Spain vs England Predictions, Stats and Betting Tips

Andy Clark
Spain v England - Nations League predictions and stats
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Spain vs England

Sun 15 Nov, 19:45 · Nations League

SpainWWWWWD
EnglandWWWWLW

Stats cover Last 20 matches, not all in one competition – Spain 5 in the Nations League and 15 across three others, England 5 in the Nations League and 15 across three others

Goals

2.20Scored per game2.45
0.50Conceded per game0.90
Home gamesAway games
2.23Scored3.50
0.54Conceded0.88
Correct Score 1-017/2

On the venue splits this projects Spain 1.43 against England 1.12, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.4%.

Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Spain, which is where the board has the match too.

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Expected Goals

2.05xG for2.02
0.54xG against0.97
+0.15Goals vs xG+0.43
Spain to Win19/20

Spain come in on W W W W W D, and at home they have scored 2.23 a game and conceded 0.54 across 13 matches. They have won 15 of their last 20 overall, drawing 5.

England average 2.45 scored and 0.90 conceded. The venue splits project 1.43 against 1.12, which puts Spain at about 46% to win, against 26% for the draw.

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Under and Over

75%Over 1.5 goals85%
60%Over 2.5 goals55%
40%Over 3.5 goals30%
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Both Teams to Score

40%Both teams scored45%
12 of 20Clean sheets10 of 20
3 of 20Failed to score2 of 20

Shots

17.45Shots per game17.20
6.55On target per game6.15
37.5%Accuracy35.8%

Corners

6.70Won per game6.35
3.40First half2.95
50.7%Share before the break46.5%
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Cards and Fouls

3.20Cards in the match2.25
0.80Own cards per game0.85
0.65Cards by half time0.70
9.85Fouls committed9.05

Shooting Detail

11.60Shots inside the box11.55
5.85Shots outside the box5.65
6.45Off target6.00
4.45Blocked5.05

Big Chances

4.00Big chances created3.80
2.45Big chances missed2.05
39%Taken46%
35.95Touches in the box34.40

Record

15-5-0Won, drawn, lost14-3-3
12 of 20Clean sheets10 of 20
3 of 20Failed to score2 of 20

Possession

65.55%Average share60.85%

Player Props

Per 90
PlayerMinsShotsOn targetFoulsFouledTacklesCards
Marc CucurellaSpain · D14490.430.190.990.680.871
Aymeric LaporteSpain · D14480.50.190.50.560.681
Pau CubarsiSpain · D14340.440.190.630.440.691
Alex BaenaSpain · F11572.961.41.710.931.093
Mikel OyarzabalSpain · F11513.281.80.940.470.630
Lamine YamalSpain · F10043.851.431.431.081.880
Pedro PorroSpain · D9590.940.281.61.032.351
PedriSpain · M9391.250.670.580.772.011
Ferran TorresSpain · F7324.31.350.860.980.121
Fabian RuizSpain · M7241.620.370.370.51.240
Mikel MerinoSpain · M5912.441.222.133.351.522
Marcos LlorenteSpain · M4870.00.00.370.372.220
Martin ZubimendiSpain · M4101.10.220.220.220.660
Yeremy PinoSpain · F4022.240.451.340.452.690
Elliot AndersonEngland · M14221.460.061.462.092.591
Harry KaneEngland · F14023.591.990.90.960.390
Ezri KonsaEngland · D12060.450.150.821.721.041
Jude BellinghamEngland · M12032.771.421.122.471.723
Morgan RogersEngland · F9582.070.471.221.410.940
Anthony GordonEngland · F9552.541.320.571.70.750
Nico O’ReillyEngland · D9071.190.11.090.891.192
Declan RiceEngland · M8851.020.510.410.01.422
Jarell QuansahEngland · D7140.50.131.010.631.641
John StonesEngland · D6890.260.00.390.130.520
Djed SpenceEngland · D6330.850.280.711.03.550
Reece JamesEngland · D5250.340.01.030.171.540
Eberechi EzeEngland · F5093.541.060.881.940.350
Marcus RashfordEngland · M4794.131.691.130.941.320

Advised props

Lewis Hall 1+ Shots

Lewis Hall has had a shot in 4 of his last 6 for England, at 1.17 per 90 across 383 minutes, and he averages 64 minutes a game when he plays.

England take 17.2 shots a game and hit 6.15 on target. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.

11/8Add
Declan Rice 1+ Shots

Declan Rice has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for England, at 1.02 per 90 across 885 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

England take 17.2 shots a game and hit 6.15 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.

8/11Add
Jude Bellingham 1+ Shots on Target

Jude Bellingham has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 10 for England, at 1.42 per 90 across 1,203 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.

England take 17.2 shots a game and hit 6.15 on target. That is about 90% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.

5/6Add
Declan Rice 1+ Shots on Target

Declan Rice has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for England, at 0.51 per 90 across 885 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.

England take 17.2 shots a game and hit 6.15 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.

5/2Add
Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer

Harry Kane has scored in 8 of his last 10 for England, at 1.16 per 90 across 1,402 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.

England score 2.45 a game. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 7/5.

7/5Add

Trends

Window shown per line
20/20100%Spain · Last 20Spain are unbeaten in every one of their last twenty.
6/6100%Spain · Last sixSpain are unbeaten in every one of their last six.
6/6100%Spain · Last six at homeSpain have won five or more corners in every one of their last six at home.
6/6100%England · Last sixEngland have gone past one and a half goals in every one of their last six.
6/6100%England · Last six awayEngland are unbeaten in every one of their last six on the road.
6/6100%England · Last six awayEngland have scored in every one of their last six on the road.

Last Six Matches

Most recent first

Spain

12 NovCzechia (A)2-0W
06 OctCroatia (A)2-1W
03 OctCzechia (H)3-1W
29 SepCroatia (H)4-1W
26 SepEngland (A)3-2W
19 JulArgentina (H)0-0D

England

12 NovCroatia (H)2-1W
06 OctCzechia (H)3-0W
03 OctCroatia (A)7-0W
29 SepCzechia (A)2-0W
26 SepSpain (H)2-3L
18 JulFrance (A)6-4W
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Build Your Own Spain vs England Bet

Lewis Hall 1+ Shots11/82.38
Why this betLewis Hall has had a shot in 4 of his last 6 for England, at 1.17 per 90 across 383 minutes, and he averages 64 minutes a game when he plays.England take 17.2 shots a game and hit 6.15 on target. That is about 67% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 11/8.
Declan Rice 1+ Shots8/111.73
Why this betDeclan Rice has had a shot in 6 of his last 10 for England, at 1.02 per 90 across 885 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.England take 17.2 shots a game and hit 6.15 on target. That is about 60% on his own record, against the 58% implied by 8/11.
Jude Bellingham 1+ Shots on Target5/61.83
Why this betJude Bellingham has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 10 for England, at 1.42 per 90 across 1,203 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.England take 17.2 shots a game and hit 6.15 on target. That is about 90% on his own record, against the 55% implied by 5/6.
Declan Rice 1+ Shots on Target5/23.50
Why this betDeclan Rice has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 10 for England, at 0.51 per 90 across 885 minutes, and he averages 74 minutes a game when he plays.England take 17.2 shots a game and hit 6.15 on target. That is about 50% on his own record, against the 29% implied by 5/2.
Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer7/52.40
Why this betHarry Kane has scored in 8 of his last 10 for England, at 1.16 per 90 across 1,402 minutes, and he averages 82 minutes a game when he plays.England score 2.45 a game. That is about 80% on his own record, against the 42% implied by 7/5.
Anthony Gordon Anytime Goalscorer15/44.75
Why this betAnthony Gordon has scored in 4 of his last 10 for England, at 0.57 per 90 across 955 minutes, and he averages 68 minutes a game when he plays.England score 2.45 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 21% implied by 15/4.
Jude Bellingham Anytime Goalscorer11/43.75
Why this betJude Bellingham has scored in 4 of his last 10 for England, at 0.6 per 90 across 1,203 minutes, and he averages 71 minutes a game when he plays.England score 2.45 a game. That is about 40% on his own record, against the 27% implied by 11/4.
Spain to Win19/201.95
Why this betSpain come in on W W W W W D, and at home they have scored 2.23 a game and conceded 0.54 across 13 matches. They have won 15 of their last 20 overall, drawing 5.England average 2.45 scored and 0.90 conceded. The venue splits project 1.43 against 1.12, which puts Spain at about 46% to win, against 26% for the draw.
Correct Score 1-017/29.50
Why this betOn the venue splits this projects Spain 1.43 against England 1.12, and 1-0 is the single likeliest scoreline that comes out of it at about 9.4%.Correct score is the widest market on the coupon, so this is not a value call – it is the scoreline our numbers land on most often, and it backs Spain, which is where the board has the match too.
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