Finland vs San Marino Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
Finland v San Marino - Nations League predictions and stats
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Finland vs San Marino

Sun 15 Nov, 17:00 · Nations League

FinlandLLWDWL
San MarinoLLLLLL

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Finland 6 in the Nations League and 14 across three others, San Marino 6 in the Nations League and 14 across two others

Goals

1.25Scored per game0.50
1.40Conceded per game3.40
Home gamesAway games
1.25Scored0.67
1.00Conceded3.44
Correct Score 3-09/2

On the venue splits this projects Finland 2.32 against San Marino 0.83, and 3-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.1%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Finland, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

1.26xG for0.39
1.09xG against3.18
-0.01Goals vs xG+0.11
Finland to Win1/50

Finland have won 7 of their last 20, drawing 3, and at home they have scored 1.25 a game and conceded 1.00 across 8 matches.

San Marino average 0.50 scored and 3.40 conceded. The venue splits project 2.32 against 0.83, which puts Finland at about 82% to win, against 17% for the draw.

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Under and Over

75%Over 1.5 goals85%
50%Over 2.5 goals75%
30%Over 3.5 goals50%
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Both Teams to Score

35%Both teams scored40%
5 of 20Clean sheets1 of 20
9 of 20Failed to score12 of 20

Shots

10.60Shots per game5.40
3.85On target per game1.47
36.3%Accuracy27.2%

Corners

4.40Won per game2.33
2.30First half0.87
52.3%Share before the break37.3%
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Cards and Fouls

2.85Cards in the match4.20
1.30Own cards per game2.60
1.10Cards by half time1.00
11.25Fouls committed14.40

Shooting Detail

6.85Shots inside the box3.13
3.75Shots outside the box2.27
4.00Off target2.73
2.80Blocked1.40

Big Chances

2.00Big chances created1.13
1.25Big chances missed0.73
38%Taken35%
20.65Touches in the box7.60

Record

7-3-10Won, drawn, lost1-1-18
5 of 20Clean sheets1 of 20
9 of 20Failed to score12 of 20

Possession

51.85%Average share30.80%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Leo WaltaFinland · M10852.741.160.661.580.831
Kaan KairinenFinland · M10800.250.081.50.251.833
Joel PohjanpaloFinland · F10722.691.090.840.50.340
Oliver AntmanFinland · M10161.860.890.620.710.890
Ville KoskiFinland · D9800.180.091.380.370.731
Adam MarkhievFinland · M9790.640.281.933.132.572
Nikolai AlhoFinland · D8140.440.221.220.881.01
Benjamin KallmanFinland · F7831.841.151.951.950.571
Juho LahteenmakiFinland · D6990.00.00.131.671.670
Topi KeskinenFinland · M6912.471.170.911.691.31
Robert IvanovFinland · D6370.280.02.120.571.274
Matti PeltolaFinland · M5360.170.171.852.182.352
Ryan MahutaFinland · D5070.710.01.781.072.660
Adam StahlFinland · D5021.080.180.90.180.91
Tony MiettinenFinland · D4890.370.181.10.370.921
Anssi SuhonenFinland · M4281.470.01.683.572.11
Glen KamaraFinland · M4230.00.00.851.491.910
Jere UronenFinland · D4040.220.01.341.111.110
Daniel HakansFinland · M4030.670.01.340.670.450
Samuele ZannoniSan Marino · M10541.280.341.620.851.111
Nicola NanniSan Marino · F10391.30.431.042.60.353
Michele CevoliSan Marino · D8150.00.00.770.551.662
Lorenzo CapicchioniSan Marino · M7971.020.232.261.581.813
Alessandro GolinucciSan Marino · M7030.380.132.561.281.542
Filippo FabbriSan Marino · D6960.130.131.680.651.813
Lorenzo LazzariSan Marino · M5530.650.331.463.252.61
Giacomo BenvenutiSan Marino · D5500.00.01.310.651.641
Alessandro TosiSan Marino · D5170.170.01.740.172.611
Alberto RiccardiSan Marino · D4590.390.01.761.762.162
Giacomo ValentiniSan Marino · D4570.590.00.790.790.591
Tommaso BenvenutiSan Marino · D4500.00.00.61.21.40
Nicolas GiacopettiSan Marino · F4080.660.440.881.320.663
Andrea ContadiniSan Marino · M4040.450.451.342.671.561
Filippo BerardiSan Marino · F4001.80.01.571.351.572

Advised props

Leo Walta 2+ Shots

Leo Walta has had 2 or more shots in 9 of his last 10 for Finland, at 2.74 per 90 across 1,085 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.

Finland take 10.6 shots a game and hit 3.85 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Nicola Nanni 1+ Fouls Committed

Nicola Nanni has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for San Marino, at 1.04 per 90 across 1,039 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.

Finland hold 51.85% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.

Trends

Window shown per line
3/2015%Finland · Last 20Finland have seen five or more cards in the match in three of their last twenty.
1/617%Finland · Last sixFinland have gone past three and a half goals in one of their last six.
1/617%Finland · Last six at homeFinland have gone past three and a half goals in one of their last six at home.
6/6100%San Marino · Last sixSan Marino have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
0/60%San Marino · Last six awaySan Marino have won in 0 of their last six on the road.
0/60%San Marino · Last six awaySan Marino have kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Finland

12 NovAlbania (A)0-2L
06 OctBelarus (A)0-1L
03 OctAlbania (H)2-1W
29 SepBelarus (H)0-0D
26 SepSan Marino (A)7-0W
05 JunHungary (A)1-2L

San Marino

12 NovBelarus (H)0-2L
06 OctAlbania (A)1-2L
03 OctBelarus (A)0-4L
29 SepAlbania (H)0-3L
26 SepFinland (H)0-7L
09 JunAzerbaijan (H)1-2L
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Build Your Own Finland vs San Marino Bet

Leo Walta 2+ Shots
Why this betLeo Walta has had 2 or more shots in 9 of his last 10 for Finland, at 2.74 per 90 across 1,085 minutes, and he averages 83 minutes a game when he plays.Finland take 10.6 shots a game and hit 3.85 on target. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Nicola Nanni 1+ Fouls Committed
Why this betNicola Nanni has committed a foul in 8 of his last 10 for San Marino, at 1.04 per 90 across 1,039 minutes, and he averages 87 minutes a game when he plays.Finland hold 51.85% of the ball, which is where the fouls come from. There is no price up for this one yet, so there is nothing to measure the record against – worth a look when the market opens.
Correct Score 3-09/25.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Finland 2.32 against San Marino 0.83, and 3-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 11.1%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Finland, which is where the board has the match too.
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