%France · Last six at homeFrance have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six at home.
19/2095%France · Last 20France have scored in 19 of their last twenty.
0/60%Türkiye · Last sixTürkiye have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six.
5/683%Türkiye · Last sixTürkiye have gone past one and a half goals in five of their last six.
5/683%Türkiye · Last sixTürkiye have gone past two and a half goals in five of their last six.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

France

12 NovItaly (A)1-3L
05 OctBelgium (H)4-1W
02 OctItaly (H)1-1D
28 SepBelgium (A)1-0W
25 SepTürkiye (A)1-0W
18 JulEngland (H)4-6L

Türkiye

12 NovBelgium (H)1-2L
05 OctItaly (A)1-3L
02 OctBelgium (A)0-3L
28 SepItaly (H)1-4L
25 SepFrance (H)0-1L
26 JunUSA (H)3-2W
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Build Your Own France vs Türkiye Bet

Abdulkerim Bardakci 1+ Shots
Why this betAbdulkerim Bardakci has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 for Türkiye, at 0.86 per 90 across 1,256 minutes, and he averages 84 minutes a game when he plays.Türkiye take 15.65 shots a game and hit 5.0 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Kylian Mbappe 4+ Shots on Target11/43.75
Why this betKylian Mbappe has had 4 or more shots on target in 4 of his last 10 for France, at 2.55 per 90 across 1,060 minutes, and he averages 76 minutes a game when he plays.France take 17.65 shots a game and hit 6.65 on target. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
Adrien Rabiot 2+ Fouls Committed5/61.83
Why this betAdrien Rabiot has committed 2 or more fouls in 6 of his last 10 for France, at 1.71 per 90 across 1,103 minutes, and he averages 79 minutes a game when he plays.Türkiye hold 54.55% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Arda Guler to be Carded15/44.75
Why this betArda Guler has been booked in 3 of his last 10 for Türkiye, at 0.24 per 90 across 1,473 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.Türkiye pick up 1.9 cards a game and there are 3.35 in their matches. That is about 30% on his own record, against the 21% implied by 15/4.
Over 9.5 Corners5/61.83
Why this betFrance win 6.1 corners a game and Türkiye 6.85, with 3.45 and 3.0 of those in the first half.That leaves about 12 in the match, a 75% chance of 10 or more against the 55% implied by 5/6.
France to Win2/111.18
Why this betFrance have won 14 of their last 20, drawing 2, and at home they have scored 2.55 a game and conceded 1.27 across 11 matches.Türkiye average 1.65 scored and 1.65 conceded. The venue splits project 2.17 against 1.32, which puts France at about 69% to win, against 20% for the draw.
Both Teams to Score4/51.80
Why this betBoth teams have scored in 12 of France’s last 20 matches and 10 of Türkiye’s. France concede 1.15 a game and Türkiye 1.65.On the venue splits the projection is 2.17 against 1.32, which puts both teams scoring at about 60%.
Correct Score 2-19/110.00
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects France 2.17 against Türkiye 1.32, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 8.3%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs France, which is where the board has the match too.
France to Win and Both Teams to Score13/102.30
Why this betTwo things have to land, and the numbers support both: France to win is about 69% and both teams scoring about 60%. France score 2.30 a game and concede 1.15, and Türkiye have scored in 10 of their last 20.bet365 price the combination at 13/10.
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